Skip to comments.Is Hillary Inevitable?
Posted on 06/27/2014 2:37:10 PM PDT by Kaslin
Looking back over the last century there were two great coalition builders in presidential politics: FDR and Richard Nixon.
Franklin Roosevelt broke the Lincoln lock on the presidency that had given Republicans the White House in 56 of the previous 72 years. From 1932 to 1964, FDR's party would win seven of nine elections.
Nixon broke through in '68 and built the New Majority that gave the GOP the White House for 20 of the next 24 years.
The Nixon-Reagan coalition, however, has aged and atrophied.
In five of the last six presidential elections, the Democratic nominee won the popular vote. And no fewer than 18 states, including four of the most populous -- California, Illinois, Pennsylvania and New York -- have gone Democratic in all six of those elections.
Also, four states crucial to victory and once regarded as reliably Republican -- Florida, Ohio, Virginia and Colorado -- have turned purple.
The GOP is also facing a demographic crisis. White folks, who provide almost 90 percent of Republican votes in presidential years, are steadily shrinking as a share of the electorate.
Is Hillary thus inevitable?
With the cash she can raise and the support of the sisterhood, she may be able to clear the field in the run for the nomination. And in a general election it is hard to see which Republican today could take 270 electoral votes from her.
Yet the lady has vulnerabilities. If elected, Hillary would be, at 69, the oldest Democratic president ever. Husband Bill was nearly a quarter of a century younger when inaugurated, as was Barack Obama.
Her book tour for "Hard Choices," with her tale of woe about having been "flat broke" in 2001, revealed a queen of privilege wildly out of touch with the hard realities of life in Middle America in 2014.
Moreover, there is Clinton fatigue in the country and this capital. Americans under 30 never knew a time when she was not around.
Her memoir looks likely to be remaindered long before it earns her publisher anything near the $14 million advance she is rumored to have received. Somebody at Simon & Schuster is going to the wall.
And the Democratic left is pawing the turf.
Is her record in office impressive?
The most critical vote she cast in eight years in the Senate -- to take America into war with Iraq -- she now admits was a mistake. And it's not an insignificant one, considering the disaster that is Iraq today.
Her record as secretary of state?
The most memorable moment was announcing the "reset" with Russia. How's that working out?
Not only must Hillary answer for the failures that brought about the Benghazi massacre, and her absenteeism in its aftermath, but she must also defend a foreign policy that has left her country less respected on every continent.
While most Americans support President Obama's decisions to end the U.S. wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, there is something about his leadership on the world stage that calls to mind the Carter era.
And while there is no end to the chatter in this city of the clash within the GOP between the establishment and the Tea Party, there are fissures and fractures visible as well in the Obama-Clinton party.
As a wag once observed, the Democratic Party is a conclave of warring tribes that have come together in the anticipation of common plunder. But the old formula dating to FDR days, of "tax and tax, spend and spend, and elect and elect," may have run its course.
The U.S. government is deep in debt and moving deeper. State capitals have hit the wall, forcing painful decisions to cut spending on education or pensions, or to raise taxes. Even in the bluest states, governors like Jerry Brown in California and Andrew Cuomo in New York have gotten the message. The halcyon days are over. Frugality is in.
While the nation has been pulled back from the abyss of 2008 and 2009, the five-year Obama record since, with its massive deficits, soaring debt, anemic growth, and diminished share of the labor force working, is nothing to write home about.
Add in the NSA, IRS and VA scandals, and this is the kind of record candidates usually run away from, rather than run on.
While African-Americans and Asians are among the most loyal Democratic blocs, in California, Asians arose in angry protest to kill a proposed law to reinstate affirmative action in state schools. For Asians are now among the major victims of reverse discrimination.
Ms. Clinton says she has "evolved" on same-sex marriage.
Have the conservative black pastors and preachers of the most churched community in America also evolved? How comfortable are black Christians in a party half of whose convention delegates booed when it was suggested that God be mentioned in the 2012 platform?
No. The presidency in 2016 is not beyond the reach of the GOP.
It is just difficult to see who, among those moving toward the starting gate, can reach the requisite 270 electoral votes.
Mrs. Bill Clinton has no business being president of the United States, for all the reasons indicated by Mr. Buchanan.
Nonetheless, the left-controlled media has determined that she SHOULD be the next president and, therefore, it will happen, whether we like it or not.
Hillary is a “place holder”. She’ll be the de-facto nominee until she isn’t. The Democrat electorate swoons for a new face and she ain’t it.
Not only is she not inevitable I doubt she’ll run, and if she does run she’ll probably lose to Biden. VPs are generally the heir apparent, even though they lose almost every time.
Exactly. And people actually liked her back then.
“Is Hillary thus inevitable?”
If she runs, yes. I harbor no illusions about the brightness of the American electorate.
While I hate to disagree with Mr. Buchanan, he's dead wrong on this point. This is one of the oldest illegal campaign donation / money laundering scams around: giving a politician an outrageous advance for a book that ends up growing mildew in a warehouse. While there may be a token firing of an irrelevant underling or two, someone at CBS Corporation (the parent corporation of Simon & Schuster, CBS, UPN, Paramount, Showtime, etc., etc., etc.) will get a bonus and a promotion for being able to buy Hilary's eternal gratitude so cheaply.
