I was wrong not to be more clear in my post.I was referring to next year's election.And although I've never seen firm proof that Perot's *intention* was to help BillyBob that's exactly what he did...intentionally or unintentionally.
Farage and UKIP are playing no such game. They are in it to win and might do that today beating all the other parties, not allowing Labour to win.
Again,thinking of *next year's* election Farage,IMO,will take far more votes from Cameron than from Milliband...giving Red Ed the win.BillyBob knew the same in '92....had Perot not run Bush The Elder very probably would have won.
Hopefully Britain will borrow from Alberta’s playbook and let the new guys roar in from out of nowhere.
Good. Having Labour back in power will just make them a bigger target for UKIP. Labour is already saying that they have to listen more to the people when it comes to immigration. The Liberal Democrats have been hurt the worst by UKIP, which doesn't have a seat in Parliament, but it might well gain a few in 2015. The LD could become the 4th party exchanging places with UKIP.
The Cameron coalition government will end and Labour will be back in the saddle. It has very little effect on the US.
I’m not so sure that UKIP will take more votes from the conservatives than from labour. That is the established wisdom, but established wisdom has not had a good track record recently, partly because it tends to be very London centric. 90% of Britons do not live in London. In the midlands and (especially) north of England UKIP is the firm contender against labour, and I believe they will win several seats there.
I admit to you that winning 326 seats needed for a majority in the House of Commons is a tall order, but if popularity of UKIP is now at around 30 percent, they are 3/4 of the way there and the Conservative Party is less likely to achieve that goal.
UKIP will have another year ahead to May 7, 2015 to do that and the momentum will be their way.
UKIP is contesting a by-election for a House of Commons .
(Parliament) seat on June 5th in less than two weeks. Its strength tonight will give it momentum towards that race.