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UKRAINE: ATO move: the choice of the next main attack
/sprotyv ^ | 25/7/2014 | Konstantin Mashovets

Posted on 07/25/2014 5:02:02 PM PDT by

The situation in the area of ​​ATO on the results on July 25.

1. As I said, the release Lysychansk actually unleashes Ukrainian command in choosing, organizing and applying the next main attack. And it does not have to be a "kingdom of Besa" (Gorlovka). This, incidentally, understands itself Ukrainian command - to oust the enemy abroad Golmovskoe-Lozovoye - Debalcevo morning and kick Ukrainian troops on Svetlodarsk Lugano and that very eloquent confirmation.

2. Yes, Gorlivka is essential for the sustainability of operational defense throughout Donetsk grouping. In fact, she locks for all Ukrainian troops northwest direction towards Donetsk. But this does not mean that well entrenched and entrenched loony Russian commandos Bezler, povzryvavshego around a bunch of infrastructure, it is necessary to shove a frontal, brown, carrying all unnecessary losses in manpower and equipment. There is a sufficient number of operational solutions to this problem, which will avoid the oncoming lane in the bloody Rubilovo Avdiyivka - Gorlivka only in order to get out on a broad front to the northern outskirts of the Kirov, Red Army and the Kiev region of Donetsk, forcing Besa leave his lair. For obvious reasons, I will not name them, but judging by the nature of recent rearrangements of Ukrainian troops in the northern sectors of the command ATO without me quite "in the know" with regards to these decisions.

3. Apparently gap between tracks Lugansk and Donetsk in the area Debalcevo - Alchevs'k may soon turn into a kind of terrorist highway number 666. Today it is clear that "painless" way to move to Yenakievo can not all patients Donetsk madhouse. Such perespektiva shines only part of the patients' gYrkinskoy "house that now skimping treatments are concentrated in the vicinity Debaltsovo and build there the girls eyes. The rest (residues "mozglyakov" Leshogo Guard and other astray after some Lisichanskiy vigils) shines quite unambiguous fatal history. Given the fact that the advanced group of Ukrainian troops quite firmly hold the line in the band from the White to the north-eastern outskirts of Uspenka council of physicians will be long lasting, and subsequent treatments pOtsientam will be discharged immediately.

4. The first time today, it became apparent that there was no "escape the breeze" through snowy Torez and for all this Razgulyaev in Donetsk and the surrounding area of the White Guard will not, and indeed the previous figures of supply and replenishment for its needs. "Sly Dill" apparently Tishkov complete all the necessary arrangements in the area Amvrosiivka for "radical solutions" problems Saur-Graves and marinating. As it turned out, his honor, somewhat overestimated his strength and did not realize the old one, but very instructive maxim of manuals on operational art - one who seeks to surround and block the enemy must always be prepared for the possibility that he would be surrounded and blocked. This staroimpersky macho with focal vegetation on the upper lip, just realized that the more he carries around in a narrow corridor Marinovsky heavy weapons, the more it then get hated ukram. In fact, if the enemy entrenched on your flanks and you are not able to clear his fortified positions now, when in the area still remain more or less acceptable for you parity takes threatening towards your flanks and rear of the position , it is hardly worth poking between his jaws hand. Because it is clear that in the general long-term capacity in the competition forces and resources in this area Ukrainian side clearly surpass Mr. Girkin, who also had a few days in a row in fruitless attacks on the fortified defense sites Ukrainian troops in the narrow band to spend their so insignificant reserves. What could end this ballet? Clearly, not a standing ovation for a bad dancer ... and most likely got stronger jaws clatter opponent. And they can klatsnut from most Torez ... or even Shakhtersk. Then all will come to "EVOH Honour" painful and embarrassing.

5. Mr. Bolotov Yesterday, today announced total mobilization. Well, clearly, he was sorely lacking "human material". Salvage is, heaps of weapons, but the fight - no one. This is not the best of Wanton Airborne sergeant stock with permanent alcohol intoxication body (again yesterday they were pleased to catch "ukropskih saboteurs"), begins to resemble more and more their manners late Hitler (Schicklgruber by birth). However, it does not contribute to the transformation of host defense in Lugansk sample Berlin in April-May 1945. Some meaningful action for the defense, unlike the Germans, this "leader of the people of Lugansk" not even able to identify, let alone about what to spend them in reality. Probably alcoholic chimeras not given to understand that the commander that turn Artemovskii and Leninsky districts of the city into the likeness of the Seelow Heights in conditions when the part of St. George and luxury can actually get quite a kick in the complex area of Kamenobrodskogo powerful zalepuhu simply will not work. I think soon, despite all sorts of goryachitelny dope, he is to be clearly illustrated. There is still a possibility "try their luck" through Krasnodon or Izvarino-Belenky (very dangerous), or through well-Anthracite Rovenky to Sverdlovsk - Krasnopartizansky (more likely) will be very brief. Given that Dolzhanskogo Zelenopolskaya-group of Ukrainian troops, although incurred significant losses in personnel and equipment, but remained in their positions and lately very significant is active and in the northern and north-westerly direction.

6. General trends for 25.07.

- In Command IAF were designated serious systemic problems in defense. We can talk about the beginning of the destruction of all its structural stability. IAF frankly to a "nodal defense", losing, and sometimes quite significantly, operational cooperation between its main factions.

- Judging from everything, in command ATO someone thinking about concepts such as massing of forces and means in selected areas, as well as made ​​a very unambiguous conclusions from the practice of mixed tactical groups in a "debris" DRG enemy terrain.

Konstantin Mashovets, military expert at the Center for Political Studies

TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: ukraine

1 posted on 07/25/2014 5:02:02 PM PDT by
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