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Republican Joni Ernst pulls ahead of Dem in Iowa Senate poll ^ | 9/17/14 | Nick Kalman

Posted on 09/17/2014 6:04:01 AM PDT by cotton1706

Republican Joni Ernst has pulled ahead of Democratic Rep. Bruce Braley in the Iowa Senate race, according to a new poll that points to a heated battle for votes in the final stretch.

The Quinnipiac University survey showed Ernst, a state senator, leading Braley by 6 points, 50-44 percent among likely voters. The poll also showed her leading among independents, a key voting bloc.

The results are a break from earlier polling which for months has shown Braley leading or tied with his GOP rival.

Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll, said in a statement put out by the university that while “some pundits back east” may have mocked Ernst’s ads in which she talked about living on a farm, “they send an effective message to Iowans that she is one of them.”

There are signs, though, that both candidates in the race are trying to moderate their message after a long stretch of nasty advertising. Millions of dollars’ worth of personal attack ads have been clogging the airwaves all year, but Braley and Ernst are suddenly reversing course.

(Excerpt) Read more at ...

TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2014midterms; elections; ernst; ia2014; iowa

1 posted on 09/17/2014 6:04:01 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

Good survey, good news....but.....there cannot and should not be one iota of patting yourself on the back!!! The election, on election day, Tuesday, November 4, 2014!!! That, is the only election that counts!!! So...I again urge every single voter in Iowa and the rest of the 49 states to turn out and vote agains any and all Democrat candidates across the entire country!!!

Destroying the entire Democrat Party, politically, across the entire country, in effect destroys POTUS, Barack Hussein (I love the Muslim Brotherhood) Obama...politcally, likewise!!!

2 posted on 09/17/2014 6:13:23 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX ( My only objective is to defeat and destroy Obama & his Democrat Party, politically!!!.)
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To: cotton1706

That’s good news. I hope she wins because Braley is such a jerk.

3 posted on 09/17/2014 6:22:53 AM PDT by Fiji Hill
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We’re not into women. She’s hot and the other guy has a chance. Go figure.

4 posted on 09/17/2014 6:23:40 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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To: cotton1706; All

There was an article on here yesterday stating that the Senate Conservative Fund (SCF) had not given Joni Ernst any money for her General Election bid; after supporting her in the Primary. I don’t understand why the SCF is holding back money in a race this close. Anyone have a clue? See yesterday’s article here:

5 posted on 09/17/2014 6:30:49 AM PDT by Din Maker (I've alwaerys been crazy, but, that's the only thing that has kept) me from going insane.)
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To: All
Braley's falling behind? I swear---it's a dam shame that Democrat Senate candidate Bruce Braley IS NOT a beneficiary of Obama's delay on immigration reform. The White House ding-a-ling's asserted the delaying tactic would help senate candidates like Cong Bruce Braley---a key race for Dems---b/c the delay stops the use of immigration as a grandstanding issue.

OTOH, Latino pressure groups are incensed about Obama's renegging.


News outlets report that Obama's delaying action on immigration reform was calculated to help nervous Democrats in tight races like Cong Bruce Braley's Senate race in Iowa. The WH says delaying amnesty would help Democrats keep control of the Senate......and prevent a powerless Obama from swinging in the wind.


REALITY CHECK.......a tsunami of 2014 voter polls indicate massive voter revulsion for Democrats---a decisive vote of "no confidence." So much so that Democrat,s themselves, forced Obama to delay his plan to E/O amnesty---hoping to stave off disaster to protect uneasy Democrats from voter wrath in November.....

But Democrat Rep. Luis Gutierrez (Dem-Ill), the leading mouthpiece for amnesty, isn't taking Obama's dismissal lying down. Gutierrez said the Congressional Hispanic Caucus will meet to determine a formal response....and seemed to issue a veiled threat to the ambitions of vulnerable Democrats like Cong Braley.

GUTIERREZ: “No more excuses, I don’t care what senator is dangling in the wind, I don’t care what Republican proposal is being made,” he said. “I don’t care what happens. We are moving forward.”

CONG BRALEY NEEDS TO DETERMINE WHETHER GUTIERREZ IS PLOTTING A COUP AGAINST DEMOCRATS?---his mouthings sound dangerously like a latino threat to vulnerable Democrats like Braley.
Question is: are Democrats like Braley who have been so loyal going to allow Gutierrez to threaten their re/elections?

Braley need to get cracking and demand to know the details
about an individual threatening his candidacy. For instance:

<><><> the number of identities Gutierrez is using now, or has ever used (driving a cab in Illinois);

<><><> the number of US govt check Gutierrez, his family, and his staff are cashing;

<><><> whether Gutierrez has ever been labled a ntl security threat; <><><> whether Gutierrez used infamous crooked Chicago tactics to get elected;

<><><> the list of his memberships in violent latino groups advocating the overthrow of the US govt;

<><> How many stolen Social Security numbers are his family, staff and political entourage using?

<><><> how many identities are the Guiterrez family and campaign entourage using?

<><><> are his family, supporters, and political entourage paid agents of foreign governments?

WHO IS GIVING GUTIERREZ HIS MARCHING ORDERS? Democrats need to get the FBI to subpoena Gutierrez's phone records, emails and snail mail, wire transfers, etc .....

<><> Examine his campaign contributors, foreign travel;

<><> did Gutierrez employ foreign agents as staff w/ US tax dollars?

<><> did Gutierrez ever file falsified documents w/ the federal government?

<><> did he ever make false statements on tax returns?

<><> did he ever apply for EITC refunds listing children "back Home" that are not related to him?

