Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Nate Silver: ‘Tea Party’ Has Outlived Its Usefulness
FiveThirtyEight ^ | 05/23/2014 | Nate Silver

Posted on 05/23/2014 9:06:24 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Here’s a familiar-seeming political tale. An incumbent Republican senator, from a famous political family and with a long history of moderation, is challenged by an upstart candidate in the GOP primary. The upstart is a successful entrepreneur turned talk-radio host and small-town mayor with a reputation for slashing spending and fighting unions; the Club for Growth endorses him. The Republican establishment rallies to the incumbent’s side. Karl Rove works for the incumbent; Mitch McConnell and John McCain stump for the incumbent. In the end, the incumbent wins, but barely. Then the incumbent goes on to lose to the Democrat in November in a race that may have tipped the balance in the Senate.

You might assume that this story refers to something from the 2010 or 2012 election cycles, when — so the narrative goes — tea party candidates caused all sorts of grief for the Republican establishment and potentially cost the GOP control of the Senate. But the details don’t quite fit any election in those years. Instead, this is the story of the 2006 Republican primary in Rhode Island. Lincoln Chafee was the incumbent; Steve Laffey was the upstart; Sheldon Whitehouse was the Democrat who beat Chafee that November, when Democrats took control of the Senate, 51-49.

With McConnell having defeated his challenger, Matt Bevin, in the Republican primary in Kentucky this week, there’s been a lot of talk about whether the influence of the tea party is waning. According to a series of mainstream media accounts, McConnell “crushed” the tea party in “the latest big beat” for the movement, which is “losing steam” as the economy improves.

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections; teaparty
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-50 next last

1 posted on 05/23/2014 9:06:24 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Tea Party is hot and heavy in an all important race in Mississippi.

this is what we call transparent, int the way that it is supposed to deflect but looks so contrived it’s transparent, like a little kid, dragging a chair across the kitchen floor expecting to not be found foraging for forbidden food.

Nate, though, is an adult, and a well respected, in some circles, journalist and essayist.

It’s crazy.


2 posted on 05/23/2014 9:09:21 AM PDT by stanne
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

He’s right. It’s time to move into the next phase of securing a decent country for our kids.


3 posted on 05/23/2014 9:10:05 AM PDT by demshateGod (The fool hath said in his heart, There is no God.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: demshateGod

What’s the next phase? Outright rebellion?


4 posted on 05/23/2014 9:11:31 AM PDT by x1stcav ("The past is a foreign country: they do things differently there.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
The TEA party ain't a political party.

The TEA party is anybody who has come to the conclusion that the feral government is out of control to the point that it has become evil, and needs to be reined in and pruned back.

5 posted on 05/23/2014 9:12:37 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum ("The more numerous the laws, the more corrupt the government." --Tacitus)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: demshateGod

Basically, if our Republican Senator acts like a conservative, he will never have to worry about the Democrat. Problem is once the Senator becomes a democrat, he gets what he deserves.


6 posted on 05/23/2014 9:12:59 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz ("Heck of a reset there, Hillary")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Bunk.

The Tea Party is the future.


7 posted on 05/23/2014 9:13:12 AM PDT by Cringing Negativism Network (http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/c5700.html#2013)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Nate Silver has no idea of what the ‘Tea Party’ is.


8 posted on 05/23/2014 9:13:40 AM PDT by TomGuy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

No, it’s the Republican Party that has outlived its usefulness.


9 posted on 05/23/2014 9:14:33 AM PDT by dfwgator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TomGuy

“Nate Silver has no idea of what the ‘Tea Party’ is.”

Actually, after reading the article (which is relatively fair), I get the sense that Nate Silver knows more about the Tea Party than politicians like Mitch McConnell do.


10 posted on 05/23/2014 9:16:11 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist (Government is best which governs least.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

“Nate Silver: ‘Tea Party’ Has Outlived Its Usefulness”

Nate’s got to say something to get back in the good graces of the RATS since he predicted losses for them in Nov.


11 posted on 05/23/2014 9:17:32 AM PDT by kenmcg (b)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: E. Pluribus Unum

Actually, Silver agrees with that assessment. In reading the article he is saying that the “Tea party” is really a part of the GOP and that calling it a separate Party is pretty meaningless now. He is not saying that conservative influence is meaningless.


12 posted on 05/23/2014 9:18:31 AM PDT by RIghtwardHo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

HA...he WISHES....


13 posted on 05/23/2014 9:19:00 AM PDT by goodnesswins (R.I.P. Doherty, Smith, Stevens, Woods.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: x1stcav
The next phase is the first phase of rebellion. Basically, abandon all hope of winning our arguments in DC.
14 posted on 05/23/2014 9:19:48 AM PDT by demshateGod (The fool hath said in his heart, There is no God.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: E. Pluribus Unum

the “TEA party” is a set of convictions to certain principles and values that transcends politics as usual-

like liberty, personal freedom, respect for Constitutionally based law, individual responsibility and distrust of bureaucracy that has demonstrated its contempt or fear of all of the above

It is never going away.

It may change names

Give it a strong leader to build a national voice and look out

a politician who doesn’t “get it” does not share those convictions and values

nuff said


15 posted on 05/23/2014 9:21:33 AM PDT by silverleaf (Age takes a toll: Please have exact change)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

The tea party is a freaking state of mind you moron.


16 posted on 05/23/2014 9:22:44 AM PDT by andyk (I have sworn...eternal hostility against every form of tyranny over the mind of man.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

My, my. People are falling all over themselves lately to declare the death of the Tea Party.

To paraphrase Mr. Clemens, the reports of its death are greatly exaggerated.


17 posted on 05/23/2014 9:22:53 AM PDT by Constitution Day
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
I don't believe that what he means by "Tea Party" is what we mean by the word. There never was a "party" in the sense that there was central funding, a list of "Tea Party"-branded candidates, and central direction. The victory whoops currently emanating from the media are as phony and contrived as the Coffee Party turned out to be.

There was, and remains, a broad, deepening grassroots resentment of the politics currently being inflicted on the American public by a self-proclaimed elite that has arrogated to itself the ideological direction of the country and will brook no opposition. That was annoying when it consisted merely of sneering within the media; now in power it is far more than that, it is totalitarian and deadly.

The gaps in the wall aren't going to be papered over by reassurance that establishment, elitist Republicans are in any sense a counterweight to establishment, elitist Democrats. They have proven to be co-conspirators.

And so the "Tea Party is dead!" triumphalism has a very hollow ring to it. It was never really alive as they define political life, but that doesn't mean it has gone away.

18 posted on 05/23/2014 9:22:54 AM PDT by Billthedrill
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
Then the incumbent goes on to lose to the Democrat in November in a race that may have tipped the balance in the Senate.

The failure of the Republicans in that election was that they failed to raise the alarm on all the election fraud that occurred. Not that Atty General Holder would have done anything about it, anyway.

19 posted on 05/23/2014 9:24:09 AM PDT by Rapscallion (Obama stands for the corruption of America in all aspects.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TomGuy
Nate Silver has no idea of what the ‘Tea Party’ is.

Actually, Nate's pretty spot-on here. The Tea Party isn't a proper noun "Party" but rather a collection of ideas represented by many smaller organizations and individuals who may or may not agree on candidates and policies.

20 posted on 05/23/2014 9:29:15 AM PDT by Drew68
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-50 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson