Skip to comments.Democrats Face Unfair Fight in Midterms (all together now: AWWWWWWWWWWWW)
Posted on 06/24/2014 1:20:23 PM PDT by cotton1706
Generally speaking, the further into a U.S. presidents tenure in office one gets, the less volatility there is in that presidents job-approval rating.
Its pretty logical that 1,979 days into Barack Obamas presidency, the number of people most inclined to approve of his performance has stabilized, as has the number of those disposed to disapprove of him. Given that Obama tends to evoke particularly strong emotions with bedrock supporters and equally adamant opponents, arguably more people than usual have locked in their opinions. And those who are undecided by this point are the folks who have pretty much checked out of politics and are unlikely to come down on one side or the other. Simply put, there are few people left who are ambivalent about Obamas performance. We see large variances at this point only when we compare the results of one pollster to another. These variances are likely the result of individual firms unique methodologies and sampling idiosyncrasies; they do not represent the genuine changing of minds.
With the Gallup Organization sampling a little more than 500 adults per night, around 7,500 in a week (with a margin of error of plus or minus 1.13 with a 95 percent confidence level) and 15,000 in a month (margin of error +/-.8), the larger samples are more accurate. Each weekly poll consists of at least three times more interviews than the typical national poll of between 800 and 1,000 respondents; thus with Gallup using uniform methodology, it is the most useful poll to track the subtle shifts that do actually occur.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationaljournal.com ...
Give them a very loud Bronx Cheer!
I have a feeling that this rule of thumb is gonna go out the window before this administration is finished..................
No worries the IRS will fix it for the Democrats
Even the low information voters are waking up to the fact tht Obama is helping to make their lives miserable.
The midterms should be a major wake-up call for Dems who have supported Obama’s failed policies.
The voters are unfair.
I’m still nervous about the Senate.
Since there are only a dozen or so senate seats that are really contested, the full force of the MSM concentrated there can be pretty effective.
“Since there are only a dozen or so senate seats that are really contested, the full force of the MSM concentrated there can be pretty effective.”
They are desperate to protect their precious US Senate!
I wonder if the Black Panthers will be out in force ‘monitoring’ the elections?