<><> does he earn outside income as a paid political consultant to foreign governments?

<><> did Gutierrez fail to register as an agent of a foreign government;

<><> Is Gutierrez and The Congressional Hispanic Caucus using tax dollars to conduct a coup against Democrats.



<><> CONG BRALEY AND THE DEMOCRATS should demand Gutierrez, the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, La Raza, and other tax-funded latino groups, be investigated.

L/E should supboena Gutierrez' official filings, phone records, emails, snail mail copies, hard drives, bank accounts, checking accounts, credit cards, debit cards, wire transfers, social media contacts, and the like.


CONG BRALEY AND THE DEMOCRATS should demand to know who these people are communicating with, and who is directing their activities against Democrats.

CONG BRALEY and the Democrats should demand to know if Gutierrez, his family, his staff, The Congressional Hispanic caucus, are colluding to dump Democrats, and whether they are consorting with violent organizations to overthrow the Democrat Party unless they get their way.

Cong Braley and the Democrats should demand to know if Gutierrez, his staff, The Congressional Hispanic caucus, and latino pressure groups are colluding to dump Democrats like Braley, and whether they are plotting retaliation---to overthrow Democrat candidates like Braley.

6 posted on 09/17/2014 6:36:15 AM PDT by Liz
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To: Din Maker

I don’t know. I do know that outside groups have been sending money to WA, MI and a third race I can’t remember, maybe NH, probably to force democrats to spend money there, draining their funds.

It might work. The RNC, the NRSC and the Establishment obviously don’t know what the hell they’re doing, year upon year.

7 posted on 09/17/2014 6:37:29 AM PDT by cotton1706 (
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To: cotton1706
The "big news" has been that there have been three Iowa polls since the beginning of the month showing Braley leading ... sometimes I think they just make this stuff up to write stories about it.

I'd expect Braley to lose -- but I said the same thing about Obama just 2 years ago...

8 posted on 09/17/2014 6:38:29 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: cotton1706
Good. And the pollsters were just saying this was "tightening up" and gee, the Dems might hold the Senate. Not.

I'm a little worried that we haven't made more inroads against Hagin, but I still think that one will go our way, as will KY (ugh), AR, don't know about LA or AK. We need one of those to prevent a tie.

9 posted on 09/17/2014 6:47:00 AM PDT by LS ('Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually.' Hendrix)
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To: cotton1706

That’s what I’ve been hoping to hear! Braley is an ass of the Durbin/Schumer/Franken caliber. The choice could not be clearer.

10 posted on 09/17/2014 6:49:59 AM PDT by bigbob (The best way to get a bad law repealed is to enforce it strictly. Abraham Lincoln)
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To: Sooth2222

they also release a co govenors poll with the R plus 10 points

11 posted on 09/17/2014 6:56:17 AM PDT by Paul8148
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To: Liz

MSM trying to spin that the Dems are gonna keep the Senate...

12 posted on 09/17/2014 7:05:26 AM PDT by ken5050 ("One useless man is a shame, two are a law firm, three or more are a Congress".. John Adams)
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To: cotton1706

The polls are all over the map because the fundamentals that allow polls to measure public sentiment are broken. We gave up door to door polls years ago in favor of telephone based polls. Phone calls don’t work very well anymore with the drop in land line phones and the dominance of cell phones. So, everyone has come up with their own special sauce to normalize the results and since their is no agreement on what works, you get different results.

Add to that the newspaper and TV woes which means that less money is being spent on public polls, and therefore they aren’t as good as they used to be. We never see the private polls that the campaigns pay for, they are probably better than the public ones, but it’s hard to tell.

13 posted on 09/17/2014 7:06:22 AM PDT by centurion316
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To: Liz; All

Prediction: Gowdy’s performance running the Select committee will catapult him into consideration for the VP spot in 2016

14 posted on 09/17/2014 7:09:00 AM PDT by ken5050 ("One useless man is a shame, two are a law firm, three or more are a Congress".. John Adams)
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To: ken5050

Agreed-—he’s very popular.

A youtube video of Gowdy got a couple million hits.

In advertising circles, one response is counted as 100-—for the ones that agree but did not respond.

15 posted on 09/17/2014 7:16:50 AM PDT by Liz
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To: bigbob
Braley is an ass of the Durbin/Schumer/Franken caliber.

Don't you know Durbin is a "shoo-in" (cackle)?

UT-OH---Lois Lerner used her then-FEC position to save Illinois Dummycrat Dick Durbin’s US Senate seat back in 1996. She conducted an inquisition into Durbin's opponent for alleged election law violations....and it worked. Dicky triumphed.

....2014 Dicky Durbin's running scared, again well he should.......

As far back as 2008, at the presidential debate in Nashville, candidate Obama advanced his signature plan that was ultimately enacted (by an historic straight Democrat party-line vote) into the "Affordable Care Act:

QUOTING OBAMA: "No. 1, let me just repeat, if you’ve got a health care plan that you like, you can keep it. All I’m going to do is help you to lower the premiums on it. You’ll still have choice of doctor.”

Repeated over and over ---- with the promise that every American would be saving $2500.00 on healthcare costs.

SEN. RICHARD DURBIN SALUTES SMARTLY: “We Democrats believe — and we stand by this — if you like your current health insurance plan, you will be able to keep it, plain and simple, straightforward.” (Sen. Durbin, Congressional Record, S.6401, 6/10/09)


16 posted on 09/17/2014 7:23:37 AM PDT by Liz
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To: cotton1706

Polls are going to be very fluid until the election.

17 posted on 09/17/2014 12:20:22 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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