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Iowa Senate Ernst (R) 45%, Braley (D) 44% (Good start for Joni!)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 6 June 2014 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 06/06/2014 7:29:37 AM PDT by ScottinVA

The U.S. Senate race in Iowa is a dead heat.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Iowa Voters finds Republican Joni Ernst, the winner of Tuesday’s crowded party primary, with 45% support to Democratic Congressman Bruce Braley’s 44%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate in the race, while nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Iowa was conducted on June 4-5, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: elections; ernst; iowa; senate
Nice little bounce for Joni Ernst, coming of that strong primary win. Go Joni!!
1 posted on 06/06/2014 7:29:37 AM PDT by ScottinVA
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To: ScottinVA

Not good enough. Hope she improves. She will need a wide margin to overcome both the election fraud and the glass ceiling of being the first woman legislator in the state sent to Washington.


2 posted on 06/06/2014 7:33:04 AM PDT by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
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To: fwdude

True, but she was down by 8 in previous polling. Considering Rasmussen now has a more pro-dem sampling system than most, the fact she’s in a dead heat here is encouraging.


3 posted on 06/06/2014 7:36:37 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Obama is so far in over his head, even his ears are beneath the water level.)
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To: ScottinVA

So I guess the Dem’s strategy of calling Joni a “chick” and telling Iowans that her talking about castrating hogs as a young pig farmer was “animal cruelty” didn’t work out too well...


4 posted on 06/06/2014 7:37:32 AM PDT by COBOL2Java (I'm a Christian, pro-life, pro-gun, Reaganite. The GOP hates me. Why should I vote for them?)
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To: fwdude

I posted this question on another thread regarding Joni:

If she loses to the Democrat MAN, does this now mean there’s a Democrat “War On Women”???


5 posted on 06/06/2014 7:38:14 AM PDT by NFHale (The Second Amendment - By Any Means Necessary.)
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To: ScottinVA

From here on to November Joni needs to think twice, speak once.


6 posted on 06/06/2014 7:38:26 AM PDT by US Navy Vet (Go Packers! Go Rockies! Go Boston Bruins! See, I'm "Diverse"!)
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To: fwdude

Fear not!!! Rasmussen has jumped the shark, after it was sold by Scott Rasmussen, and joined the Obama traitor group of pollsters!!! Joni will do just fine....but she cannot make any political mistakes and needs to campaign every minute up to election day, November, 2014. She has a great chance of winning.

My optimism.....the low life lying Democrat pollsters told us it would be hard for Joni Ernst to get 35% of the vote. Obamabots dead wrong.....she got 57% of the primary votes cast!!! Onward!!!


7 posted on 06/06/2014 7:39:58 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX ( My only objective is to defeat and destroy Obama & his Democrat Party, politically!!!.)
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To: COBOL2Java
and telling Iowans that her talking about castrating hogs as a young pig farmer was “animal cruelty”

They tried that line in Iowa?!?! Wow. That Braley doesn't learn.
8 posted on 06/06/2014 7:43:35 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("I'm a Contra" -- President Ronald Reagan)
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To: ScottinVA

What makes Iowa even a battleground state? A lot of Union, universities voters? Seems like it should be more favorable to the Repub column.


9 posted on 06/06/2014 7:53:48 AM PDT by tflabo (Truth or Tyranny)
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To: US Navy Vet
From here on to November Joni needs to think twice, speak once.

Yep, and that would apply to every other potential Todd Akin or Richard Mourdock out there who thinks the will of the Tea Party will overcome any gaffe they commit.

10 posted on 06/06/2014 7:54:39 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Obama is so far in over his head, even his ears are beneath the water level.)
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To: tflabo
Seems like it should be more favorable to the Repub column.

The same can be said for several other, one-time "red" states as well. Entitlement class, unions, godlessness, the allure of "free" stuff... it all adds up after awhile.

11 posted on 06/06/2014 7:57:48 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Obama is so far in over his head, even his ears are beneath the water level.)
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To: ScottinVA
Nice little bounce for Joni Ernst, coming of that strong primary win.

Very nice. Hope it lasts.

12 posted on 06/06/2014 7:59:30 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: JLAGRAYFOX

Good to hear. I forget how disreputable “Rasmussen” has now become. Thanks for the encouraging reminder.


13 posted on 06/06/2014 8:13:43 AM PDT by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
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To: fwdude
She will need a wide margin to overcome both the election fraud and the glass ceiling of being the first woman legislator in the state sent to Washington.

