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The GOP’s Obamacare Mandate Strategy: Don’t raise the cutoff to 40 hours.
National Review ^ | 01/08/2015 | The Editors

Posted on 01/08/2015 7:23:57 AM PST by SeekAndFind

Republican leadership has an odd idea for one of its first big policy pushes of this Congress: a change to Obamacare that threatens to make the law worse.

The idea, expected to come to a vote in the House on Thursday, is to change Obamacare’s requirement that most employers provide full-time workers with generous health insurance, a rule known as the “employer mandate.” (Or the “employer shared responsibility provisions,” if you prefer Gruber-speak). It sets the definition of full-time work at 30 hours a week.

Republicans have been making the case for some time — and no small number of Democrats and liberals are sympathetic — that employers will reduce workers’ hours to avoid paying the substantial penalty or providing costly insurance, and that this outweighs the benefits of some workers’ getting insurance thanks to the rule.

The current GOP plan, in the main, is to raise the threshold for full-time work to 40 hours. That may be a more reasonable definition, but there are more Americans who work 40 hours a week or a bit more than there are who work just over 30 hours. The proposal risks, theoretically, cuts to the working hours of many more workers. Research by the Obamacare-friendly Commonwealth Fund seems to support this argument; the CBO did not look at the question closely but predicts little total shift in hours either way.

Republicans also propose to change how the law calculates the number of employees a business has, exempting more small businesses from the mandate. While this can only have a salutary effect for workers and wages, there’s little reason not to go much further and repeal the entire mandate.

Repealing a substantial tax on full-time work will increase the supply of labor and the demand for it — both, as it happens, indicators on which the American economy continues to struggle.

One downside to repealing the mandate entirely is that it’s expected to slightly decrease the number of workers with private-insurance coverage and increase the number on Medicaid. Yet the CBO now projects that the proposed Republican plan will have a similar effect without getting rid of the mandate.

There seem to be two plausible reasons to avoid repealing the mandate: Its fines generate a not-insubstantial amount of revenue, so repealing it will increase the federal deficit (estimates range from $46 billion to $149 billion over the next ten years). But the CBO scores the 40-hour-work-week plan as raising the deficit by about $53 billion, and Republicans are not planning to pay for it.

There are plenty of sensible ways to do so, though Democrats, some of whom can be enlisted in getting rid of the mandate, will not like many of them. (The terms of the Medicaid expansion, intended to entice states into expanding their entitlements, could be made a tad less generous, for instance.) The most fiscally responsible thing to do is to dismantle Obamacare, of course. But in the meantime, Republicans should not balk at slightly widening the deficit by repealing a tax on work.

The other issue is that some worry about the appearance of repealing a mandate on businesses while leaving the much more unpopular mandate on individuals intact. But Republicans should be trying to get rid of both. Repealing the employer mandate just stands a much better chance of becoming law during President Obama’s final two years in office.

It is one of the relatively few steps toward repealing Obamacare of which that can be said. Republicans won the 2014 elections handily on the grounds that they would seize such opportunities, not waste them.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 0carenightmare; abolishobamacare; mandate; obamacare; obamacaremandate

1 posted on 01/08/2015 7:23:57 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

no wonder zer0 is against a 40 hour work week ... he never worked a day in his life.


2 posted on 01/08/2015 7:24:59 AM PST by no-to-illegals (Scrutinize our government and Secure the Blessing of Freedom and Justice)
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To: SeekAndFind
The current GOP plan, in the main, is to raise the threshold for full-time work to 40 hours

Don't try to fix the obamanation, trash the whole thing.

3 posted on 01/08/2015 7:27:58 AM PST by Graybeard58 (Much violence and crime can be explained by the Bell Curve (Bing it))
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To: SeekAndFind
What difference does it make, 30/40 the entire Obamacare is pure rotten. And as far as the GOP, forget this bunch of idiots.
4 posted on 01/08/2015 7:28:49 AM PST by Logical me
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To: SeekAndFind
Republicans won the 2014 elections handily on the grounds that they would seize such opportunities, not waste them.

