Skip to comments.The Myth of the Climate Change '97%'
Posted on 05/26/2014 6:04:18 PM PDT by nickcarraway
What is the origin of the false beliefconstantly repeatedthat almost all scientists agree about global warming?
Last week Secretary of State John Kerry warned graduating students at Boston College of the "crippling consequences" of climate change. "Ninety-seven percent of the world's scientists," he added, "tell us this is urgent."
Where did Mr. Kerry get the 97% figure? Perhaps from his boss, President Obama, who tweeted on May 16 that "Ninety-seven percent of scientists agree: #climate change is real, man-made and dangerous." Or maybe from NASA, which posted (in more measured language) on its website, "Ninety-seven percent of climate scientists agree that climate-warming trends over the past century are very likely due to human activities."
Yet the assertion that 97% of scientists believe that climate change is a man-made, urgent problem is a fiction. The so-called consensus comes from a handful of surveys and abstract-counting exercises that have been contradicted by more reliable research.
One frequently cited source for the consensus is a 2004 opinion essay published in Science magazine by Naomi Oreskes, a science historian now at Harvard. She claimed to have examined abstracts of 928 articles published in scientific journals between 1993 and 2003, and found that 75% supported the view that human activities are responsible for most of the observed warming over the previous 50 years while none directly dissented.
(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...
.. so how did it go from 75% to 97%? Evolution?
Only 36 percent of geoscientists and engineers believe that humans are creating a global warming crisis, according to a survey reported in the peer-reviewed Organization Studies.
It's how Progressivism works.
Almost all German physicists declared that Einstein’s theory of relativity was bogus. Soviet scientist fell in line behind Lysenko. Scientists have always been affected by the prevailing political winds. They like their funding and status.
Grand Klimatologist of the Klimate Klux Klan
and Obama 57 also...because he needs to visit all 57 states...
In the literal sense I contribute to global warming whenever I strike a match, but I also contribute to global cooling by selling 100 tubes of ice each day. My ice is outdoing my warming. Albert Goreon can go suck an egg :P
“67% of all facts posted on the internet are bogus” -Ben Franklin
Liberals are congenital liars.
Environmentalists are continual liars.
“She claimed to have examined abstracts of 928 articles published in scientific journals between 1993 and 2003, and found that 75% supported the view that human activities are responsible for most of the observed warming over the previous 50 years while none directly dissented.” she creates a statistic which is based on the number of articles in a stupid journal and a stupid person publishes the stupid statistic and another stupid journal reports it as news. you however a quoting a real statistic. how silly/sarcasm
You beat me to it. You said it in a nutshell.
He didn't like that I pointed him to literally dozens of links disproving this stupid 97% number. If I remember correctly (this was last week, and there was a long weekend in between) it goes something like this:
The original um "study" that generated the 97% number came from "research" done for a graduate student's masters thesis. He sent out surveys to over 10,000 scientists. This is where you'll see libs embellish the lie with "10K climate scientists surveyed agree..." BS.
You see, only about 3100 and change bothered to return the survey. (actually pretty good response if you ask me) However, of those only 157 self-identified as climate scientists. Our intrepid grad student somewhat arbitrarily decided that only 79 of these were fit to call themselves climate scientists, so those were the only ones he counted.
Now for the really fun part. You think there was some deep, insightful probing and discussion of the issue of climate change? Some exploration of the subtleties and nuances of climate science? Ha! There were exactly two questions he used to determine if these climate scientists agreed with him.
First, he asked if they thought the Earth was warmer now (at the time of the survey) than it had been in 1980. Now, I haven't bothered to check, but I'll bet you a dozen donuts that if we look at the temperature data 1980 will have been one of the cooler years in recent times. Thereby just about ensuring any climate scientists familiar with the temperature record would respond "yes" to this question.
The second question was do you think mankind has had a significant impact on this warming. Hmm, guess you pretty much have to have answered yes to the other one, or tacitly approve of a yes there to even answer this question. The weasel word in it is "significant." Well, what is "significant"??? Of course mankind's activities are warming the Earth some - we burn fuel, cities are know to generate heat islands around them etc.
From this very poorly worded, extremely shallow, and hysterically badly analyzed survey comes the BS of 97% of over 10,000 climate scientists agree... It would be knee slapping, drink coming out your nose funny if so many fools weren't repeating it and trying to make policy based on it.
7 minus 5 is 2. Take two 2s. Add of of them to the 7 and you get a 9. Add the other 2 to the 5 and you get 7. Put them together and, et voila, QED, you have 97. It’s the Democrat scientific method at work.
“The “97 percent” figure in the Zimmerman/Doran survey represents the views of only 79 respondents who listed climate science as an area of expertise and said they published more than half of their recent peer-reviewed papers on climate change. Seventy-nine scientistsof the 3,146 who responded to the surveydoes not a consensus make.”
It burns me to know that countries around the world have been forced to spend billions upon billions of dollars to combat what’s turning out to be one of the great scientific hoaxes in our lifetime. Hey Mr. Gore, how’s that prediction of the North Pole icecaps melting by 2013 working out for you? Silence......
Probably the same place they got the 6.3% unemployment number.
"If your going to lie, lie big",
and "If you tell a lie often enough, it will be believed".