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Tropical Storm Arthur forms off coast of Florida; 1st named storm of the Atlantic season
Seattle PI ^ | 07/01/2014 | n/a

Posted on 07/01/2014 8:16:00 AM PDT by Pyro7480

Tropical Storm Arthur forms off coast of Florida; 1st named storm of the Atlantic season.


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: tropicalstorm; weather
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1 posted on 07/01/2014 8:16:00 AM PDT by Pyro7480
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To: NautiNurse

Tropical weather ping!


2 posted on 07/01/2014 8:16:15 AM PDT by Pyro7480 (Viva Cristo Rey!)
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To: Pyro7480

Global Warming, Climate Change and Global Cooling combined to create this horrendously potentially dangerous reaction from Mother Nature in response to my driving a frigging truck that gets 18 MPG.....


3 posted on 07/01/2014 8:17:36 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: Pyro7480

Cue Arthur’s theme song, “The Best That You Can Do”
by Chris Cross

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G4rT9C5aV5A

Arthur he does what he pleases...


4 posted on 07/01/2014 8:18:47 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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To: Gaffer

How do the liberals explain that we had violent hurricanes and various extreme weather, long before we had coal fired power plants and SUVs driving around???

During the last ice age, Chicago was buried under a mile of ice. Didn’t it take global warming to melt all of that ice? Would we be better off if all of that ice didn’t melt? Is global warming necessarily a bad thing, since we needed global warming to end the ice ages in earth’s history?????


5 posted on 07/01/2014 8:20:17 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego (s)
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To: Jack Hydrazine

Maybe I’ll stop by the local Arthur Treacher’s and pick up some fish and chips!


6 posted on 07/01/2014 8:20:48 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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To: Pyro7480

As we all know, tropical storms and hurricanes did not occur before global warming.


7 posted on 07/01/2014 8:20:56 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: Pyro7480

Libs already screaming and pulling their hair out.


8 posted on 07/01/2014 8:21:50 AM PDT by chessplayer
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To: Dilbert San Diego

Chicago would definitely have been better off had that ice not melted.


9 posted on 07/01/2014 8:22:14 AM PDT by alancarp
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To: Pyro7480

Latest discussion (doesn’t look real good for Hatteras if it strengthens more than they think - which is what Bastardi believes):

000
WTNT41 KNHC 011502
TCDAT1

TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR DISCUSSION NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014
1100 AM EDT TUE JUL 01 2014

Radar and satellite imagery indicate that the convective
organization of the cyclone has improved since the previous
advisory, and the cyclone is being upgraded based on a sustained
wind report of 33 kt from Settlement Point (SPGF1) on Grand Bahama
Island earlier this morning that was outside of the deep convection.

After remaining nearly stationary earlier this morning, Arthur
appears to to be drifting northwestward now with an uncertain motion
of 315/02 kt. Otherwise, there is no significant change to the
previous forecast track. The latest model guidance has continued the
trend of a pronounced mid-tropospheric trough digging southeastward
from the upper-midwest into the northeastern and mid-Atlantic region
of the United States by 72 hours. The 500 mb flow pattern is almost
identical in the GFS and ECMWF models, which increases the
confidence in this evolving pattern. As a result, a steady increase
in southwesterly steering flow over the southeastern United States
is expected to gradually turn the tropical cyclone northward over
the next 24-36 hours, and then accelerate the system faster toward
the northeast on Thursday and Friday. By Days 4 and 5, Arthur is
forecast to move over the far north Atlantic as an extratropical
cyclone. The NHC track forecast is just an update of the previous
advisory track, and lies down the middle of the tightly packed
guidance envelope close to the consensus model TVCA.

Northwesterly vertical wind shear is forecast by the models to
gradually subside over the next 48 hours, which should allow the
cyclone to develop its own upper-level outflow pattern. In fact,
latest visible and water vapor imagery indicates that cirrus
outflow has been expanding on the north side of the system during
the past few hours, suggesting that the shear conditions could
already be subsiding. The low shear conditions and warm
sea-surface temperatures should allow for at least steady
strengthening, and the cyclone is expected to become a hurricane by
72 hours. The official intensity forecast is similar to the
latest intensity model consensus IVCN through 36 hours, and then
slightly higher after that.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/1500Z 27.6N 79.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 02/0000Z 27.8N 79.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 02/1200Z 28.7N 79.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 03/0000Z 29.8N 79.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 03/1200Z 31.2N 78.9W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 04/1200Z 35.4N 75.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
96H 05/1200Z 40.8N 67.3W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 06/1200Z 45.5N 59.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
Forecaster Stewart


10 posted on 07/01/2014 8:23:06 AM PDT by FlJoePa ("Success without honor is an unseasoned dish; it will satisfy your hunger, but it won't taste good")
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To: Jack Hydrazine

Bea Arthur.


