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Will Iowa be Dem's Waterloo?
The Hill ^ | August 24, 2014 | Cameron Joseph

Posted on 08/25/2014 4:39:11 AM PDT by Din Maker

Iowa was never supposed to be a Senate battleground for Democrats. Following two cycles where it was GOP missteps and subpar candidates who cost them winnable races, the tables have turned and it’s now Democrats who are scrambling to right Rep. Bruce Braley’s flagging campaign before it’s too late.

Recent polls find a coin-flip race between Braley and Iowa state Sen. Joni Ernst(R), and but the national party increasingly worries it could be the tipping point for Senate control. “If the Democrats lose Iowa, of course it becomes much harder to keep the majority,” said one national Democratic strategist. “The race could very much go either way. We feel like the worst is behind us and it's moving back towards Bruce Braley. But we know we don't have this wrapped up.”

Braley’s biggest gaffe took place months ago, when video surfaced of the former trial lawyer criticizing Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) as a “a farmer from Iowa who never went to law school.” But Braley’s problems haven’t stopped there. A neighbor has claimed he threatened to sue because her chickens kept wandering in his yard, and Republicans have been hammering him for missing Veterans Affairs Committee hearings. In-state observers say he’s stiff and awkward at times on the campaign trail, while Ernst is better at retail politicking.

David Yepsen, a thirty-year veteran of the Des Moines Register who now directs the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute at Southern Illinois University, said Braley’s “farmer” gaffe “really redefined the race” and was “one of the biggest political stumbles I've ever seen. In one swoop, he made a mistake that changes the direction of the race,” said Yepsen. “This was going to be a race that Democrats initially thought would be pretty easy to hold onto and it's turned into a far different game.”

Holding the seat of retiring Sen. Tom Harkin (D-Iowa) is critical, since Democrats can only afford to lose five seats if they hope to retain control of the upper chamber. Montana, West Virginia and South Dakota are all likely to flip to the GOP, getting the GOP halfway to a majority. Red-state Sens. Mary Landrieu (D-La.), Mark Pryor (D-Ark.), Kay Hagan (D-N.C.) and Mark Begich (D-Alaska) have been top targets for more than a year, but are running strong races.

But now Braley’s missteps have vaulted him higher on the vulnerable list, frustrating D.C. Democrats who thought he’d win comfortably.

Braley’s team has come out hard on veterans issues in recent weeks, running two ads touting his work helping veterans get military pay and pushing to end sexual assault in the military. The ads seem aimed at shoring up his standing with veterans and help bolster his image with voters against Ernst, who serves in the Iowa National Guard. While he looks to boost his own image, Democrats have been hard at work undercutting Ernst’s in the swing state.

The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, Senate Majority PAC, and the liberal environmental group NextGen Climate have all been on the air in recent weeks seeking to paint Ernst as a conservative hard-liner beholden to special-interest groups. Iowa has been one of the only states where Democrats have been spending more on television in recent weeks, a sign of how worried they are about the race.

The DSCC’s ad ties her to Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R), who campaigned for Ernst in the primary. Others hit her for waffling on the renewable fuel standard, a key issue for some Iowa farmers, and her opposition to a federal minimum wage.

Braley’s campaign argues that his mistakes are well-known to voters at this point, but that they’re just getting to know his opponent. "In Iowa, what's out of touch is Joni Ernst's Tea Party views on the minimum wage, Social Security, Medicare, impeachment and the government shutdown. That's what is going to matter to Iowans come November,” Braley spokesman Sam Lau said.

Braley’s allies admit he’s made unforced errors, but think the race is beginning to turn in his direction as voters learn more about Ernst. “People simply didn't know who she was besides being a woman and a fresh face with catchy TV ads who grew up on a farm, and not looking at her beliefs, her views, her record, which are pretty extreme,” former Iowa Lt. Gov. Patty Judge (D) told The Hill. “I'm not going to deny there have been some rough spots in this campaign… but I really believe he'll be okay, I really do.”

Ernst’s campaign has retaliated, attacking Braley as an “elitist” and saying the Democratic attacks were coming from a place of fear. “Bruce Braley has been losing ground every week because each day Iowans learn something new about his elitist Washington values,” said Ernst spokeswoman Gretchen Hamel. “Bruce Braley and his liberal allies arrogantly thought this race would be a coronation. Now they are desperate and filling the airways with false attacks and smears against Joni Ernst. They aren’t even trying to get people to vote for Braley anymore. Their goal is to smear Joni so much that Iowans will vote against her. It’s sad, and it won’t work, but that’s their strategy.”

