Skip to comments.Eric Cantor's Pollster Gave A Laughably Bad Excuse For Why He Was So Wrong [A 45 Point Miss!]
Posted on 06/11/2014 10:25:36 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
House Majority Leader Eric Cantor's pollster is blaming Democrats for meddling in Cantor's race and pushing Tea Party-affiliated opponent Dave Brat to victory. He's wrong, according to political observers and interpretations drawn from turnout results.
John McLaughlin, Cantor's pollster, released a survey days before the primary indicating Cantor had the election in the bag. The poll showed Cantor leading Brat by 34 points. Since Brat ended up winning by 11 points, that's a 45-point miss.
This is not the first time McLaughlin's data has been off in recent elections, but he took advantage of comments from "Dukes of Hazard" actor Ben Jones to suggest Democrats swung the outcome of Cantor's primary.
"That is ... honestly, it's just not possible," said Geoffrey Skelley, an associate editor at Sabato's Crystal Ball, the publication headed by University of Virginia professor Larry Sabato. "That's a bunch of bunk."
Skelley told Business Insider it was plausible some Democrats turned out to vote for Brat and oust Cantor, the No. 2 House Republican. But there's "no way," he said, that higher turnout than normal for Democrats in an open primary was responsible for an 11-point margin.
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
The beltway types are so steeped in their own incest that they actually don’t think that their sh*t really stinks.
Where’s that Cantor guy who said they were going to take their warchest and take over the VA GOP? Where is that guy today?
I can see some voting because they can’t stand Cantor, but he’s right - not 11 points worth
When you hire a pollster who misses by that much then it raises questions about the sources of information this guy had been operating on on a whole lot of other things.
He’s not a pollster, he’s a PR flack who calls himself a pollster.
He was wrong, and he’s wrong about why he was wrong. He and his ilk are parasites interested in preserving the bigger parasites above them who hire lower parasites for their poor advice and to therefrom seek to form a parasitical relationship with funds available from taxation within the US Treasury.
Would it be disrespectful to say “May he [and his boss] eat dogturds”?
Thanks, I knew you’d understand.
doh sorry dial-up folks I didn’t know that was a full 4 MB.
One conservative can beat an establishment incumbent. Six challengers, as in SC, can’t. Get smart, conservatives.
David Dewhurst had six challengers in the Texas Senate race.
Ted Cruz was one of the.
Six true. Multiple is fine. There has to be one who really can campaign, organize and raise money to get second and then win the runoff. A third and possibly forth can help keep the incumbent under 50. A head to head race requires a win straight out.
Maybe the pollster used the same voter fraud metric for Cantor that he would use for a democrat. Just like any other RINO, Cantor is leftist-lite. He knew enough to lie through his teeth on positions but not enough to have bags of pre-marked ballots sitting in car trunks across the district. The pollster would have been more accurate if Cantor had told him he wasn’t prepared to cheat.
Polling isn’t just about measuring results, it’s also about driving the narrative. By saying your guy is down 34 points, you are being told you have no hope. It’s propaganda. Thank God, it looks like Americans are finally going to the polls anyway.
Mofo Politics said his spending on polling was the only fiscally conservative thing Cantor did. He should have put that poll out.
I’ll never understand why some states have open primaries.
Is it to save money?