Whether "those" supporters are neighbors, family members or media a serious examination of how they are morally and ethically related should is warranted.
Hillary has proven to be an unethical lawyer who was fired for contaminating evidence, breaking the law and intimidating witnesses. She is a proven liar many times over; the most recent being Benghazi. She is not the kind of person most of us would trust to manage our business, invest our money or mentor our children.
So why would we not deny similar trusts to those who would support her?
A local candidate for commissioner, supervisor or any other office who declares to be a democrat is issuing a defacto statement that they have the same value system as Hillary, are they not?
For that reason I would never hire an accountant who contributes to democrats. I think its time for every one of us to learn to tarnish liberals with their own character and link them by association.
And this time around, an effete mayor from San Antonio would be the designated speedbump, if the dems choose to play that card.
Hillary makes a terrible candidate although the Republicans can find a way to lose.
That's what I'd do if I were a sleazeball politician.
She won’t run.
Neither will she.
You can forget about Palin-anything....she’s been constantly media-mudded for seven years now, to the point she’d be unelectable.
Yeah, that’s why they write more articles about her on a daily basis than any other politician except for Mr. Obama. More than Vice President Biden, Secretaries Kerry and Clinton, Sen. Reid and Rep. Pelosi, combined. Don’t listen to what they say, watch what they do.
See post 17.
Hillary is awful!
Assuming all that is factual (questionable) it still has no direct bearing on whether she’ll run or not.
You must assume the Republicans and conservative will sit on their behinds. You’re wrong
Well, we've had a skinny homosexual druggie in the White House for 5 1/2 years.
Why not give a fat lesbian drunk a shot?
If not Hillary, what rough beast, its hour come round at last, slouches towards Washington to be president?
Go hit the “Palin” keyword up above you and see who posts most of those threads. I’ve been searching her name for over 5 years now. Take it to the bank that NO ONE has more articles written about her, save for Mr. Obama. If you keep telling me that someone is brainless, washed-up, pathetic, past her 15 minutes of fame, ineffectual, irrelevant and doesn’t matter any more, don’t you think you should quit writing about her? But what if you can’t because all the above are lies and nonsense?
“Moreover, there is Clinton fatigue in the country and this capital. Americans under 30 never knew a time when she was not around.”
I’m not so sure about “Clinton fatigue.” And we can never discount the fact Hillary is:
1. The wife of their beloved Bill Clinton,
2. A woman (or at least so we hear),
3. A cold-blooded, ruthless character assassin who will roll over whomever is necessary to implement Obama’s agenda,
4. Backed by a huge network of supporters, and
5. Except for a possible challenge in the democrat primary, faces no strong opposition.
Serving advance notice that I will not for either one of them regardless who the dem is.
“It is just difficult to see who, among those moving toward the starting gate, can reach the requisite 270 electoral votes.”
Any democrat will have a rock-solid guarantee of 250+ electoral votes in the bag before the first vote is tabulated on election night.
“You must assume the Republicans and conservative will sit on their behinds. Youre wrong”
I came to assume they WOULDN’T sit on their behinds in 2012. I was wrong.
There are bumper stickers all over New England, I understand, saying “Ready for Hillary”.
The old Reagan-Bush “electoral lock” is no more; the first Bush gave it away to his friend “Bill”. And Barbara didn’t seem to mind that he did so long as GWB got his “turn.” Now even she knows Jebbie has been cut out of the loop.
What do you think of the Texans rallying to 70 percent plus for George P.? Are they really that dumb?
“There are bumper stickers all over New England, I understand, saying ‘Ready for Hillary’.”
I see them here in VA too.
Many of the American people are so uninformed that all they know to do is vote Democrat for the school board, city council, and county commission, and I’m talking about “conservatives” being uninformed.
Just as comfortable as a bowl of peaches and cream ice cream!
That’s why people need to be forced to think. I have neighbors who vote democrat and don’t even know who are state and US reps are. — I am working on embarrassing (gently) them when ever I see them in public.
This is the GOPs’s election to lose, and unfortunately they have a pretty good record at losing sure bets.
I challenge every Freeper: Do not let this woman appear anywhere in public without at least one of us— and hopefully many more— extending to her our middle fingers.
If we pass the tipping point, where even low-information voters lose confidence in the media, their non-stop mud-slinging might backfire. People will realize that the media animus was fueled by fear of Palin.
There is a move being made now , predominantly in Democratic governed States, to eliminate the 'Electoral College' ,
and replace it with highest number of popular votes.
This makes the current southern border invasion of illegal undocumented immigrants all that more significant for the future of this country.
Do not let this woman appear anywhere in public without at least one of us and hopefully many more extending to her our middle fingers.
...wouldn’t it be sufficient to just not vote for her...?
Well, nobody said any of that, but you can keep thinking it if you wish...
Doesnt bother me as long as he stays in Texas =P
Considering that the ballot box is but an inconvenient necessity to Her Thighness, the answer is no.
Let the Queen look into the eyes of the peasants and see the disdain firsthand.
Bill & Hillary constitute the very definition of "old news".
“Im not so sure about Clinton fatigue.
It is weird to see people rattling off Hillary’s problems as though they are relevant; the elections of the token Obama showed how “yesterday” that thinking is. If enough people believe that they will get more “stuff” with Hillary (regardless of whether or not it is true, or where the stuff comes from), then she will be the next president.