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Thad Cochran, Chris McDaniel in Dead Heat, According to Latest Polling Data
GulfLive ^ | June 16, 2014 | Gareth Clary

Posted on 06/16/2014 8:41:39 PM PDT by nickcarraway

A new poll released by Chism Strategies on the Republican runoff for U.S. Senate shows a statistical dead heat between incumbent Thad Cochran and challenger Chris McDaniel.

In the Chism poll, Cochran now leads with 48 percent with 47 percent for McDaniel, within the margin of error of 3.3 percent.

The statewide poll was conducted Friday night among 821 households and only included voters who voted in the June 3 Republican primary. The runoff election is June 24.

Chism raises the following key questions in the "observations" section of the poll:

-- Will traditional "general election Republicans" in university towns, the shipyards and military base communities where Cochran underperformed in the primary adequately respond to this appeal?

-- Will the reminders about Cochran's longevity and power in Washington energize McDaniel supporters even more?

But in other polling news, a report on breitbart.com shows McDaniel with a 12-point lead -- 52-40 in a survey conducted by the Citizens United Political Victory Fund poll and by Kellyanne Conway of The Polling Company, Inc.,

Last week, polling released by the McDaniel campaign showed McDaniel with the lead. The Chism polling indicated McDaniel leading 51-48.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: 2014midterms; chrismcdaniel; cochran; mcdaniel; mississippi; ms2014; thadcochran
Poll: Cochran rebounds, in dead heat with McDaniel
1 posted on 06/16/2014 8:41:40 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

Come on Mississippians, do us proud-—vote for McDaniel, and have all your friends and relatives do the same.

Whatever you do, don’t be overconfident!


2 posted on 06/16/2014 8:44:36 PM PDT by House Atreides (ELL)
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To: House Atreides

I always say I’m voting for the other guy because I know they’re going to feed them the numbers and I want them to be overconfident when they get their blocks knocked off. Anyone else do the same?


3 posted on 06/16/2014 8:48:06 PM PDT by jsanders2001
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To: House Atreides

MS needs to flood the polls with the same passion they showed in the primary, or more.


4 posted on 06/16/2014 8:49:31 PM PDT by Kenny
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To: House Atreides

Two of the last polls have Thud losing by 8% and 12%. Someone is lying here.


5 posted on 06/16/2014 8:49:31 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

Chism has a little larger sample, but its possible they deliberately phoned Democrips on behalf of Haley ‘fatass’ Barbour


6 posted on 06/16/2014 8:53:03 PM PDT by Viennacon
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To: nickcarraway

we’ll see when the vote is taken...Cantor after all was leading by 34 points


7 posted on 06/16/2014 9:04:09 PM PDT by Nifster
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To: Red Steel

Not necessarily. They could have been incompetent, or it could have been a flukey sample.


8 posted on 06/16/2014 9:08:23 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

Must be the Thad “indecent” comment with the animals thing that really gave him a surge in the polls :/


9 posted on 06/16/2014 9:11:48 PM PDT by gwgn02
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To: nickcarraway

unbelievable


10 posted on 06/16/2014 9:32:13 PM PDT by clintonh8r (Can Juan Williams possibly be that stupid?)
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To: nickcarraway

It’s important to not lose sight of the general election in November.

Mississippi is 37% Black, and Black voters there have slowly but surely increased their turn out in the last 20 years.

The Republican senate nominee must get 80% of the white vote to guarantee a victory.

Romney got 89% of the white vote in 2012, so that is certainly achievable.

However, I don’t know who the Democrat nominee is.

If the Democrat senate nominee is attractive to Left leaning white voters, if the Democrat can capture 25% of the white vote, there is a real possibility the Republican nominee will lose, no matter which one wins the primary.


11 posted on 06/16/2014 9:37:41 PM PDT by zeestephen
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To: clintonh8r

They are nailing McDaniel on his past statements about federal funds for Education is unconstitutional and I hear it may be hurting him.


12 posted on 06/16/2014 9:39:01 PM PDT by Paul8148
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To: nickcarraway

McDaniel Opens 12-Point Lead Over Cochran.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3168383/posts


13 posted on 06/16/2014 9:42:13 PM PDT by george76 (Ward Churchill : Fake Indian, Fake Scholarship, and Fake Art)
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Hopefully the voters in Mississippi will realize it is time for the old dude to retire...his ship has sailed...time for new ideas and younger, energetic people needed..

and that goes for Hillary Clinton, she doesn’t have the energy to serve any longer...age happens and age matters...and yes I’m talking from experience at 71 years old...

WAKE UP VOTERS, WE ARE LOSING OUR GREAT NATION....


