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Democratic Pollster Has Udall Breaking Ahead Of Gardner In Colorado
Daily Caller News ^ | 05/16/2014 | Greg Campbell

Posted on 05/17/2014 6:04:03 AM PDT by george76

Colorado Democratic Sen. Mark Udall is inching ahead of Republican challenger Cory Gardner, according to a new poll that was reportedly commissioned by the same group running a $1.3 million ad campaign against Gardner.

Democratic pollster Public Policy Polling has Udall ahead by a slim margin of 47-43 percent. A poll done in March by the same group showed a much narrower race, with Udall ahead by only 42-40 percent.

...

The poll shows that Udall still has his work cut out for him, with 45 percent disapproving of his job performance as U.S. Senator compared to 42 percent who approve.

Those who responded to the survey identified themselves as 36 percent Democrat, 31 percent Republican and 33 percent “Independent/Other.”

(Excerpt) Read more at dailycaller.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Colorado
KEYWORDS: corygardner; gardner; markudall; udall

1 posted on 05/17/2014 6:04:03 AM PDT by george76
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To: george76

Important race, but so to the race for Governor.

http://www.coloradoforkopp.com/


2 posted on 05/17/2014 6:11:46 AM PDT by wita
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To: wita

oops, the too police are soon to arrive.


3 posted on 05/17/2014 6:12:47 AM PDT by wita
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To: wita

Voters who list the economy back Gardner over Udall 53 - 40 percent and voters who cite health care back the Republican 57 - 36 percent.

Colorado voters oppose the Affordable Care Act 59 - 37 percent, including 62 - 34 percent among independent voters.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/colorado/release-detail?ReleaseID=2034


4 posted on 05/17/2014 6:17:10 AM PDT by george76 (Ward Churchill : Fake Indian, Fake Scholarship, and Fake Art)
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To: george76

Openly biased pollsters ask the gullible to believe their poll results aren’t biased.


5 posted on 05/17/2014 6:17:38 AM PDT by relictele (Principiis obsta & Finem respice - Resist The Beginnings & Consider The End)
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To: george76

‘Democratic Pollster Has Udall Breaking Ahead Of Gardner In Colorado’

Democratic pollster? Well, duh.

(Actually, one can’t underestimate the voting power of the public employees concentrated in the Denver area, and the college students in Boulder/Fort Collins. Eliminate those areas/demographics and it would be a fine State.)


6 posted on 05/17/2014 6:18:07 AM PDT by x1stcav ("The past is a foreign country: they do things differently there.")
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To: x1stcav
Don't start this again. The pollsters were right on the money in 2008 and 2012, esp. in the senate races. In fact, you can go back to 2006 when many here, including myself, insisted that the narrow polls showing Republicans getting creamed were wrong. They were all correct.

The margin is close, and Gardener has two big issues on his side. Let's see how he campaigns, but let's not dismiss polls because we don't like the results.

7 posted on 05/17/2014 6:25:13 AM PDT by LS ('Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually.' Hendrix)
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To: wita

8 posted on 05/17/2014 6:28:30 AM PDT by JPG (Yes We Can morphs into Make It Hurt.)
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To: MileHi; dhs12345; dynachrome; Balata; bboop; BulletBobCo; Carley; ColoCowgirl; Colorado Doug; ...

Colorado Ping ( Let me know if you wish to be added or removed from the list.)


9 posted on 05/17/2014 6:28:45 AM PDT by george76 (Ward Churchill : Fake Indian, Fake Scholarship, and Fake Art)
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To: LS

‘Don’t start this again. The pollsters were right on the money in 2008 and 2012, esp. in the senate races.’

Loosen up, friend.

I thought I addressed what you’re talking about in my aside.

As someone else put it on FR, the Udalls are political pests.

Nobody would like to see him gone more than I.

However, until something is done with the ideological cancer in Denver-Boulder-Fort Collins (did I leave out Pueblo?), it will always be an uphill struggle for Conservatives in Colorado.


10 posted on 05/17/2014 6:31:36 AM PDT by x1stcav ("The past is a foreign country: they do things differently there.")
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To: george76

Another in the series of polls designed to help Democrats improve their fundraising capabilities and having nothing to do with the real voter sentiment


11 posted on 05/17/2014 6:33:03 AM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: relictele

PPP is not openly biased. They have been the most accurate pollster for 3 cycles now. While we should always be skeptical of any source and with whom they are aligned, the math speaks. We should never be skeptical of proven results.


12 posted on 05/17/2014 6:45:57 AM PDT by RIghtwardHo
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To: george76

Just a reminder about PPP in the Colorado district in which a State Leg (female) was recalled IIRC, about the gun law and PPP did NOT report their polling showing she would get recalled by a fairly large margin. (PPP thought their poll was wrong). This non-reporting of the real results of their poll helped embolden those who thought that the recall election was ‘stolen’.

http://hotair.com/greenroom/archives/2013/09/12/ppp-we-didnt-believe-our-own-colorado-recall-election-poll-so-we-spiked-it/


13 posted on 05/17/2014 6:53:37 AM PDT by machogirl (First they came for my tagline)
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To: george76

The problem will be getting all the zoned Democrats to the polls. If they can’t, they probably have pre-marked ballots to assist the stoned who can’t remember who to vote for. Democrats really care about helping their voters, doncha know.


