Posted on 07/21/2014 9:45:30 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Republicans entered this election cycle with high hopes. President Obama’s approval ratings had sunk into the low 40s, and the rollout of the Affordable Care Act had been an unmitigated disaster. In an off-year election, Democrats weren’t expected to fully mobilize the young and diverse coalition that has given them an advantage in presidential elections. Off-years are also when a president’s party typically suffers significant losses.
This year seemed poised to turn into another so-called wave election, like in 2006 or 2010, when a rising tide of dissatisfaction with the incumbent party swept the opposition into power. Given a favorable midterm map, with so many Democratic Senate seats in play, some analysts suggested that Republicans could win a dozen of them, perhaps even picking up seats in states like Virginia, New Hampshire and Oregon.
The anti-Democratic wave might still arrive. But with three and a half months to go until November’s elections, the promised Republican momentum has yet to materialize.
The race for the Senate, at least right now, is stable. There aren’t many polls asking whether voters would prefer Democrats or Republicans to control Congress, but the Democrats appear to maintain a slight edge among registered voters. Democratic incumbents in red Republican states, who would be all but doomed in a Republican wave, appear doggedly competitive in places where Mitt Romney won by as much as 24 points in 2012.
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
Did I miss something, or is there a total lack of evidence or cited polls backing anything this author is writing? For heavens sakes, he is citing the Mark Foley Scandal of 8 years ago.
I remember well how shocked and dismayed the national press was on election nights in 1994 and 2010 when they couldn’t believe the whipping the democrats were taking.
It’s the middle of summer. Nobody is paying attention right now.
Precisely.
The NYT is just about the last place on earth you would find independent analysis.
It is about as nonpartisan and nonideaological as Pravda.
The only way for 2014 to be another so-called wave election would have been for the establishment Republicans to remain sitting in their corners sucking their thumbs, and retiring with their last shred of dignity whenever and wherever they were being opposed by a more conservative, younger candidate in the primaries.
Nope. Can't have that. These compromised, corrupted, communist GOP-establishment pukes have to wage war against conservatives, just as their communist Democrat overlords commanded. These creatures are not Republicans. They do not adhere to the Republican Party platform. They do not represent Republican voters. If they did, there would be no calls for Democrats to cross the lines using their fraud machines, to support the more liberal Republican in the primaries. And there would be no "close" races in then general election in most states and congressional districts.
Communist propaganda from the filthy degenerates at the NYT.
The Right needs to find a way to make them cease to exist
Thanks. That's not much of a sample.
You actually might get better independent analysis from Pravda (or Al Jazeera America) than from the NY Slimes, for that matter.
The “momentum” is underground now, where it has been shoved.
Talk about a “silent majority”, well, we’re it.
For the time being. :)
Sure, in a few areas Republicans will eke out a win this fall, but not enough to win the Senate. As apathetic as lefties may be due to the state of the economy, they will still come out in droves to vote for their freebies.
It's rather simple, and the GOPe showed the left exactly how to win. Simply claim that Republicans will take away their freebies, and that will insure the turnout will be enough to keep the left on top in the Senate.
In fact, it wouldn't surprise me to see the left gain ground in the House due to demographics.
It's only going to get worse going forward. The electorate hasn't suddenly become less liberal. In fact, more and more Americans are receiving government handouts than ever, and I think it has passed the %50 mark now.
If history is any guide, the outcome of midterm elections in the 6th year of an incumbent administration, does not bode well for the Dems this Fall.
In 1958 (6th year of the Eisenhower Administration) the Dems scored a massive victory in the midterm elections.
In 1966 (6th year of the JFK-LBJ Administrations) the GOP scored a massive victory in the midterm elections.
In 1974 (6th year of the Nixon-Ford Administrations) the Dems scored massive victories in the midterm elections.
In 1986 (6th year of the Reagan Administration) the Dems scored a very big victory and took back the US Senate in the midterm elections.
In 1998 (6th year of the Clinton Administration) the GOP did not score such a big victory-—but they had already done so in 1994 and managed to hold to on to their gains throughout the last six years of the Clinton Administration.
In 2006 (6th year of the Bush Administration) the Dems scored an impressive victory in the midterm elections taking back both the House and the US Senate.
Polls bounce back and forth all the time, but historic trends remain relatively constant.
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That’s what happens when you tell your base to kiss off. They’ve called us racists, radicals and ‘whacko birds’. They need us more than we need them. electing a Congressioal majority of unreformed GOPE types would be only marginally better than letting the rats keep the Senate...therefore why bother?
As near as I can tell, the GOP has done nothing to earn a vote from a single citizen.
RE: That’s what happens when you tell your base to kiss off
How big in your estimation is this base they’ve kissed off/
The Progressives in the GOP-e are too busy attacking and destroying their base, so it shouldn’t be a surprise to anyone. Yet, they will never learn....
Is that a man or a woman?
In poker, it’s best not to reveal your hand until the very end...
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