National Democrats argue the attacks against Ernst are working and the race has stabilized, for now. But many admit they were hoping they would never have to worry about Iowa in the first place, and know if the Senate flips, it may be due to Braley’s subpar performance.

“Losing this would make the path much more difficult. I think he's in a good place, but he needs to stop tripping over himself,” said another national Democratic strategist.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: iowa
If Iowa elects this clown, I will lose all respect for the people of that State. I'll know then that it's a State that only cares about their entitlements, propagating same-sex marriages and killing little unborn babies.
1 posted on 08/25/2014 4:39:12 AM PDT by Din Maker
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To: Din Maker

Braley is an “elitist, condescending turd,” according to an Iowa newspaper editor...


2 posted on 08/25/2014 4:42:20 AM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks (Rip it out by the roots.)
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To: All
DUMMYCRATS GET A HEADS-UP---GOTTA REV UP THE VOTER FRAUD MACHINES HERE

<><> Gaff-prone Senate candidate Rep. Bruce Braley is making Dummycrats antsy---they can only afford to lose five seats if they hope to retain control of the upper chamber. Montana, West Virginia and South Dakota are all likely to flip to the GOP, getting the GOP halfway to a majority.

<><> Red-state Sens. Mary Landrieu (D-La.), Mark Pryor (D-Ark.), Kay Hagan (D-N.C.) and Mark Begich (D-Alaska) have been top Repub targets for more than a year, but are running strong races.

==================================================

TALKING POINTS--Campaign Contributions Ensnare 2014 DEMOCRATS in IRS’s Missing Emails Scandal
Colorado Observer. ^ | June 19, 2014 | Audrey Hudson / FR Posted 6/21 by george76

...... missing among the IRS’s internal emails are communications with Sens. Mark Udall, Mark Begich, Mary Landrieu, Al Franken, and a dozen other Democrats who received campaign contributions from the federal agency’s union.

Democratic senators who took campaign donations from the IRS union include Sens. Mary Landrieu of Louisiana who received $25,500, Al Franken of Minnesota with $5,000, and Mark Begich of Alaska.

(Excerpt) Read more at thecoloradoobserver.com ...

3 posted on 08/25/2014 4:56:00 AM PDT by Liz
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To: All
DUMMYCRATS GET A HEADS-UP---GOTTA REV UP THE VOTER FRAUD MACHINES HERE

<><> Gaff-prone Senate candidate Rep. Bruce Braley is making Dummycrats antsy---they can only afford to lose five seats if they hope to retain control of the upper chamber. Montana, West Virginia and South Dakota are all likely to flip to the GOP, getting the GOP halfway to a majority.

<><> Red-state Sens. Mary Landrieu (D-La.), Mark Pryor (D-Ark.), Kay Hagan (D-N.C.) and Mark Begich (D-Alaska) have been top Repub targets for more than a year, but are running strong races.

==================================================

TALKING POINTS--Campaign Contributions Ensnare 2014 DEMOCRATS in IRS’s Missing Emails Scandal
Colorado Observer. ^ | June 19, 2014 | Audrey Hudson / FR Posted 6/21 by george76

...... missing among the IRS’s internal emails are communications with Sens. Mark Udall, Mark Begich, Mary Landrieu, Al Franken, and a dozen other Democrats who received campaign contributions from the federal agency’s union.

Democratic senators who took campaign donations from the IRS union include Sens. Mary Landrieu of Louisiana who received $25,500, Al Franken of Minnesota with $5,000, and Mark Begich of Alaska.

(Excerpt) Read more at thecoloradoobserver.com ...

4 posted on 08/25/2014 4:56:01 AM PDT by Liz
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To: All
MEMO TO 2014 VOTERS:

<><> Ask Dummycrats when Obama is dropping by to campaign for them (cackle).

<><> Ask Dummycrats why they voted to subsidize O/Care by decimating Medicare Advantage for seniors.

<><> Ask Dummycrats why the White House calculatedly kept the gruesome details to itself while egging on loyal lock-stepping Democrats to vote for O/Care.

<><> Ask Dummycrat why the WH lied to Americans in a way so specific, it showed they knew exactly what to spin and how......via the infamous "If you like your health-care plan, you can keep your health-care plan, period."

<><> Ask Dummycrats why they carried on for the next three years making believe they'd actually read the ACA bill and pretending they understood its implications.

<><> Ask Dummycrats why they're so surprised by grassroots complaints about O/Care from constituents.

