Skip to comments.Cantor's Loss Puts Establishment GOP Meme To Rest
Posted on 06/11/2014 5:15:25 AM PDT by cotton1706
For the first post-primary Wednesday this year, Im not having to poke holes in the pre-ordained MSM narrative for this campaign cycle, The Year of the Republican Establishment, wherein the Great Big Adults of the GOP were supposed to put down the unruly Tea Folk and position their pragmatic party perfectly for smashing victories in 2014 and maybe 2016 as well. Id say the Republican voters of the 7th congressional district of Virginia put that meme to rest for the immediate future.
Yes, in case you werent anywhere close to political news outlets (or Twitter, which exploded) last night, House Majority Leader Eric Cantor, poised to inherit John Boehners gavel any old day now, and usually thought to be safely to Boehners right, was denied renomination by the Republicans of his district. By a 56-44 landslide. To a nobody that he outspent at least 20-1.
So now Randolph-Macon College economics professor David Brat is the GOP nominee for Congress in the 7th District, and unless Cantor chooses to roll the dice on a general election write-in campaign (which would, of course, kill his leadership career even if he won, and might even throw this strongly red district to a Democrat), hes history. And speaking of history, theres no recent precedent for a House or Senate Majority Leaders deposition in a primary. The closest analog is Newt Gingrichs (then serving as the number two Republican in the House) near-death experience in a 1992 primary immediately after a redistricting force him to move into unfamiliar territory. Two years later, Newt stood astride Washington like a colossus. Cantor can only imagine what might have been.
(Excerpt) Read more at talkingpointsmemo.com ...
Not all good news
Cantor was more worried about Congress and Washington than taking care of his constituents. Good riddance.
Let this be a warning to the Weeper of the House - Your days as Speaker are numbered!
You’re right about Graham. I have been campaigning against him for two straight years. He’s a very good politician, slimy, slick, and can change colors on a dime.
He duped the republicans of SC once again but he’s not a sure thing in November.
Zombie Tea Party - tremble!
You have been on him for some time. You are probablly the happiest person Freerepublic today. Great call. Still more work to do.
Oh I can’t tell you how happy I am that we took down such an arrogant, elitest snake. I heard part of his concession speech on the radio this morning and couldn’t be more relieved that we won’t have to hear that boring, droning, moderate tone for much longer.
-- Robert Louis Stevenson
" As one loser to another...."
In a separate leading indicator of the political mood of the country, supplies of feathers and roofing tar seem to be drying up and Home Depot is flat sold out of wooden rails and the really rough hewn ones with lots of sharp splinters sold out the quickest.
what I really want to happen is that the Tea Party begins fielding their own candidates.
Start with an opponent against RINO Cornyn here in Texas
They did not fix it, now they must pay. Voters have had enough. It's called a "belly full of politics".
I hope the power brokers invested millions in grooming Cantor to be the turncoat he became. Now they have to start all over.
Observe. It is already happening. Don't you see?
No doubt about it---Cantor was the architect of his own catastrophic fall.
His arrogant "we got it made" attitude---so dismissive of tea partiers---proved to be his undoing.
His rudeness to callers was a sign of his contempt----in his mind he was "untouchable."
Cantor flaunted his contempt---attending the anti-Tea Party group's meeting.
No question, Cantor's pro-amnesty stance put the kibosh to his Congressional career.
Hasta la vista, senor. And don't let the cantina door bruise your sorry *** as you exit.
His throwing out the ‘impeach Obama’ line the other day is Grahamnesty's tricky style. He wont repeat it again. (I have no doubt that Grahamnesty believes that Obama had full authority to release those five terrorists.)
I been reminding freepers here for ~ 3 years how he pulled the same trick on amnesty(immigration),he dropped the line on a Sunday show ~ 2011 about changing the constitution over citizenship.
He mentioned it once and never again.(yet its all over the internet that Republicans re talking about it)
But there are fools who don't see his duplicity.
He's more of an ear bud than a speaker...
I kinda like to ponder the weeping and gnashing of teeth happening in Democrat circles——b/c they learned a very tough lesson, as well.
The Dummycrats already have to contend w/ their ill-advised votes on Obamacare-—and now voters are looking up their positions on amnesty.
My, oh my. Watta pickle they’re in. ROTFLOL.
“An avalanche of 18,000 more Va Repub voters turned out this year than last time.”
RATS chose their candidate before the primary, a bunch of those may be crossover rat voters.
Yes! I am disappointed not to see more photos of Cantor and others looking confused and down...I want to GLOAT, dammit!
Cantor lost, fair and square.
Cantor is one of the US Chamber of Commerces star Amnesty Whores that has become a lame, (but still very dangerous), duck, and there are many, Many more Amnesty Whores to go.
It is time, - - - - time for a change.
He’ll just move into another district that’s more in line with his ideology and then he’ll run again. When then Faux conservative congressman Jay Inslee(D) was defeated in 94 for the WA 4th district (eastern Washington) he moved to liberal Bainbridge Island and was elected back to congress from there. Of course he didn’t have to pretend to be conservative and was free to express his ultra liberal views. He could have stayed there forever until he decided to run for governor. Now were stuck with him and his global clan are change BS that he spews every waking moment.
