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Ipsos shows sustained Ontario PC lead (Conservatives near majority government territory)
ThreeHundredEight.com ^ | May 15, 2014 | Eric Grenier

Posted on 05/15/2014 7:11:41 AM PDT by Hieronymus

And the pendulum swings back again (again), with the new poll by Ipsos Reid for CTV News/CP24. The poll itself shows a few interesting trends, not all mutually supporting. The margin enjoyed by the Tories over the Liberals has expanded among eligible voters, but decreased among likely voters. The PCs have been making steady gains since November 2013, while the Liberals have also been steadily progressing among likely voters - while dropping among eligible voters. Let's try to make some sense of this.

(Excerpt) Read more at threehundredeight.com ...


TOPICS: Canada; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: ontario
The projection puts the PCs 1 shy of an outright majority, but there are 6 more marginal seats they might pick up (and 9 they might loose).
1 posted on 05/15/2014 7:11:41 AM PDT by Hieronymus
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To: Squawk 8888

308’s analysis of yesterdays poll, both of itself and in light of the other polls. My riding continues to be the only one considered an absolutely sure bet (if you click at the top, on the brown text underneath the voter and seat projections, you can get a very detailed breakdown).


2 posted on 05/15/2014 7:16:49 AM PDT by Hieronymus ( (It is terrible to contemplate how few politicians are hanged. --G.K. Chesterton))
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To: Hieronymus

Do you have a link for 308? My riding (Toronto Centre) is a two-way race between the Libs and NDP.


3 posted on 05/15/2014 8:04:07 AM PDT by Squawk 8888 (I'd give up chocolate but I'm no quitter)
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To: Hieronymus

Nevermind...


4 posted on 05/15/2014 8:04:47 AM PDT by Squawk 8888 (I'd give up chocolate but I'm no quitter)
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To: Hieronymus; Clive; exg; Alberta's Child; albertabound; AntiKev; backhoe; Byron_the_Aussie; ...
To all- please ping me to Canadian topics.

Canada Ping!

5 posted on 05/15/2014 8:10:31 AM PDT by Squawk 8888 (I'd give up chocolate but I'm no quitter)
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To: Hieronymus

What riding are you in?


6 posted on 06/12/2014 3:42:23 PM PDT by fanfan ("If Muslim kids were asked to go to church on Sunday and take Holy Communion there would be war.")
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To: fanfan

Renfrew. Yak will probably win by at least 60 points. The only real element of suspense is whether or not either or both of the Liberals and NDP can be kept in single digits. My guess is that the NDP does get into double digits, but not the Liberals.


7 posted on 06/12/2014 4:45:02 PM PDT by Hieronymus ( (It is terrible to contemplate how few politicians are hanged. --G.K. Chesterton))
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