14 posted on 05/17/2014 7:10:40 AM PDT by txrefugee
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To: LS

The Machine has been doing ads on Gardner’s pro-life stand with no response.
It is the only thing the RATS can do and they are very good at it.

Here is what the response ads need to say:
Udall is 110% supporter of the Obama message and long term plan.
Gun Confiscation
Global tax on USA carbon emissions
Exporting jobs to 3rd world countries thru H1B
Reducing wages of USA worker
Opposed Keystone Pipeline
Government Mandates on employee pay
Radical Unionization of Healthcare workers
Udall connections to radical left wing organizations
Udall family and years in politics
CA and NY $$$ funding Udall attack ads

The list goes on and on.
Udall is vulnerable on all these items.


15 posted on 05/17/2014 7:12:12 AM PDT by Zathras
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To: george76

The Denver-Boulder axis of evil will ensure that Udall and Gov. Chickeneffer will win.


16 posted on 05/17/2014 8:19:02 AM PDT by dynachrome (Vertrou in God en die Mauser)
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To: dynachrome

That is why the DUmmies want mail in voting to help the dead and the illegals to vote [ often ] without any photo id.


17 posted on 05/17/2014 8:22:10 AM PDT by george76 (Ward Churchill : Fake Indian, Fake Scholarship, and Fake Art)
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To: x1stcav

As a native Arizonian, who had to deal with Mo Udall for years, no one knows this family needs to be gone better than I. CO has changed a lot. Let’s hope Gardener can hammer home the Obamacare message.


18 posted on 05/17/2014 8:37:56 AM PDT by LS ('Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually.' Hendrix)
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To: RIghtwardHo
PPP is not openly biased.

PPP is a Democrat pollster. It's well known. Tom Jensen is an avowed progressive.

Remember when they withheld a poll that showed Dems getting crushed by the CO recall? You think they would have withheld a poll that showed Republicans getting crushed?

Link here

The spin... “We did a poll last weekend in Colorado Senate District 3 and found that voters intended to recall Angela Giron by a 12 point margin, 54/42. In a district that Barack Obama won by almost 20 points I figured there was no way that could be right and made a rare decision not to release the poll,” writes Tom Jensen, director of PPP.

The data was there. It just didn't agree with the liberal mindset of Mr. Jensen. Therefore, it was wrong. Typical left wing reasoning. Plus it would have further suppressed Giron's supporters (and can't have that).

With that said, PPP is a legitimate pollster and usually well within margins and sometimes spot on. I never downplay their polls. And anyone who does is whistling past the graveyard. I am just commenting on your statement that they aren't biased or partisan. They have an agenda.
19 posted on 05/17/2014 8:49:12 AM PDT by nhwingut (This tagline is for lease)
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To: george76
Analysis from Colorado Peak Politics of the triple Dem poll:

-- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -



“I promise, this poll is super accurate”


YAWN: Breaking Down The Fallacies Of The PPP Senate Poll

Published on May 12, 2014 by
push-poll questions done for a group that has already dropped a million dollars in the race, someone is certainly trying to slap some lipstick on a pig.

As if PPP methods weren’t suspect already.

Let’s deconstruct this mess:

  1. All registered voters never vote in a Presidential election year, let alone midterms.  To believe having a poll with all registered voters will reflect what happens in November is to believe Colorado will actually let spring weather happen in spring.  Not only are Democrats facing a much more conservative electorate in this election cycle, they are also losing the vital enthusiasm factor as well.
  2. The questions asked by PPP were not aimed at getting an honest look at the electorate, but were rather more geared towards skewing one’s opinion.  Case in point, Q4 and Q5:

    Q4 If a candidate for office voted to provide billions of dollars in tax breaks to oil companies, would that make you more or less likely to vote for them in an election, or would it not make a difference?

     Q5 Which candidate for U.S. Senate do you think would be more likely to do the bidding of big oil companies: Mark Udall or Cory Gardner?

    Billions of dollars in tax breaks is never given any context.  For all we know these could be standard corporate tax breaks that even Udall has voted for; hell, just last week Warren Buffet admitted the only reason he builds wind-turbines is for the tax breaks.

    “…do the bidding of…”  Gardner could be doing the bidding of the Easter Bunny and it would still sound nefarious.

  3. This poll was done for the League of Conservation Voters after they had already dropped one-million dollars in this race in April.  These poll questions are already along the lines of the ads they’ve put on air so far.  When a poll done for the Chamber of Commerce last month was leaked, the Chamber was still trying to figure out what races to enter and needed an accurate view of them.  Not so for the LCV.  They’re in.  They’ve committed.  This poll is just another earned media stunt.  How else is Gardner +2 points with unaffiliated voters from a PPP poll released just last month, but -2 points worse overall than that poll?