<><> Ask Dummycrats why they treat voters as if they just fall off a turnip truck.

ID THEFT SCAM---DUMMYCRATS RUNNING AS CONSERVATIVES (DUPING VOTERS TO SAVE OBAMA'S ***)

Breitbart.com reports that b/c of an increasingly hostile political landscape, Democrats are resorting to whining---asking voters to believe they have suddenly "seen the light" and are now conservatives.

In districts across the country, Democrats are campaigning as "true believers' in tax cuts, balanced budgets and for rolling back big government's harmful regulations.

The Dummycrats are so desperate, thry're even bleating about guns, fracking and coal....trying to appeal to the conservative heartland.

The list of Democrats carving out more conservative positions is too lengthy to mention. In fact, breitbart.com reports, it would be noteworthy to find any Democrat in a competitive election running on the platform espoused by the DNC, Harry Reid or Nancy Pelosi.

Opportunistic Dem candidates are marching in lockstep--- separating themselves from Dummycrat-ism when facing actual voters.

As conservatives have always observed, Dummycrat-ism is not even a coherent party....just a collection of hyphenates.....and expedient alliances of special interest groups....all expecting payback.

This is an old Dummycrat trick---from the conniving shallow mind of Chicago-land kingpins of political crime. Obama suck-up Rahm Emanuel actually dreamed up the con.

As you may recall, the contrived Democrat wave in 2006 was fueled, in large part, by Dummycrat's beating the drum about public weariness with the Iraq War...... and Dummycrats piling on GWB.

Naturally, the complicit drive-by media failed to report that this was a con game devised by the aggressive then-Cong Rahm Emanuel to recruit moderate and conservative Democrats to run for office.

This strategy worked so well that before the GOP landslide in 2010, 54 members of the House Democrat caucus were conservative "blue dog democrats." With only 14 "blue dogs" now serving in Congress, this mythical creature has all but disappeared from the political landscape.

With contemporary support for golf-addicted Obama, and his policies, nearing record lows, Democrats in Congress are again trying to pull off this trick.

===========================================

WRAP-UP: Stupid Dummycrats can run wearing Reagan masks, for all that matters----the prog/nitwit in the WH keeps reminding voters about the Dummycrat-fashioned disaster that has befallen our beloved country.

5 posted on 08/25/2014 4:58:36 AM PDT by Liz
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To: Din Maker

So long as the MSM and the NEA are wholly behind the DNC, Liberalism is a large and growing cancer that will not be cured.


6 posted on 08/25/2014 5:00:32 AM PDT by SMARTY ("When you blame others, you give up your power to change." Robert Anthony)
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To: Din Maker

I long ago lost respect for Iowa - but frankly, your issues listed are not even part of the campaign from what I can tell.


7 posted on 08/25/2014 5:04:29 AM PDT by C. Edmund Wright (www.FireKarlRove.com NOW)
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To: Din Maker

As long as its within a 5 % point margin the Dems can steal it. No problem.


8 posted on 08/25/2014 5:17:39 AM PDT by airborne (My heroes don't wear capes - My heroes wear dog tags!)
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To: Din Maker

Telling an Iowa candidate that he is “only a farmer and not a lawyer” ranks right up there with the biggest political blunders of all time.

Democrats are so stupid.


9 posted on 08/25/2014 5:26:26 AM PDT by Graybeard58 (Fear God, and keep his commandments: for this is the whole duty of man.)
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Less Than 13.2K To Go And The Freepathon Is Over!


Click The Pic To Donate

Support FR, Donate Monthly If You Can

10 posted on 08/25/2014 5:28:12 AM PDT by DJ MacWoW (The Fed Gov is not one ring to rule them all)
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To: Eric in the Ozarks

Braley is an “elitist, condescending turd,” according to an Iowa newspaper editor...
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Yes; I know. That has been repeated on here a gazillion times. But, apparently at least half of Iowa doesn’t give a crap.


11 posted on 08/25/2014 5:28:18 AM PDT by Din Maker (I've always been crazy, but, that's the only thing that has kept) me from going insane.)
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To: Din Maker

Anybody from Iowa reading and responding to this post ?


12 posted on 08/25/2014 5:42:38 AM PDT by mosesdapoet (Serious contribution pause.Please continue onto meaningless venting no one reads.)
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To: Liz; All

Since you posted numerous times to “All”, I’ll reply to “All”.

