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McDaniel up in new Mississippi Senate poll
The Hill ^ | June 12, 2014 | Alexandra Jaffe

Posted on 06/12/2014 4:18:46 PM PDT by jazusamo

Sen. Thad Cochran’s (R-Miss.) primary challenger, Mississippi state Sen. Chris McDaniel, is leading the incumbent by 8 points in a new internal poll of the competitive runoff.

The survey, conducted by WPA Research for McDaniel’s campaign, shows him with 49 percent support to Cochran’s 41 percent support among likely GOP primary voters.

McDaniel’s also got a more solid base of support, with 43 percent of his supporters saying they’ll “definitely” vote for him in the runoff, while 38 percent say the same of Cochran. Ten percent of respondents said they were undecided.

The results align with two other surveys of the runoff conducted over the past week, both of which gave McDaniel a lead. Indeed, runoffs historically favor the challenger, as turnout declines and the candidate with the more enthusiastic following is typically victorious.

McDaniel is getting help from national conservative groups and figures to make sure that happens. The Club for Growth went on air for him on Thursday , attacking Cochran for his votes in office and because he’s trying to “have Democrats hijack the Republican runoff,” a reference to his campaign’s strategy to get Democrats to turn out for him in the runoff.

Josh Duggar, the executive director of the Family Research Council’s political arm and one of the stars of the popular TLC reality show “19 Kids and Counting,” will be at a campaign rally Saturday morning in Pearl, Miss., while former Texas Rep. Ron Paul headlines a 2nd Amendment rally for McDaniel in Hattiesburg, Miss., in the afternoon.

But Cochran is getting some star power of his own — and his is more home-grown.

In a new ad from his campaign, former Sen. Trent Lott (R-Miss.) touts Cochran’s work securing funding for job-producing entities in the state, like Ingalls Shipbuilding shipyard and the Stennis Space Center.

“Without Thad Cochran, we could lose some of these important facilities,” Lott says, declaring the race is about “jobs in Southern Mississippi.”

Cochran’s campaign is banking on a belief that voters will be swayed to support him in the runoff if they’re aware of how much his power and experience means for the state.

But that message was overshadowed on Thursday as an off-the-cuff comment he made during a speech at a hospital on Tuesday gained notice.

Cochran told the crowd about visiting his grandmother in the area as a young boy and joked that he would spend time in the country “doing all sorts of indecent things with animals.”

The crowd laughed, but national media picked up the comment and it drew jokes on Twitter.



TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arkansas; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: 19kidsandcounting; 2016election; arkansas; buhbyecochran; duggarfamily; election2016; elections; familyresearchcounc; frc; homosexualagenda; joshduggar; mcdaniel; mikehuckabee; mississippi; mitchmcconnellfail; popefrancis; romancatholicism; senateraces; tlc
Good news. Go McDaniel!
1 posted on 06/12/2014 4:18:46 PM PDT by jazusamo
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To: WKB; Lil Flower; Din Maker; Malichi; WXRGina; duffee; onyx; DrewsMum; Tupelo; mstar; jdirt; ...

MS Ping


2 posted on 06/12/2014 4:20:04 PM PDT by petitfour
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To: jazusamo

I don’t trust internal polls and I don’t trust the GOPe not to do whatever they have to in order to keep this seat.


3 posted on 06/12/2014 4:22:03 PM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: jazusamo

Time for the old GOPe guy to go.

Time for Fresh Conservative Blood!


4 posted on 06/12/2014 4:22:42 PM PDT by Uncle Miltie (Radicalized via the Internet)
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To: jazusamo

From former Sen.Trent Lott - the kiss of death.

What is it with all these old men?


5 posted on 06/12/2014 4:22:46 PM PDT by SatinDoll (A NATURAL BORN CITIZEN IS BORN IN THE US OF US CITIZEN PARENTS.)
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To: Uncle Miltie

Be honorable, Cochran: Withdraw.


6 posted on 06/12/2014 4:23:14 PM PDT by Uncle Miltie (Radicalized via the Internet)
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To: jazusamo

Last Tuesday it was 49-49. Now McDaniel’s still at 49 while Cochran dropped 8 points. He’s done.


7 posted on 06/12/2014 4:25:42 PM PDT by cotton1706 (ThisRepublic.net)
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To: Uncle Miltie

The GOPers will never withdraw. When McDaniel wins this primary watch for the GOPe to do everything it can to harm him in the general.


8 posted on 06/12/2014 4:26:08 PM PDT by RightOnTheBorder
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To: jazusamo
And the race should be over in the next few days.

