Skip to comments.Gallup, CBS/NYT poll show Obama approval heading toward historic lows
Posted on 06/25/2014 12:26:29 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
With the rest of the bad news this week, we’ve missed its impact on the electorate to some extent. Two new national polls this week show Barack Obama’s approval rating sliding back toward historic lows, and the economic news this week might make it even more difficult to reverse the trend. Yesterday, Gallup reported that Obama’s weekly approval rating had skidded to its lowest point in a quarter, coming close to a personal low for his presidency:
The situation in Iraq seems to be taking a toll on President Barack Obama’s public standing. His weekly job approval rating is down a total of three percentage points over the last two weeks, to 41%. While this drop is not large in absolute terms, it is notable because it follows nearly three months in which his job approval averaged 44% with little week-to-week variation.
The long stretch of stability from mid-March to early June occurred during a period that was hardly uneventful for the president, including controversies over medical care for U.S. military veterans at Veterans Affairs hospitals and a prisoner exchange of five Taliban detainees for U.S. Army Sgt. Bowe Bergdahl. But Iraq may be the issue weighing most heavily on Obama’s public support given the timing of the drop in approval.
Obama’s approval rating in Gallup Daily tracking first showed signs of decline (from the mid- to the low 40s) in the immediate days after Islamic militants took control of Mosul, the second-largest city in Iraq, on June 10. The Gallup Daily tracking three-day average for June 11-13, based on fully post-Mosul interviewing, was 41%, and Obama’s approval rating has been either 40% or 41% in each subsequent measurement up through June 22 interviewing.
Left unmentioned by Gallup in the lead is that Obama’s disapproval has risen to 53%. Most of the damage in this poll takes place with Democrats and independents. It’s no great surprise to see Obama get a 76% approval rating in his own party, but that’s down from 80% and shows some dimming of enthusiasm. Among independents, Obama has dropped to a 35% approval rating, a very problematic result for Democrats facing a tough midterm election with Republican enthusiasm ascendant.
In fact, Gallup points out that the only lower midterm cycle rating in its history was George W. Bush’s 38% approval at the time of the 2006 election. That turned into a wave election for Democrats, who seized control of the Senate and House, and who have held the Senate ever since — a streak that is very much in jeopardy this November.
Yesterday’s CBS/NYT poll also shows Obama plumbing the depths of his popularity. His overall approval rating is 40/54, slightly lower than Gallup’s, and second-lowest in the entire series (November 2013′s 37/57 was the nadir in the wake of the ObamaCare rollout disaster). But that’s still better than Obama gets in policy areas:
Perhaps even more telling, the percentage of people who believe Obama has made America less safe from terrorism has hit its highest level ever, 36%, an eight-point increase from last year. It’s the first time that the “less-safe” figure has outstripped the “safer” result, 29%, which is a drop of seven points from 2013 and 2011.
After this week’s GDP revision, it will be interesting to see how that will impact Obama’s approval levels in both polling series. His RCP average for June across all national polls is 41/54, very close to both Gallup and CBS/NYT, but at the rate things are going for this White House, it won’t bounce back any time soon.
Funny. When Bush hit new lows in his approval rating, it was front page news.
It will likely be front page news..
Obama Dept. of Just Us and Our People investigates
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Att. Gen. Holder asks polling companies to provide list of phone numbers.
Yeah,you noticed that too.
But then the media wasn’t up Bush’s wazoo like they are obammy’s`
So the media is tired of fudging the polls now?
Historic. And unprecedented.
Yes and every time the price of gas went up a penny under Bush it was the first thing out of the LSMs mouth on the news that day.
Is it possible to be less than zero?
Getting close to his IQ ?
This is the best Summer I’ve had since I was a kid! The Democrats are stumbling around like a bunch of drunks trying to play hopscotch.
Just do like they do with all of the economic numbers.
Change the formula and make them up!
Presto! Obama is the most beloved dictator in history!
He doesn’t care. He will not be kicked out of office. He has already reached most of his goal. By the time he’s out of office he will have brought this country as close to totalitarian marxism as is possible, without anyone actually calling it that.
Plus, he has let the screaming bearded jihadis gather their strength.
He will be amply rewarded by the leftist power elite when he leaves office.
He already won a second term. I’m sure he couldn’t care less about the opinion polls.
The only thing he cares about is how much he can further the dismantling of everything good about America before he takes his big fat life-long paycheque and leaves town.
If he was a psychologically healthy person I might agree with you.
The only real ‘news’, as such, is that anyone approves of Obama’s performance at all.