11 posted on 07/01/2014 8:23:27 AM PDT by ConservativeStatement ("World Peace 1.20.09.")
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To: Pyro7480

Oddly, there are two UNNAMED storms off the West Coast. One of them is bigger than this one.

See for yourself: http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-78.00,8.24,1088


12 posted on 07/01/2014 8:24:22 AM PDT by UCANSEE2 (Lost my tagline on Flight MH370. Sorry for the inconvenience.)
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To: Dilbert San Diego
During the last ice age, Chicago was buried under a mile of ice. Didn’t it take global warming to melt all of that ice? Would we be better off if all of that ice didn’t melt?

You mean without the Daley machine, Rahm Emmanuel, Jeremiah Wright, and Barack Obama? You surely raise up a dilemma...

13 posted on 07/01/2014 8:25:47 AM PDT by chajin ("There is no other name under heaven given among people by which we must be saved." Acts 4:12)
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To: Gaffer

You’re an environmental criminal!

But the Climate Change Channel is so excited because they finally have something to talk about....


14 posted on 07/01/2014 8:25:57 AM PDT by nascarnation (Toxic Baraq Syndrome: hopefully infecting a Dem candidate near you)
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To: Gaffer

Lol, pretty much sums it up, except I might remind to add in there, breathing! That caused it as well ;-)


15 posted on 07/01/2014 8:28:03 AM PDT by AllAmericanGirl44
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To: alancarp
Yes, they are, in fact. This is the pic tweeted via @NBCNews on the announcement of the TROPICAL STORM... and no, this is NOT a current pic of Arthur in any way, shape, or form:

Sheesh - and people think Bastardi is an alarmist... at least he's honest about giving scenarios that are all about trying to inform people for the sake of saving lives.

16 posted on 07/01/2014 8:28:22 AM PDT by alancarp
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To: Pyro7480

Let’s be inclusive. Tropical Storm Arturo.


17 posted on 07/01/2014 8:29:13 AM PDT by Enterprise ("Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities." Voltaire)
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To: Pyro7480

When I went to bed last night, this thing was falling apart with loss of its circular pattern. In 12 hours, it’s reorganized and grown enough to be named. Although most tracks have it going off to the east, it still bears watching for the July 4 weekend if it gets large enough to affect the coast.


18 posted on 07/01/2014 8:29:23 AM PDT by VanShuyten ("a shadow...draped nobly in the folds of a gorgeous eloquence.")
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To: Dilbert San Diego
The same way that they don't explain the convenience of showing an underwater Cuba in their hysteric NASA photos. THEY ARE ABJECT COMPULSIVE LIARS!

From a prior RUSH transcript:

RUSH: Ladies and gentlemen, I have something, we're going to post this at RushLimbaugh.com immediately. The webmaster is waiting on it. Algore has a new book out. It's called Our Choice: A Plan to Solve the Climate Crisis. And this book, according to our official climatologist here, Dr. Roy Spencer, University of Alabama at Huntsville, formerly of NASA, Dr. Spencer tells me that this Gore book is a metaphor for his twisting of reality to suit his needs. He took some NASA imagery of the earth and Photoshopped the following into it. And we've got a website here with both pictures: the original snapshot of the earth from NASA, and then the way Gore Photoshopped it. And here's what's on the picture that's Photoshopped: four hurricanes that were not there. The hurricane closest to Florida is spinning in the wrong direction. The hurricane off of South America is almost on the equator, which is physically impossible for hurricanes. All of the sea ice in the Arctic Ocean is removed, but snow cover over Canada and Alaska remains. Cuba, in Gore's Photoshopped picture of the earth, Cuba doesn't exist. It is not there. Cuba is totally underwater, which would require a sea level rise of over 6,000 feet, which means Denver would be underwater as well. If Cuber is under water, so would be Denver! Now, half of the Greenland ice sheet is gone, but it's out of the center; the thickest part, rather than around the edges, where it's the thinnest. It's a joke! This man is an absolute joke! He's Photoshopped a picture of the earth.

19 posted on 07/01/2014 8:29:55 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: chessplayer

OMG RUN!!!!

RUUUUUUUUUUUUUNNNNNN!!!!!!

Someone call the government, OH GOD!!!!!!


20 posted on 07/01/2014 8:33:08 AM PDT by chris37 (heartless)
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To: VanShuyten

It is because Chris McDaniel will not concede his “defeat” by Felonious Thad in the Mississippi runoff election.


21 posted on 07/01/2014 8:34:29 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: Pyro7480

Now, when Arthur fizzles and only manages to dampen our July 4th weekend, but Bertha (or Barbara or Bunny or Belinda) wreaks havoc in a few weeks, the FemiNazis will screech that you name all the bad storms for women!


