Skip to comments.The Day of the Hawk
Posted on 07/22/2014 8:41:16 AM PDT by Kaslin
The bombing of Pan Am 103 over Lockerbie was premeditated mass murder. Gadhafi was taking revenge for Reagan's raid on Tripoli in 1986.
The downing of KAL 007, flying from Anchorage to Seoul, was mass murder in the second degree. Seeing an aircraft intrude into Russian air space, Soviet officers brutally ordered it shot down.
The downing of the Malaysian airliner that took the lives of 298 men, women and children was not deliberate terrorism. No one wanted to massacre those women and children.
It was a horrendous military blunder, like the U.S. shoot-down of the Iranian Airbus by the Vincennes in 1988.
That U.S. cruiser thought it was coming under attack. And Ukraine's separatists thought they were firing at an army plane.
The distinctions are as important as those between first- and second-degree murder, and manslaughter.
The respective reactions confirm this. Gadhafi concealed his role in the Scotland slaughter. Moscow was defiant in the KAL case. America was apologetic over the Iranian airliner.
Today, Vladimir Putin, with an indictment being drawn up against him, is blaming Ukraine for the war out of which the tragedy came.
But though Putin did not order the plane shot down, the horror of it all has put him in a box. And the course he pursues could determine the future of U.S.-Russian relations for his tenure.
For the rebels in Ukraine are seen as Putin's proxies. They have been armed and advised by Russia. And it was a Russian SA-11 that brought the airliner down.
While the separatists say they got the surface-to-air missiles from an army depot, there is evidence the missile was provided by Russia, and Russians may have advised or assisted in the fatal launch.
This crisis has caused President Obama to insist that Putin cut off the rebels. And if he does not rein them in, and abandon their cause, Putin is likely to face new U.S.-EU sanctions that could cripple his economy and push his country further out into the cold.
And the ostracism of Putin and the sinking of Russia's economy is what some in the West have long had in mind.
The Day of the Hawk is at hand.
John McCain and John Bolton are calling for punitive sanctions, declaring Russia an adversary, putting defensive missiles and U.S. troops in Eastern Europe, and arming Kiev.
"That's just for openers," says McCain, who wants "the harshest possible sanctions on Vladimir Putin and Russia."
"So first, give the Ukrainians weapons to defend themselves and regain their territory," McCain adds, "Second of all, move some of our troops into areas that are being threatened by Vladimir Putin."
Right. Let's get eyeball to eyeball with the Russians again.
In this "moment of moral and strategic clarity about the threat that Vladimir Putin's regime poses to world order," the Wall Street Journal said this weekend, we should send "arms to Ukraine until Mr. Putin stops arming the separatists."
The Washington Post urges "military assistance to Ukraine" and sanctions "to force Mr. Putin to choose between continued aggression in Ukraine and saving the Russian economy."
But if aiding rebels in overthrowing their government is "aggression," is that not exactly what we are doing in Syria?
Hopefully, those who prodded the U.S. to send surface-to-air missiles to the Syrian rebels are having second thoughts today.
But before we sink the Russian economy and send weapons to Ukraine, perhaps we should consider the potential consequences.
If Kiev, bolstered by U.S. weapons, decides to go in for the kill in Eastern Ukraine, Putin will face a choice: Back down and let his allies be defeated and routed, or move his army into Ukraine to protect them.
Heretofore, Putin has not done so, clearly because he does not wish to annex Luhansk and Donetsk, which would have been a cakewalk for the army he had on Ukraine's border after the Crimea crisis.
And should Ukraine, with U.S. arms, win its war in the east, what is to stop it from sending troops to recapture Crimea, which would surely cross any "red line" of Vladimir Putin.
Arming Ukraine, and putting U.S. prestige on the line for a victory by Kiev over the rebels in the east and Russians in the south, is a formula for a war Ukraine cannot win, unless the United States comes in to win it for them. Then we could be on the escalator to something unthinkable.
Sanctions on Russia can cripple her economy. But Russia can also cripple the economies of Ukraine and Europe.
Declaring Putin persona non grata may make us feel good about ourselves, but it could also mean Russia tightening ties to Beijing, and breaking up the U.S.-led sanctions regime on Iran.