Bottom line: this is a desperation poll by a group that has already sunk a million dollars behind a candidate—Udall—that is in serious trouble.

 

20 posted on 05/17/2014 9:56:17 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: LS

I have to agree with you. Even though we don’t like the messenger, we are dealing with brainwashed fools who respond to prompts and are incapable of critical thinking. More and more people vote the check in their mailbox and don’t care about anything else. The wealthy elitists and college kids vote their religion. It’s a tough combination to beat.

Gardner is an excellent candidate. But the Udall’s have spread around the west like cancer.


21 posted on 05/17/2014 10:01:10 AM PDT by Luke21
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To: Luke21
I have to agree with you. Even though we don’t like the messenger, we are dealing with brainwashed fools who respond to prompts and are incapable of critical thinking.

The political landscape has changed. It's not 2008 anymore. This poll was sponsored by leftists who have sunk a million bucks already for Udall.

A few months ago, this same pollster who said they did not believe their own polling and didn't even report it until after the fact that St. Senator Heron from Pueblo, CO would lose. Pueblo is a Dem stronghold, but Heron lost ground by 24% in her recall election that she earlier won by 12%.

"Honest" PPP: yeah we got the winner right, but said only publicly about a week after the election results. LoL. Right sure uhuh.

A few short months ago, Colorado is the same place where 3 recalled Dem senator lost their seats. Two rats recalled and the third was scared into resigning.

And if you haven't noticed, Obama and Udall are tied at the hip. So how is Obama polling in Colorado recently? Oh Obama is down by -21% (59% - 38%) in a recent Colorado disapproval poll.

22 posted on 05/17/2014 11:05:40 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: george76; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun; LdSentinal; ...

Democrats are clearly worried about this race.


23 posted on 05/17/2014 2:02:45 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
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To: RIghtwardHo

“PPP is not openly biased. They have been the most accurate pollster for 3 cycles now.”


PPP’s Tommy Jensen makes sure that his final poll is fairly accurate, but earlier in the cycle he comes out with all sorts of agenda polls to help the Democrats. His chicanery is most egregious in the case of polls of his native NC, but they’re pretty biased wherever Democrats are trying to motivate fundraising and voter interest and dampen GOP spirits.


24 posted on 05/17/2014 4:28:31 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll defend your rights?)
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To: Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; BillyBoy; randita; InterceptPoint
Democratic pollster Public Policy Polling has Udall ahead by a slim margin of 47-43 percent. A poll done in March by the same group showed a much narrower race, with Udall ahead by only 42-40 percent.

Curious wording, 4 point race or 2 point race, not that much difference.

25 posted on 05/17/2014 10:58:27 PM PDT by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
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To: george76
"Those who responded to the survey identified themselves as 36 percent Democrat, 31 percent Republican and 33 percent “Independent/Other.”

Republican registrations outnumber Dems, 944,000 to 902,000, ---and have higher turnout in off-year elections. So, the number should probably be reversed, 47% Gardner, 43% Udall.

26 posted on 05/21/2014 12:24:25 PM PDT by cookcounty (IRS = Internal Revenge Service.)
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To: george76

CO means perpetual disappointment.


27 posted on 05/21/2014 8:35:38 PM PDT by Theodore R. (It's inevitable: status quo Kentuckians are incapable of saying "No" to McC!)
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To: cookcounty

No, because a third of the CO GOP consists of hard-core liberals too.


28 posted on 05/21/2014 8:36:29 PM PDT by Theodore R. (It's inevitable: status quo Kentuckians are incapable of saying "No" to McC!)
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To: x1stcav
Re: “Eliminate those areas/demographics and it would be a fine State.”

Actually, the swing vote in Colorado is Hispanic, Asian, and Black.

They make up roughly 20% of eligible voters, and, as a group, they went 80% for Obama in 2012.

You might be surprised to learn that white voters supported Romney, 54%-44%, over Obama.

29 posted on 05/22/2014 2:28:28 AM PDT by zeestephen
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To: george76

Karl Rove said on Fox that the Democrats ice spending millions of dollars in the Senate races to trash the Republican even before the final nominees chosen.


30 posted on 05/22/2014 2:54:53 AM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: zeestephen

I think you’ll find that those groups are concentrated in the areas I described, though. Couple them with the college students in those areas and the voting mass outweighs the whites in the rest of the state.

Anyway, I just don’t like those dooshes in Boulder County.


31 posted on 05/22/2014 4:43:43 AM PDT by x1stcav ("The past is a foreign country: they do things differently there.")
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To: x1stcav
To a great extent the Left wing views of college students is also based on ethnicity.

Boulder, obviously, is more white and more Leftist than the average American town.

But, nationally, white college students gave Romney a slight majority in 2012.

Time and again I read that Republicans are losing the youth vote.

That is not correct.

We are losing the non-white youth vote.

Young people vote very much like their parents, but a little bit more to the Left.

Each year, thanks to 30 years of mass LEGAL immigration, young people become more and more non-white.

Consequently, each year, more young people vote for the Left.

32 posted on 05/22/2014 11:50:07 AM PDT by zeestephen
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