Mmmmm......but Cantor’s got a monkey on his back no matter where he goes......the Tea Party.
"Eric, I'm glad you came to the amnesty strategy meeting w/ Nancy and me."
At some point he drank the Obama kool-aid, so I’m glad he’s gone. But now will the district flip for the Dems?
Goober used the McCain strategy of going right for the primary but revealing his true colors in the general election campaign. Unfortunately, people bought it, as they did with McCain.
The Dems don't have a candidate. Brat will be opposed by a Green and a Libertarian in the general.
Consequently, there was no benefit to them turning out to vote for Brat.
No - it’s a very strong R district.
“The Dems don’t have a candidate.”
The Dems HAVE a candidate, a demonrat one!
They didn’t need to list his name on the primary ballot because the Dem party gave him their nomination in advance of the primary!
Good call Liz - you've got it...
“Because the district is so reliably Republican and Cantor being so powerful, the democrats did not even field a candidate: until Monday this week. His name is Jack Trammel, a professor from the same obscure liberal arts college a few miles off interstate 95.”
He is their Dem candidate, the party gave him their nomination.
EDITED--Eric Cantor's Pollster Tries to Explain Why His Survey Showed Cantor Up 34 Points.
Ntl Journal By Shane Goldmacher, June 11, 2014
Less than a week before voters dumped the House majority leader, an internal poll for Cantor's campaign, trumpeted to the Washington Post, showed Cantor cruising to a 34-point victory in his primary. Instead, Cantor got crushed, losing by 10 percentage points. How did Cantor's pollster, veteran Republican survey-taker John McLaughlin, get the historic race so terribly wrong?
In an email to National Journal, McLaughlin, whose firm has been paid nearly $75,000 by Cantor's campaign since 2013, offered several explanations: unexpectedly high turnout, last-minute Democratic meddling, and stinging late attacks on amnesty and immigration. "Primary turnout was 45,000 2 years ago," McLaughlin wrote. "This time 65,000. This was an almost 50% increase in turnout."
Translation: McLaughlin's estimate of who was a "likely Republican" voter was way, way off the mark. But Cantor's total number of votes still shrunk, even as the total number of primary voters went up dramatically in 2014. He secured 37,369 primary votes in 2012 and less than 29,000 this year, with 100 percent of precincts reporting.
Meanwhile, McLaughin wrote that "attacks on immigration and amnesty charges from the right in last week hurt." Then McLaughlin cited the "Cooter" factor the fact that former Rep. Ben Jones, a Georgia Democrat who played Cooter in The Dukes of Hazzard, had written an open letter urging Democrats to vote for Brat to help beat Cantor.
"Over the weekend Democrats like Ben Jones and liberal media were driving their Democratic voters on the internet into the open primary," McLaughlin wrote. "Eric got hit from right and left. In our polls two weeks out Eric was stronger with Republicans at 70% of the vote, but running under 50% among non Republicans.""Untold story," McLaughlin continued, "is who were the new primary voters? They were probably not Republicans."
Thanks for the update.
Is it conceivable that the "Cooter Factor" might be worth 20,000 more voters?
Ahhhhhh! Very nice.
The entire chattering class, the pundits...not one in 1,000 saw Cantor’s defeat coming..they couldn’t even entertain the idea. Yet in the 3 hours since the results were announced (9PM EST) they produced hundreds of articles explaining the meaning and significance of it, and how it would all hurt Republicans..
The know-it-alls failed to report that this was not just a loss---it was a 12 point political slaughter. Congressional Quarterly reported NO sitting leader ever lost an election. The victorious Brat ran as Cantor's "TERM LIMIT"---a good slogan for other Republicans.
WRT the amnesty issue----the miniscule Hispanic vote is overly-hyped and pumped-up to scare vote-crazed Dems---its at a nothing 10 per cent now and for the for-seeable future.
Brat's winning opposition to it puts the kibosh to amnesty. But you know the execrable Obama will see this as his "right" to an Executive Order.
Starting now, Dems are on notice---if Obo moves on this unilaterally----Americans will insist Dems demand his resignation
I’ve called Cantor’s DC office, as well as my own Pubbie Rep’s office, asking if Cantor is planning to immediately resign his Majority *Leader*ship position. As of this morning, they didn’t know.
I told them he should, as VA has sent Cantor a clear message....Get out!
Call Cantor’s and your Rep’s (pubbie) offices and demand he resign the position.
Well, he certainly seemed confused during his concession speech (or whatever that was), last night. I think he was shellshocked but he pretty much rambled his canned, go-to nonsense.
Oh God---I love it (cue applause meter).
I bet not many Hispanics voted in that GOP primary in that district, I wonder what % of that entire district is hispanic.
I just read that Cantor will resign from his Leadership position at the end of July.
He should resign that position immediately!
When Republicans move 8 million Chinese (who have agreed to vote Republican in exchange for citizenship) into that district it won’t matter... will it?
Thanks to you-—you got the ball rolling.
My best guess, is after the 3rd conservative ultra-RINO is shoved down our throat in 2016, the Tea Party will coalesce and consolidate into it's own party by 2020- 2022.
Those are the cores of most hemmoroids in DC after a few years. Which is why they need to be removed by their voters when those signs appear.