14 posted on 06/16/2014 9:44:36 PM PDT by haircutter
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To: george76

McDaniel will win this easily.


15 posted on 06/16/2014 9:48:18 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: Red Steel

“from Democratic pollster” : That tells you who is lying.


16 posted on 06/17/2014 3:36:58 AM PDT by djpg
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To: djpg

It also tells you who the Rats want to run against.


17 posted on 06/17/2014 3:40:06 AM PDT by Fresh Wind (The last remnants of the Old Republic have been swept away.)
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To: nickcarraway

I thought there was a poll yesterday that had McDaniel up by 12?


18 posted on 06/17/2014 3:53:50 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: House Atreides

Tennesseans, here is your chance to do the same to RINO lamar alexander as was done to cantor. Lamar is a Oath Breaker of 2 terms and out. He sides with the dems more than GOP. His cloture vote let 0’care out of committee. He has presided over ever increasing debt. And his role in gutting Military Pensions is hushed up.

TN Rep Joe Carr
https://www.carrfortn.com/about/

Joe Carr is a conservative state representative from Middle Tennessee. Rep. Carr is also a farmer, small businessman, husband of 30 years, father to Joe Jr., Maddie and Erin, a grandfather and a man of faith. Joe and Ginny own Cedar Snag Farms, a 95-acre farm in Lascassas, Tennessee just a stones throw from Murfreesboro in Rutherford County.

Joe is also a strong leader. He believes elected officials are elected to lead and must lead on principle. First elected in 2008, Joe immediately began championing free enterprise reforms to help create jobs, promote small business and create a better environment for Tennesseans to raise their families. He spearheaded the movement to protect Tennessee families from the federal government¹s dereliction of duty in fighting back against illegal immigration. He understands illegal immigration punishes law-abiding Tennessee taxpayers and hurts Tennesseans struggling to find work to keep a roof over their kids¹ heads and put food on the table.

Carr’s leadership, sometimes at odds with leaders in his own party, resulted in Tennessee enacting the toughest illegal immigration laws in the country. Carr also led the charge to eliminate the death tax and crafted the captive insurance bill. His legislative accomplishments have helped Tennessee become the 4th most business ­friendly state in the nation.

But Joe understands that enacting more legislation doesn’t translate into solving all our problems. To the contrary, he identifies deeply with President Ronald Reagan’s assessment that too often “Government is not the solution to the problem. Government IS the problem.” Carr believes in limited and less government and that our self-evident rights as enumerated in our Constitution come from God, not from government. He views the governments’ role is to protect our God-given rights.

As a lifetime National Rifle Association member, Joe deeply believes in the importance of the 2nd amendment and understands it is essential to preserving liberty in America. He understands the founders intended to craft the 2nd amendment, so Americans could protect themselves against an oppressive government in addition to self-defense. Joe understands the 2nd Amendment is fundamentally the guardian of the Bill of Rights.

Joe also believes our self-evident rights, as enumerated in the Constitution, come from God—not from government, and that it’s the governments’ responsibility to protect our God-given rights. He believes those rights extend to the unborn. Carr is strongly pro-life, pro-adoption and possesses a 100% pro-life voting record.

The primary reason Joe is running for the U. S. Senate is that he’s a voter just like the rest of us. And he’s frustrated with leaders in Washington failing to lead America back to its first principles of personal responsibility, individual liberty, and free and fair markets. Joe believes the states find better solutions to our problems than the federal government. That’s why he feels strongly about the 10th amendment, and returning more decisions to the states where there are more competing ideas and “laboratories of democracy.”

Joe believes as Ronald Reagan did: “Man is not free unless government is limited.” Less government means more freedom. Joe understands clearly that Washington is broken, and in order to fix Washington, we must empower the states to tackle the problems we face, just as our founders intended.

In summary, Joe Carr is a conservative fighter, and he’s itching to take on the Washington establishment to lead America back to its core principles. In order to accomplish that goal, he’s raising an army of grassroots activists. And we’re calling on Tennessee Volunteers


19 posted on 06/17/2014 4:43:00 AM PDT by GailA (IF you fail to keep your promises to the Military, you won't keep them to Citizens!)
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To: nickcarraway

Not ‘flukey’ if they dishonestly changed the metrics or were not honest in the make up of the demographics in who they polled to get the results that the pollster desired. It’s another version of lying.


20 posted on 06/17/2014 4:34:50 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: nickcarraway

So what gives?

Two other polls posted on this site tell a different story:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3168189/posts

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3168383/posts


21 posted on 06/18/2014 11:44:38 AM PDT by ctpsb (Thanks.)
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