Posted on 07/29/2014 11:22:19 AM PDT by cotton1706
A new CBS/NYT poll has been released which is thus far the most exhaustive simultaneous battleground poll that has been taken this election season. It shows Republicans holding all their “close” seats, with McConnell leading Grimes 50-46 and Perdue leading Nunn 50-44. Obviously, these races are still very competitive and could flip although I think that as time goes along Perdue will pull away from Nunn while McConnell looks to be in a dogfight to the very end.
As predicted, John Walsh is all but officially toast in Montana, trailing Danes 56-40. The plagiarism scandal seems to have mortally wounded Walsh in what was a long shot race for them to begin with, and we may not have yet seen the fallout from that one. As expected, Mike Rounds is winning the open seat in SD in a laugher, which puts the GOP at a solid +2. Shelly Moore Capito is shown with a high single digit (51-43) lead in WV, which is consistent with other polling. Absent a stunning development in one of these races the GOP begins the election season looking at a +3 advantage, confirming everything we thought we knew thus far about the race for the Senate.
That is where things get ugly for the Dems. This poll shows the Dems also losing Arkansas (Cotton +4), North Carolina (Tillis +1), Louisiana (Cassidy +1), Iowa (Ernst +1), and Michigan (Land +1) – which, if true, would give the GOP 53 seats in 2015. Obviously, a number of these races are very close and, in the case of Michigan in particular, bucking a state’s partisan trend. But where many of these races are “too close to call,” the Dems are also up by “too close to call” in AK (Begich +2), and CO (Udall +4).
(Excerpt) Read more at redstate.com ...
I bet Brownie pulls it out in NH.
Well, I guess that means Obama and his band of dumbshits only have 3 more months to destroy everything they can. Then it’s the GOPe’s turn to show us how feckless and stupid they can be.
The Republican primary is also puzzling.
The top GOP candidate trails Begich by 12%, but the number two trails by just 2%.
I have no idea why.
The Tea Party candidate in the primary will get about 15%, but I'm not sure which Republican he takes votes away from.
Sorry, meant to give you this link - the national map:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/2014_elections_senate_map.html
They consider these to be tossups:
AK: Begich (D)
AR: Pryor (D)
CO: Udall (D)
GA: Open (R)
IA: Open (D)
KY: McConnell (R)
LA: Landrieu (D)
MI: Open (D)
NC: Hagan (D)
Here they list MI as a tossup. Thanks for noticing.
America’s second Black President will never be impeached. The first one lied on camera to a Federal judge and became a media hero when he was impeached. He was also a rapist who conducted his own private war on women.
Do you grasp the narrative of victimhood and how the media plays into it? It would be a public relations disaster to impeach Obama unless he pulled out a gun and shot Michelle on public TV. Even then ...
Even if he was impeached, but not convicted, the following words have a nice ring to them in 2016:
“The Democratic nominee will have a tough road, as the previous two Democratic presidents have been impeached”.
The GOP naysayers on FR are saying that would never happen!
could the 3rd part candidate keep top voter getter under 50% and result in a January runoff?
Assuming this poll taken BEFORE Boehner’s cave on immigration issue. Perhaps it should be done again. The elites have shot their feet full of holes.
The Media would crucify us by constantly reporting that the last two Democrat Presidents were impeached by evil, racist Republicans bent on terrorizing the nation and lining their own greedy pockets ... you have heard it before and know the rest.
That said, it does have a nice ring to it. Sort of like the bells of freedom ringing.
If we could only impeach the media...
Amen!
I think Joe Miller can win the Republican primary in Alaska and if he does so he can beat Mark Begich.
I did not write that clearly.
The Tea Party “favorite” is a Republican, and he is running in the GOP primary in August.
I don’t know what the Alaskan Republicans do if no one gets a majority in their August primary.
Re: “But that will never happen.”
Agree.
If McConnell loses, the GOP will need to flip EIGHT Democrat seats to win a Senate majority.
I was referring to Georgia.
Incumbent Dem under 50%... Lot of ‘em. The only incumbent GOP under 50% I know of is McConnell in KY
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
I think that Lamar Alexander is under 50% polling the the Primary.
How's about MN, where that dolt Franken is apparently "safe?"
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.