THAD COCHRAN: I GREW UP DOING 'ALL KINDS OF INDECENT THINGS WITH ANIMALS'

or

Thad Cochran Says He Grew Up Doing ‘All Kinds Of Indecent Things With Animals’


9 posted on 06/12/2014 4:27:30 PM PDT by deport
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To: SatinDoll

The old timers should be supporting new blood, the GOPe has given 0bummer free reign (not a typo).


10 posted on 06/12/2014 4:28:29 PM PDT by jazusamo (Sometimes I think that this is an era when sanity has become controversial: Thomas Sowell)
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To: deport

Thanks for the links. I can’t believe that is mentioned in this piece from The Hill.


11 posted on 06/12/2014 4:30:44 PM PDT by jazusamo (Sometimes I think that this is an era when sanity has become controversial: Thomas Sowell)
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To: petitfour; All
A running list of reinforcements for Cruz, Lee, and the sometimes Paul and Rubio...

* TW Shannon
* J. Ernst
* Maness
* McDaniel
* Scott from South Carolina

And? Anyone else that I forgot or Sarah might endorse ( Alaska comes to mind and any Alaskan Freeper's out their with an Update? )

12 posted on 06/12/2014 4:35:50 PM PDT by taildragger (The E-GOP won't know what hit them, The Party of Reagan is almost here, hang tight folks....)
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To: jazusamo

Oh yeah! The polls were very accurate in the primary, stating it was too
close to call. And it ended being very close. If this poll is as accurate,
Cochran and Boss Hogg will be not be able to cheat their way to victory

And Hinds County will not be able to gin up enough votes for Boss Hogg.
Why do you think Hinds County quit reporting results for hours and hours?


13 posted on 06/12/2014 4:36:33 PM PDT by tennmountainman (Just Say No To Cochran And Boss Hogg.)
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To: jazusamo

Whole lot of people gonna lose their meal ticket and access to power when Cochran is gone


14 posted on 06/12/2014 4:39:32 PM PDT by rdcbn
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To: cotton1706
Last Tuesday it was 49-49.

Last Tuesday was "BB"

Before Brat.

15 posted on 06/12/2014 4:46:18 PM PDT by Mygirlsmom (Tea: A beverage best served cold. With RINO meat.)
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To: jazusamo

Go, McDaniel!!


16 posted on 06/12/2014 4:49:31 PM PDT by Jim Robinson (Resistance to tyrants is obedience to God!!)
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To: jazusamo

Well he SHOULD be! He just got a windfall with that foolishness from Cochran.


17 posted on 06/12/2014 5:00:53 PM PDT by Psalm 144 (FIGHT! FIGHT! SEVERE CONSERVATIVE AND THE WILD RIGHT!)
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To: Uncle Miltie

He is non compos mentis, and the coutiers driving him around and propping him up are not going to give up their gig.


18 posted on 06/12/2014 5:02:32 PM PDT by Psalm 144 (FIGHT! FIGHT! SEVERE CONSERVATIVE AND THE WILD RIGHT!)
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To: jazusamo

Most of the national media and all of the political operatives are twisting the facts of this election to help influence the outcome. The reality is that this race has some very important structural components that makes it very tough for Cochran to come out on top.

First, the Democrat Party in Mississippi is a dysfunctional rump of its former self. Its membership consists of blacks and liberal white professors and the earth muffin types who hang around colleges towns and beaches. The professors have already voted and the earth muffins don’t have any motivation to do so. Those blacks who will go to the polls have already done so, mostly in the Democrat Primary. All of these voters are relegated to the sidelines.

Second. Cochran is an incumbent who failed to get 50%. His supporters showed up for the primary, so how is he going to come up with enough new voters to get over 50%. Very unlikely.

Third. He has never had to campaign and doesn’t know how. Unless he is sent on a fact finding tour of the Galapagos Islands he is going to make more mistakes and they are going to continue to cost him.

Fourth. The momentum is all on McDaniels side. Cantor’s defeat reinforces the populist sentiment that entrenched Washington politicians are not properly representing the folks back home. Cochran is a poster child for that sterotype.

Finally. When you are running in a wave election, it doesn’t help when your record shows that your votes put you squarely on the slide that is about to get swamped. People are now looking at that record and it won’t help him.

Polls aside, I don’t think that Cochran can overcome the things that are stacked against him.


19 posted on 06/12/2014 5:25:05 PM PDT by centurion316
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To: DoodleDawg

I read where RNC has withdrawn all support, but for McConnell’s little fundraiser of senate republicrats digging up a dollar or two. Thad is not helping himself, and very likely toast.