Russia is on the other side in Ukraine, but in battling the Taliban and Islamic State, al-Qaida and the al-Nusra Front, she is on our side.
That "moral and strategic clarity" exists only in uncomplicated minds.
It was a horrendous military blunder-——bovine excretement, those systems know what kind of plane that was. It picks up the signal that tells it what kind of a plane it is.
I’m not convinced it was a blunder. If Putin okayed the shootdown what he gets for it is a demonstration that the USA is simply not a factor in the World any more that has to be taken seriously by people like Putin and the Chinese. I think he did not “order” the incident but he was surely asked for permission. That missile battery was under the control of Russian military personnel. The Russian military is still organized on the same lines that it was in the USSR. It is purely top down. Nothing can happen without being relayed up the chain of command and being approved at the top. There is NO initiative permitted at the lower levels. The separatists would not have been able to use the missile battery without Russian personnel in control. That missile battery can identify an aircraft as to whether it is an airliner or not from the plane’s transponder. The shooters knew that they were targeting an airliner. The Russian in charge must have relayed the info and the request up his chain of command and then acted on or told the separatist crew to act on the approval of the shoot.
Maybe if these smart weapons are in the hands of not-so-smart para-military types - the distinctions between types of planes is not so clear.
Did Ukraine order it's Air Traffic Controllers
to redirect MH-17 to fly over the "war zone" ?
As horrified and aghast as I am about this MURDER, you are wrong in specific about the capabilities of an individual "BUK' launch type. While this individual launcher / vehicle is designed with a fire-control radar, the system concept behind the original Soviet setup had the IFF (Identification: Friend or Foe) at a different location. The whole system is designed with Russian institutional paranoia and top-down command in mind. This is part of the indictment against Russia and Putin, they gave their surrogates in Ukraine weapons designed for a different mission and MH17 is a wholly foreseeable consequence!
I was also waiting for the inevitable recollection of this incident...
I make no claim to fame to be intimately knowledgeable to that specific incident...
I can say that Captain Rogers (CO of the USS Vincennes) waited for way too long to actually shoot...
The “mistakes” were started when an IFF “read gate” was put over the contact while it was departing Bandar Abbas airport, one that is used for civilian AND military aircraft of ALL types...
Anyone who understands how that system and the operational side of things knows what I am talking about...
We had in that area a timeframe to react which was based upon “seconds”, not minutes...Combine that with the stress of transiting those waters and the surrounding threats does leave the door open for such mistakes, and not a lot of time to disseminate, or re-evaluate...Not where they were when this occurred...
The Russian backed separatists certainly DID (from my experiences) have the time and the wherewithal to determine these factors before shooting...
No one individual could have done this, the same went for the crew of the Vincennes...
The “REAL” thing is will anyone really pony up and admit to the causes leading up to weapons release???
I have my doubts about anyone on the Russian side of this admitting to anything...
I would be shocked if they did...They may actually get someone to fall on the sword, and save Putin’s reputation and those who are supporting this effort to destabilize the Ukrainian government and society...
Murder is the right word, they knew what they were doing. They are russian scum.
Patton was right.
I don’t know if the early 70s tech portable ones have the transponder readers on them - I thought this was of that vintage ... I could be wrong since I haven’t had time to dig into the system details.
You’re joking, aren’t you? *rme*
I think it is a legitimate question to ask.
Patsy is at again, and off his meds.
Pat Buchanan has spoken — and the Kremlin applauds.
More on the Iranian liner shot down.
Regarding Iran Air 655
Radar and electronic warfare technicians on the Vincennes detected electronic emanations” that led them to believe the plane was an F-14 fighter.
Why did Iran equip an airbus commercial aircraft with F-14 equipment, and deactivate the Iranian Airbuss transponder which identified it as a commercial flight?
It was a propaganda victory for Iran. The only cost to them was a few corpse volunteers to serve as “passengers.”
Reading Putin’s body language in the first press conference, I do not think he gave the order. He could have been asleep like the community-organizer-in-chief when the military took the initiative to get Ben Laden.
However, the ball is in his court and his choice now is what matters.