I’m a little sick and tired of everyone blaming “Democrat voter fraud”, or as you say, “Dummycrat”. Well Liz, apparently they are not too freakin’ dumb. They have always been more “street-wise” than the Pubbies. Now, you wanna know why the Dems kick our ass and will probably hold onto the freakin’ Senate this year? Click on the link below and quit blaming voter fraud and blame out team for their freakin’ ineptness:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3196730/posts


13 posted on 08/25/2014 5:44:51 AM PDT by Din Maker (I've alwaerys been crazy, but, that's the only thing that has kept) me from going insane.)
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To: Din Maker
I don't think it's been repeated sufficiently in Iowa, although one Register reporter mentioned it in her blog...
14 posted on 08/25/2014 5:45:48 AM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks (Rip it out by the roots.)
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To: C. Edmund Wright

“.....your issues listed are not even part of the campaign from what I can tell.”
____________________________________________________________________________________________________

Bullsh**! Why else would anyone vote for Democratic Party candidates unless their main issue was either Entitlements, Gay Rights or Abortion? As long as they have access to their Welfare entitlements and their social agenda, they don’t give a crap about Amnesty, the National Debt, how ObamaCare is hurting small businesses or any freakin’ thing else.


15 posted on 08/25/2014 5:49:34 AM PDT by Din Maker (I've alwaerys been crazy, but, that's the only thing that has kept) me from going insane.)
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To: airborne

Please see Post #13.


16 posted on 08/25/2014 5:53:52 AM PDT by Din Maker (I've alwaerys been crazy, but, that's the only thing that has kept) me from going insane.)
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To: Din Maker

well you had a point on the entitlements - I was reading too fast - but that appears to be the only issue you mentioned that’s really driving this. Not everybody, on either side, is driven by the same things that drive you. Not saying that’s good or bad, just that it IS.


17 posted on 08/25/2014 5:55:42 AM PDT by C. Edmund Wright (www.FireKarlRove.com NOW)
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To: C. Edmund Wright

Point well taken. But, seriously Edmund; how many gays do you know who would vote Republican? Not many. How many Pro-Choice feminazis do you know who would vote Republican? Probably zilch, zero, nada.


18 posted on 08/25/2014 6:00:35 AM PDT by Din Maker (I've alwaerys been crazy, but, that's the only thing that has kept) me from going insane.)
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To: Din Maker

True….but not every election turns on the same dynamics. I’m talking about big picture drivers.

Not every election has equal motivations on both sides. This particular race, and the 2014 mid terms in general, seem to be an election where issues of gay marriage and abortion are not the drivers.


19 posted on 08/25/2014 6:05:31 AM PDT by C. Edmund Wright (www.FireKarlRove.com NOW)
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To: C. Edmund Wright
This particular race, and the 2014 mid terms in general, seem to be an election where issues of gay marriage and abortion are not the drivers.

True, ObamaCare and Obama himself are the driving issues. But, when you start out with all the Black, gays, Pro-Choice advocates and Welfare recipients against you, that's quite a disadvantage to overcome.
20 posted on 08/25/2014 6:16:49 AM PDT by Din Maker (I've alwaerys been crazy, but, that's the only thing that has kept) me from going insane.)
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To: Din Maker

That’s exactly why they’re trying to ride Ferguson for all it’s worth, motivating black voters. They’ll try war on women again at some point too.

…and in Iowa, don’t forget the corporate welfare of the Ethanol scam too…..Iowa IS a very entitlement driven state at every level. I mean, any state that elected Tom Harkin multiple times is crazy.


21 posted on 08/25/2014 6:20:52 AM PDT by C. Edmund Wright (www.FireKarlRove.com NOW)
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To: Din Maker

Not to worry, Iowa will be just another Mississippi and another Virginia - close but the Dem’s will squeak it out - just the way the rino Repubs wanted it played.


22 posted on 08/25/2014 6:28:58 AM PDT by Lake Living
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To: mosesdapoet

Yes. I have been living here for five years. It’s an interesting place.

Braley’s ads seem more like smears. Ernst points out facts about Braley missing 79% of VA Committee hearings. She will likely win the moderate vote. Braley is hoping for a massive turnout in loony left Iowa City and the union/welfare areas, like Davenport.


23 posted on 08/25/2014 6:40:10 AM PDT by neocon1984
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To: neocon1984

So, what’s your gut telling you? Will Ernst or Braley be the new Jr. Senator from IA?


24 posted on 08/25/2014 6:54:10 AM PDT by Din Maker (I've alwaerys been crazy, but, that's the only thing that has kept) me from going insane.)
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To: Lake Living
Not to worry, Iowa will be just another Mississippi and another Virginia - close but the Dem’s will squeak it out - just the way the rino Repubs wanted it played.