20 posted on 06/12/2014 5:29:24 PM PDT by RitaOK ( VIVA CHRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming.)
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To: centurion316
Thanks for your post, it's a good rundown and hope you're right. Am not familiar
with the politics of the South being I've always lived in the West.
21 posted on 06/12/2014 5:38:37 PM PDT by jazusamo (Sometimes I think that this is an era when sanity has become controversial: Thomas Sowell)
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To: jazusamo

Cochran told the crowd about visiting his grandmother in the area as a young boy and joked that he would spend time in the country “doing all sorts of indecent things with animals.”
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

OMG.... Either he was/is a Beastiality pervert or totally mentally incapacitated. If someone doesn’t make a political add of that gaffe, they’re missing a golden opportunity.


22 posted on 06/12/2014 5:42:00 PM PDT by Din Maker (Susana Martinez in 2016! Governor, Conservative, Female and Hispanic.)
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To: tennmountainman

It was so weird. And did you know Cochrans sis in law was in custody of those votes?


23 posted on 06/12/2014 5:46:35 PM PDT by DrewsMum
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To: jazusamo

“Cochran told the crowd about visiting his grandmother in the area as a young boy and joked that he would spend time in the country ‘doing all sorts of indecent things with animals.’”

Where’s the resident Establishment, Big Government Republican FReeper Brigade that always tells us to go with the GOP-e candidate since the conservative/tea party candidate is very likely to lose the election to a Dim in the general election due to foot-in-mouth disease?


24 posted on 06/12/2014 5:58:54 PM PDT by SharpRightTurn (White, black, and red all over--America's affirmative action, metrosexual president.)
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To: jazusamo
In a new ad from his campaign, former Sen. Trent Lott (R-Miss.) touts Cochran’s work securing funding for job-producing entities in the state,

Jobs should come from private sector growth, not from government deficit spending.

25 posted on 06/12/2014 6:06:47 PM PDT by Moonman62 (The US has become a government with a country, rather than a country with a government.)
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To: DrewsMum

Yeah, I heard that.
Corrupt as they come.


26 posted on 06/12/2014 6:08:48 PM PDT by tennmountainman (Just Say No To Cochran And Boss Hogg.)
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To: Psalm 144

Agree. Cochran is just a prop in his own campaign, with Boss Hogg
holding up the prop Cochran.


27 posted on 06/12/2014 6:11:27 PM PDT by tennmountainman (Just Say No To Cochran And Boss Hogg.)
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To: jazusamo

Excellent!


28 posted on 06/12/2014 6:23:33 PM PDT by TBP (Obama lies, Granny dies.)
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To: Uncle Miltie

AMEN! When I read that he was only running so that he could then retire and let the governor choose Barbour to replace him, I thought WHAT A DIRTBAG! Barbour knows that people are beginning to notice the switches he has made in his conservative ideology and is afraid he could not carry the vote on his own. Let Cochran do the lifting on this one! That made me even more angry, the tricks that are played! WAKE UP, America! You’re being played for a fool!


29 posted on 06/12/2014 6:38:05 PM PDT by Shery (in APO Land)
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To: jazusamo

This won’t even be close.


30 posted on 06/12/2014 9:41:51 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: jazusamo

According to my sister, who lives on the Coast, Thud hasn’t been doing much at all for the shipyard, despite what Trent says.


31 posted on 06/13/2014 9:14:19 PM PDT by SuziQ
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To: jazusamo; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; BillyBoy; yongin; Viennacon; randita; InterceptPoint; ...

Other polls

Georgia Senate Runoff - Insider Advantage

Jack Kingston 46%

RINO David Perdue 35%

MN Senate - Survey USA

Al Franken (D) 48%

Mike McFadden (R) 42%

We have a real shot there

Perhaps not in VA though

VA Senate - “Rasmussen”

Mark Warner (D) 53%

Ed Gillespie (R) 36%


32 posted on 06/13/2014 10:51:14 PM PDT by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
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To: Impy

It will be curious to see if Gillespie can (or will) hammer away at Mark Warner. His support in VA has always been baffling to me.


33 posted on 06/14/2014 4:29:50 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: Impy

Thanks...Kingston looks good.

It’d be great to see Franken knocked off, shouldn’t have been there in the first place.

Looks like it’ll be tough to unseat Warner, gonna have to have some luck.


34 posted on 06/14/2014 7:52:42 AM PDT by jazusamo (Sometimes I think that this is an era when sanity has become controversial: Thomas Sowell)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Me too, why is/was he was so popular? I can’t see any appeal.


35 posted on 06/14/2014 10:26:55 AM PDT by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
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