To the latter, I've detected no such "glass ceiling" in Iowa. Not a problem. This woman has shown the chutzpah necessary to quell any associated subliminal bias. So the real problem will be keeping the campaign consultants from channeling her good sense into political mush.

14 posted on 06/06/2014 8:16:06 AM PDT by Carry_Okie (ObamaCare IS Medicaid: They'll pull a sheet over your head and send you the bill.)
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To: tflabo

I think farm subsidies play a large role. Gotta get that gubmint paycheck.


15 posted on 06/06/2014 8:16:13 AM PDT by mplsconservative (Barack Hussein 0bama has American blood on HIS hands!)
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To: ScottinVA

Move Iowa into tossup now. The party has coalesced and Braley is in trouble


16 posted on 06/06/2014 8:31:23 AM PDT by Viennacon
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To: tflabo

Western Iowa is conservative.
Eastern Iowa not so much.


17 posted on 06/06/2014 8:35:10 AM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks (Rip it out by the roots.)
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To: ScottinVA
She should also get a bump from all the non-sense Obama is doing to make American voters mad.

When the good people of Iowa learn the truth about Bergdahl, as well as being upset over Obamacare, this might map out to a 5% to 10% boost in people voting for Joni.

Christians need to pray for her! Prayers really do work!

18 posted on 06/06/2014 8:36:27 AM PDT by topher (Traditional values -- especially family values -- which have been proven over time.)
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To: ScottinVA

She needs to be ahead by at least ten points for it to be close.

After the debacle with the Republican caucuses a few years ago, I don’t have much hope for Iowa.

It doesn’t matter how you vote, just who counts the votes.


19 posted on 06/06/2014 8:42:05 AM PDT by redgolum ("God is dead" -- Nietzsche. "Nietzsche is dead" -- God.)
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To: ScottinVA

Go all in for Joni.


20 posted on 06/06/2014 8:54:45 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: ScottinVA

Former/future SoS Paul Pate, State Auditor Mary Mosiman, Governor Branstad, Lt. Gov. Kim Reynolds, Dr. Mariannette Miller-Meeks, AG candidate Adam Gregg, Joni Ernst
21 posted on 06/06/2014 9:04:26 AM PDT by iowamark (I must study politics and war that my sons may have liberty to study mathematics and philosophy)
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To: ScottinVA
on nice! this would be an extra pickup beyond whats needed to take control of the Senate, pretty far into enemy territory actually.
22 posted on 06/06/2014 9:59:31 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
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To: COBOL2Java

Not only that but when the wife heard Joni’s add about nut plucking and pork whacking she said that was her kind of girl and would get a check off to her. The wife isn’t one to send political checks and we’re about eight states away. There has to be a lot of that kind of sentiment drifting around downtown Iowa.


23 posted on 06/06/2014 10:20:13 AM PDT by cherokee1 (skip the names---just kick the buttz)
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To: ScottinVA

there was an article posted thee other day about how Rassmuessen is the only poller showing Obama with a positive rating. They have been since the business was sold latge last year.


24 posted on 06/06/2014 11:40:37 AM PDT by wiggen (The teacher card. When the racism card just won't work.)
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To: ScottinVA

Growing pains. Far too many cazndidates the past few cycles who either (and this only matters to the right) were unqualified for office or just taking advazantaged of the movement.


25 posted on 06/06/2014 11:43:12 AM PDT by wiggen (The teacher card. When the racism card just won't work.)
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To: iowamark

Hoping she doesn’t get too chummy with that bunch.

We need more Rs like Steve King.


26 posted on 06/06/2014 11:45:04 AM PDT by newgeezer (It is [the people's] right and duty to be at all times armed. --Thomas Jefferson, 1824)
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To: ScottinVA

Loras College just released a poll of the IA Senate race, and it shows Joni Ernst beating Braley by 48%-42%. Still a long way to go until November, but Ernst is looking pretty good right now.


27 posted on 06/06/2014 12:51:15 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll defend your rights?)
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To: ScottinVA

Go Joni!


28 posted on 06/06/2014 3:57:28 PM PDT by RB156
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To: ScottinVA

Another poll, from Loras College, has her up 48%-42%.


29 posted on 06/06/2014 6:58:26 PM PDT by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
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To: ScottinVA


30 posted on 06/06/2014 7:57:27 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (I will raise $2Million USD for Cruz and/or Palin's next run, what will you do?)
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To: ScottinVA

A good start in liberal land, but the least misstatement and the wrath of the American people will come down on her like she is Todd Akin’s sister.