SUCKERS!!!!!!


5 posted on 01/08/2015 7:29:33 AM PST by Buckeye McFrog
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To: SeekAndFind

DON'T FIX IT!
NIX IT!


6 posted on 01/08/2015 7:30:22 AM PST by Da Bilge Troll (Defeatism is not a winning strategy!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Repeal, rinse, repeat.


7 posted on 01/08/2015 7:33:57 AM PST by VRWC For Truth (Roberts has perverted the Constitution)
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To: Da Bilge Troll

End It. Don’t Mend It.


8 posted on 01/08/2015 7:33:59 AM PST by sportutegrl
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To: SeekAndFind

Article is all over the place. I’ve been wondering why the GOP wants the 40hour week and i sstill don’t know why. My wife may go to 32 hours as she eases into retirement, but if this goes through she’ll lose her already meager bennies.


9 posted on 01/08/2015 7:35:16 AM PST by subterfuge (Minnesota: the laughingstock of the nation - for lots of reasons!)
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To: SeekAndFind

The gang that couldn’t shoot straight rides again.


10 posted on 01/08/2015 7:36:11 AM PST by TADSLOS (The Event Horizon has come and gone. Buckle up and hang on.)
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To: Logical me

Get rid of the mandates, allow insurance companies to sell insurance plans, and “do not” kill Obamacare. Let folks choose whether they want Obamacare or free market insurance.


11 posted on 01/08/2015 7:37:46 AM PST by robert14 (cng)
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To: SeekAndFind

“We can do socialism better than Obama.”

— signed, the GOP


12 posted on 01/08/2015 7:40:22 AM PST by EternalVigilance ('To secure the Blessings of Liberty to Posterity.' It's ultimately what the Constitution is for.)
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To: SeekAndFind

What GOP? It died on 1/6/15, from a long suffered terminal illness never to be resurrected, it is dead, dead, time for conservatives in congress to unite and raise up an opposition party to the current one party system, it is a must you can’t function alongside of a dead rotting stinking corpse.


13 posted on 01/08/2015 7:43:39 AM PST by PoloSec ( Believe the Gospel: how that Christ died for our sins, was buried and rose again)
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To: SeekAndFind

Repeal the whole damn law!


14 posted on 01/08/2015 7:44:25 AM PST by Don Corleone ("Oil the gun..eat the cannoli. Take it to the Mattress.")
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To: robert14

“Let folks choose whether they want Obamacare or free market insurance.”

Sounds good but that’s impossible. Obamacare is at its core a redistribution-of-wealth scheme where the diminishing “wealth” of the middle class is distributed to insurance companies, bureaucrats and in much smaller amounts to the poor.

No such government wealth redistribution scheme could ever be voluntary. The Republican party’s big corporate donors will benefit greatly when they can stop providing health insurance and let the government take care of it all. This is why the Republican party will spend however long it takes polishing this turd and not doing anything meaningful. They are all in on it.


15 posted on 01/08/2015 7:44:34 AM PST by Junk Silver
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To: robert14

Eliminating the mandates would be a very important step, but there are a lot of extra taxes in the Obamacare law that you are forgetting about. The best thing is to kill it outright, go back to 2007, and start from there, limiting the lawyers, for one thing.


16 posted on 01/08/2015 7:46:15 AM PST by expat2
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To: SeekAndFind
Hope that Traitor Roberts will make the change.
17 posted on 01/08/2015 7:50:50 AM PST by Paladin2
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To: SeekAndFind

Good old boy club still in action.


18 posted on 01/08/2015 8:12:00 AM PST by Vaduz
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To: SeekAndFind

The only surprising thing about the GOP is they didn’t re-elect Harry Reid.

Pray America is waking


19 posted on 01/08/2015 10:31:39 AM PST by bray (Sharpton is a murderer)
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To: SeekAndFind

Fools. Don’t touch it. The Democrats own it. Don’t throw them any lifelines.

If you’re not going to repeal it then let it burn. Burn baby burn.


20 posted on 01/08/2015 3:48:19 PM PST by Ray76 (/s always)
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