I assume you mean the Va Governor's race? And the Mississippi Primary? Neither of those analogize to this…..

25 posted on 08/25/2014 7:02:25 AM PDT by C. Edmund Wright (www.FireKarlRove.com NOW)
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To: Din Maker

If Iowa elects this clown, I will lose all respect for the people of that State.


Um....dude...........we elected Tom Harkin for four terms as a U.S. Senator.


26 posted on 08/25/2014 7:11:27 AM PDT by cornfedcowboy
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To: neocon1984

Yes, Iowa boy here.
I think Ernst has a very good chance. She is running a good campaign. Being a woman will put her over the top IMHO.


27 posted on 08/25/2014 7:14:05 AM PDT by cornfedcowboy
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To: cornfedcowboy

Um....dude...........we elected Tom Harkin for four terms as a U.S. Senator.
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________—

LOL.... Point well taken. Granted Harkin is a freakin’ Liberal but he’s not a idiot like Braley. Braley dude, and his bitch of a wife, need some intense therapy.


28 posted on 08/25/2014 7:24:08 AM PDT by Din Maker (I've alwaerys been crazy, but, that's the only thing that has kept) me from going insane.)
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To: C. Edmund Wright
........2014 mid terms seem to be elections where Big issues of gay marriage and abortion are not the drivers......

So very true---sometimes post-election analyses finds issues the pundits never pin-pointed.

In the recent Cantor route, little-known issues WRT Cantor making enemies of top Repubs drove the election in some areas.

Everybody thought Cantor was "untouchable". Nobody thought his TV ads would hurt him....but the $5 million ads kept repeating the positions of his opponent---which Cantor figured would hurt the opponent.

Turns out, voters liked whet they heard and dumped Cantor.

The private circumlocution of voters in the voting booth is hard to predict.

29 posted on 08/25/2014 10:49:06 AM PDT by Liz
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To: Din Maker
If Iowa elects this clown, I will lose all respect for the people of that State.

The fact that any incumbent Democrat is not running behind any opponent tells us more than we need to know about what troubles this nation.

30 posted on 08/25/2014 11:35:15 AM PDT by itsahoot (Voting for a Progressive RINO is the same as voting for any other Tyrant.)
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To: SMARTY

A vote for a Dem senator is a vote for Obummer.


31 posted on 08/25/2014 11:42:37 AM PDT by Big Horn (Rebuild the GOP to a conservative party)
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To: Big Horn

Obamacrud is going to with us for a LOOOOOOONG time


32 posted on 08/25/2014 11:47:14 AM PDT by SMARTY ("When you blame others, you give up your power to change." Robert Anthony)
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To: Liz
The private circumlocution of voters in the voting booth is hard to predict.

indeed it is - which worries me to a degree. I wonder how many public "conservatives" are now on the public dole and will secretly vote liberal big gummint while professing to be to the right????? I wonder how many like Glenn Beck, and hardcore preppers, vote Obama to bring about the apocalypse - because if it happens, prepper elites will rule the world! (I am a prepper, but a jr. prepper) Just some thoughts - inspired by your excellent post.

33 posted on 08/25/2014 1:04:41 PM PDT by C. Edmund Wright (www.FireKarlRove.com NOW)
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To: Din Maker
I'll know then that it's a State that only cares about their entitlements, propagating same-sex marriages and killing little unborn babies.

Yeah, whatever. Because it's so plain for everyone to see that Joni Ernst is not only above reproach but also a great American conservative patriot. And, everyone knows the GOP is always, ALWAYS so very good at waging an effective campaign. Or, not.

(from the article) it's moving back towards Bruce Braley

It should be. The Dem PAC money is pouring in like never before.

I pray that I'm wrong but, I expect she's toast.

34 posted on 08/25/2014 1:56:14 PM PDT by newgeezer (It is [the people's] right and duty to be at all times armed. --Thomas Jefferson, 1824)
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To: newgeezer

Well, safe to say that if he wins it won’t be based on likeability...


35 posted on 08/25/2014 3:42:30 PM PDT by sam_whiskey (Peace through Strength)
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To: Graybeard58
I agree. Ernst is a great candidate and also has a sense of humor. I hope she wins.
36 posted on 08/25/2014 3:49:53 PM PDT by Dante3
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To: Din Maker

I would put my money on Ernst.


37 posted on 08/25/2014 4:22:04 PM PDT by neocon1984
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