22 posted on 07/01/2014 8:34:30 AM PDT by JimRed (Excise the cancer before it kills us; feed & water the Tree of Liberty! TERM LIMITS NOW & FOREVER!)
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To: alancarp

Bastardi did talk about this low pressure center this past Saturday.

You East Coasters should really watch his past Saturday summary because current atmospheric and ocean conditions are similar to that of that of the 1950s when the East Coast was pummeled by hurricanes. He’s expecting 1 or 2 major hurricanes, 2-4 hurricanes, and 3-6 storms to hit there.
http://www.weatherbell.com/saturday-summary-june-28-2014


23 posted on 07/01/2014 8:36:36 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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To: Jack Hydrazine

We just had one open here...is it worth it? What’s their best item?


24 posted on 07/01/2014 8:37:16 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: Sacajaweau

Haven’t been there in a very long time so I can’t really answer your questions. Take a look at reviews online.


25 posted on 07/01/2014 8:39:22 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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To: Pyro7480

There was an article posted here last month that said hurricanes named after women were deadlier because people didn’t take the names seriously. So they use Arthur. Come on.


26 posted on 07/01/2014 8:39:23 AM PDT by Starstruck (If my reply offends, you probably don't understand sarcasm or criticism...or do.)
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To: chris37

Run! Run to LOWER ground! When you reach the beach, fall upon your knees and pray for forgiveness from GAIA. Beg for mercy and absolution - foreswear GAIA harming indulgences. Swear allegiance to liberaldom and eschew conservatism, pledging only for the collective. Pray for your very soul [er, uh, that’s not right - liberals don’t believe in things like souls, else they’d think twice about those 50 million souls they aborted already]. Anyway, pray [well, not actually pray to God, but maybe Allah or something.]


27 posted on 07/01/2014 8:39:28 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: ConservativeStatement

28 posted on 07/01/2014 8:41:15 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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To: ConservativeStatement

Arthur Prysock


29 posted on 07/01/2014 8:44:44 AM PDT by smalltownslick
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To: All

30 posted on 07/01/2014 8:49:23 AM PDT by FlJoePa ("Success without honor is an unseasoned dish; it will satisfy your hunger, but it won't taste good")
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To: Pyro7480

NOAA has decided to honor Dudley Moore this summer.

Next hurricane; Bo


31 posted on 07/01/2014 8:54:19 AM PDT by Cletus.D.Yokel (Catastrophic Anthropogenic Climate Alteration: The acronym explains the science.)
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To: Starstruck

The storm names are selected years in advance and alternate between male and female names.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml


32 posted on 07/01/2014 8:55:02 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: Cletus.D.Yokel

Bertha actually.


33 posted on 07/01/2014 8:56:25 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: All
Good resource - Storm2K forums where both professional and amateur meteorologists chime in with their opinions.

Storm2K

34 posted on 07/01/2014 8:57:12 AM PDT by FlJoePa ("Success without honor is an unseasoned dish; it will satisfy your hunger, but it won't taste good")
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To: thackney

Knew that.

LIV folks would find the movie “Arthur” funnier than my grandmother (who was actually named Bertha, rest her soul!)


35 posted on 07/01/2014 9:01:31 AM PDT by Cletus.D.Yokel (Catastrophic Anthropogenic Climate Alteration: The acronym explains the science.)
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To: All

FYI: Bastardi will be on Cavuto at 4:20pm today.


36 posted on 07/01/2014 9:13:44 AM PDT by FlJoePa ("Success without honor is an unseasoned dish; it will satisfy your hunger, but it won't taste good")
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To: FlJoePa

Thanks FRiend.


37 posted on 07/01/2014 9:35:14 AM PDT by thesearethetimes... (Had I brought Christ with me, the outcome would have been different. Dr.Eric Cunningham)
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To: Pyro7480

It got a male name! Ohhhh, we’re all so scared we’re gonna run and hide and not get hurt.
Good thing it don’t got a female name, or we wouldn’t care and we wouldn’t take shelter and we all gon get killed.


38 posted on 07/01/2014 9:38:39 AM PDT by I want the USA back (Media: completely irresponsible. Complicit in the destruction of this country.)
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To: Pyro7480

July 4 is a huge week for OBX businesses. Hate to see them take a hit during this time.

Between this storm and the NPS restricting beach driving (impacts fall fishing season) the Bankers have a tough row to hoe this year.


39 posted on 07/01/2014 9:51:30 AM PDT by Rebelbase
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To: Jack Hydrazine

40 posted on 07/01/2014 10:03:10 AM PDT by bgill
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To: Pyro7480

Awful Arthur is coming. New York should evacuate NOW! There might be....rain, and wind!!


41 posted on 07/01/2014 10:14:32 AM PDT by ClearBlueSky (When anyone says its not about Islam...it's about Islam. That death cult must be eradicated.)
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To: Dilbert San Diego
Chicago was buried under a mile of ice. ... Would we be better off if all of that ice didn’t melt?