31 posted on 06/07/2014 7:26:19 AM PDT by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
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To: Theodore R.

How can brucie attack her? texas trial lawyer beats on a girl? Lumping her as an Iowa Palin isn’t going to work. She has much more substance than brucie. It is too early to predict yet, but I think Joni got him knocked!!! Go Joni!


32 posted on 06/07/2014 9:19:18 AM PDT by 1stIowa ( GMC)
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To: 1stIowa

Braley doesn’t have to attack her. The Des Moines Register, Iowa television broadcasters and public broadcasting affiliates will do it for him. The national media and Hollywood types will do their part too.

Braley is a four-term sitting US Congressman. I am unaware of any connection to Texas. His career has been centered in Waterloo, Iowa, hometown of Michele Bachmann.


33 posted on 06/07/2014 9:31:18 AM PDT by jjotto ("Ya could look it up!")
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To: COBOL2Java

Those dumb comments need to be brought back up late August. Demand an explanation, demand a condemnation by Braley, demand an explanation and an apology by Braley.

It’s the Democrats who wage war on women.


34 posted on 06/07/2014 12:24:48 PM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: ScottinVA

I am not sure Akin really was tea party. The more I look the faker he gets.


35 posted on 06/07/2014 12:26:08 PM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: newgeezer

hehe

She IS that bunch.


36 posted on 06/07/2014 12:30:33 PM PDT by jjotto ("Ya could look it up!")
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To: ScottinVA

Wow, what happened to that big lead Braley?


37 posted on 06/09/2014 5:40:56 AM PDT by CPT Clay (Follow me on Twitter @Clay N TX)
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To: tflabo

“A lot of Union, universities voters? Seems like it should be more favorable to the Repub column.”

Iowa City, with the University of Iowa is a leftist stronghold. Lots of influence, at least in the past. Maybe the tide will eventually turn there too?


38 posted on 06/09/2014 6:16:57 AM PDT by GGpaX4DumpedTea (I am a Tea Party descendant...steeped in the Constitutional Republic given to us by the Founders)
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To: jjotto
I am unaware of any connection to Texas

Search: Braley Texas fundraiser Grassley

39 posted on 06/09/2014 1:16:00 PM PDT by newgeezer (It is [the people's] right and duty to be at all times armed. --Thomas Jefferson, 1824)
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To: GGpaX4DumpedTea
Iowa City, with the University of Iowa is a leftist stronghold. ... Maybe the tide will eventually turn there too?

LOL. Stop, please. You're killing me.

The tide will turn at the U of I soon after San Francisco elects an evangelical Christian conservative mayor.

40 posted on 06/09/2014 1:19:09 PM PDT by newgeezer (It is [the people's] right and duty to be at all times armed. --Thomas Jefferson, 1824)
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To: newgeezer

“The tide will turn at the U of I soon after San Francisco elects an evangelical Christian conservative mayor.”

Yes, geezer, I know you are absolutely correct (don’t know if you are right or left, but absolutely correct :) }

Expert that you are, is Ames and Iowa State in the same category? I am an Iowa native and Iowa State alum (Chem E, ‘62), but haven’t been keeping up. All the best to Joni...


41 posted on 06/09/2014 3:33:02 PM PDT by GGpaX4DumpedTea (I am a Tea Party descendant...steeped in the Constitutional Republic given to us by the Founders)
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To: ScottinVA

Another new poll from “Vox Populi”, Ernst leads 49%-44%.


42 posted on 06/09/2014 5:14:25 PM PDT by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
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To: newgeezer

hehe

Attending a fundraiser hardly makes him a “texas trial lawyer”.


43 posted on 06/09/2014 5:25:35 PM PDT by jjotto ("Ya could look it up!")
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To: ScottinVA

All about the democrat plan. They are buying states one at a time. Iowa was bought with farm subsidies, etc.


44 posted on 06/11/2014 7:08:45 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: jjotto; 1stIowa
Attending a fundraiser hardly makes him a “texas trial lawyer”.

It was not me but 1stIowa who called him that.

You had said you were "unaware of any connection to Texas." Now you're aware.

45 posted on 06/18/2014 8:54:30 AM PDT by newgeezer (It is [the people's] right and duty to be at all times armed. --Thomas Jefferson, 1824)
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