Well, in the case of Chicago, yes... ;-)

42 posted on 07/01/2014 10:22:43 AM PDT by NoCmpromiz (John 14:6 is a non-pluralistic comment.)
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To: All

If this thing keeps drifting west it’s going to be on my doorstep soon.


43 posted on 07/01/2014 10:22:49 AM PDT by FlJoePa ("Success without honor is an unseasoned dish; it will satisfy your hunger, but it won't taste good")
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To: Gaffer

It was you? That’s a relief. I was told, to the horror of mecaccompanying children, that I was causing this. The checkout woman at whole foods told me so when I confessed I didnt bring my bags from home

Well, the kids weren’t that horrified. They told me I was wrong for not going the the checkout lined manned by the guy. They tell me the guys don’t care


44 posted on 07/01/2014 10:43:47 AM PDT by stanne
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To: Dilbert San Diego

How do libs explain?

Like they do everything. They get into rage status and hug and puff and tel you you’re stupid


45 posted on 07/01/2014 10:45:23 AM PDT by stanne
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To: Pyro7480

“1st named storm of the Atlantic season”

Which means that it’ll be the first storm blamed on global warming, uh, I mean “climate change”.


46 posted on 07/01/2014 11:30:42 AM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: catnipman

it will be labeled “super storm Arthur” because it will cause a drizzle and a cloudy day.

and it will be GWBush’s fault.


47 posted on 07/01/2014 11:37:57 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: All

Be on your toes Outer Banks. Forecasted winds up to 90MPH and likely to go higher.

000
WTNT41 KNHC 012053
TCDAT1

TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR DISCUSSION NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014
500 PM EDT TUE JUL 01 2014

Although radar and satellite imagery indicate that the convective
pattern of Arthur has changed little since the previous advisory...
an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft investigating the
cyclone this afternoon has found that flight-level and SFMR surface
winds in the southeastern quadrant that support increasing the
intensity to 45 kt. In fact, the flight crew has been been bounced
around pretty good by strong thunderstorms in that area and have
been forced to climb to a higher altitude in order to avoid
significant turbulence.

Arthur has been drifting northwestward at 325/02 kt. No significant
change has been made to the previous forecast track or reasoning.
The latest reliable numerical models remain in good agreement on
large mid-level trough digging southeastward into the northeastern
and mid-Atlantic states during the next 72 hours, while a
subtropical ridge east of the Carolinas gradually strengthens. The
combination of these two systems is expected to steadily increase
the southwesterly steering flow over the southeastern United States
and the extreme western Atlantic. By Days 4 and 5, Arthur is
forecast to accelerate rapidly northeastward ahead of the
aforementioned trough as an extratropical cyclone. The official
forecast track is again just an update of the previous advisory
track, and remains in the middle of the tightly packed guidance
envelope and close to the consensus model TVCA.

Northwesterly vertical wind shear is expected to gradually abate
over the next 48 hours, allowing Arthur to develop an upper-level
outflow pattern that is conducive to strengthening. The primary
inhibiting factor will be the occasional intrusions of dry mid-level
air to the north of the cyclone penetrating into the center and
briefly disrupting the inner-core convection. However, the global
and regional models are forecasting the inner core region to
moisten significantly by 36-48 hours, which should allow Arthur to
strengthen into a hurricane while the cyclone is over warm SSTs and
in light shear conditions. After 72 hours, Arthur will be be moving
over cooler water and is forecast to experience vertical wind shear
in excess of 30 kt, which should induce at least steady weakening.
The NHC intensity forecast closely follows the consensus model IVCN.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/2100Z 27.8N 79.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 02/0600Z 28.3N 79.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 02/1800Z 29.2N 79.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 03/0600Z 30.4N 79.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 03/1800Z 32.1N 78.3W 70 KT 80 MPH
72H 04/1800Z 36.6N 73.6W 80 KT 90 MPH
96H 05/1800Z 42.2N 65.5W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 06/1800Z 46.8N 57.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
Forecaster Stewar


48 posted on 07/01/2014 3:39:38 PM PDT by FlJoePa ("Success without honor is an unseasoned dish; it will satisfy your hunger, but it won't taste good")
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To: All
This thing is right in the middle of the Gulf Stream is looks like it's ready to go.


49 posted on 07/01/2014 3:41:20 PM PDT by FlJoePa ("Success without honor is an unseasoned dish; it will satisfy your hunger, but it won't taste good")
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To: thackney
The storm names are selected years in advance and alternate between male and female names.

Yes. Even though liberals usually disagree, I'm not stupid.

50 posted on 07/01/2014 6:19:39 PM PDT by Starstruck (If my reply offends, you probably don't understand sarcasm or criticism...or do.)
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