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Think Hillary Clinton is likely to win? Think again.
National Journal's Predictive Intelligence ^ | February 14, 2015 | Alex Roarty

Posted on 02/14/2015 2:49:07 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

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To: bicyclerepair

I’m starting to believe the cast from “The View” is trolling here!


41 posted on 02/14/2015 6:20:05 PM PST by Rides_A_Red_Horse (Why do you need a fire extinguisher when you can call the fire department?)
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To: Rides_A_Red_Horse

I’d try but I have little patience for anti “white male voter” bigots (based on their post #11).


OK, Mr. Smokes a Red Bud, What I Was Saying Is: the white male vote - rat, indie, repub - that stayed home because all the polling - Romney and Rove themselves believed it! - showed Romney winning so they didn’t feel pressured to get off the couch to derail Zero, and so, 4 more years of zero.

What I was advocating in #11 is: make SURE Mr. White Guy gets to the polls to cancel out his wife’s (RAT) vote.

Whatever switch that somehow flipped in you, you should look into it.


42 posted on 02/14/2015 6:29:07 PM PST by txhurl
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To: Rides_A_Red_Horse

And BTW, if you go back and actually read it, my #11 was IN SUPPORT of your #9!!!


43 posted on 02/14/2015 6:37:03 PM PST by txhurl
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To: txhurl

And BTW, if you go back and actually read it, my #11 was IN SUPPORT of your #9!!!


Was that when you posted -

“The white male vote that stayed home in ‘12 because polling had Romney winning.... probably aren’t going to be taking that risk in ‘16. We need to appeal to them.. ‘We need YOU to cancel out your wife’s vote!’”

So you got something against “White Boys?”

You spin like an MSNBC Anchor!


44 posted on 02/14/2015 6:47:44 PM PST by Rides_A_Red_Horse (Why do you need a fire extinguisher when you can call the fire department?)
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To: txhurl

OK, Mr. Smokes a Red Bud,


RINO Crack-Whores gotta project...


45 posted on 02/14/2015 6:49:03 PM PST by Rides_A_Red_Horse (Why do you need a fire extinguisher when you can call the fire department?)
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To: Verginius Rufus

I read that article and it focuses waaaay too much on popular vote instead of electoral college. The Democrat candidate starts with a small number of large-elector states - and demographic changes in key swing states are not on our side.

Take Kerry’s states. They’re worth 246. He won those after a horrible terror attack in the middle of a war. Hillary is probably going to outperform Obama in the rust belt (white working class voters, particularly women, will be a bit more gullible to her message), which means she should have a very good shot at holding on to those states.

Then all she needs is 24 more. We couldn’t beat a lousy Democrat candidate in Virginia in a huge Republican wave year like 2014, and the growth of commie votes from the DC suburbs to the north is only going to help them in a year with presidential turnout.

That’s 259.

Out of FL/NC/OH/IA/CO/NM/NV, the Democrat would then need 11 more. Not a very tall order.

The only way we win is if we nominate someone who lights a fire under the conservative base. Hillary stumbling along the way would help immensely, too.

I desperately want to believe that we have a decent shot at beating this wicked woman, but the model these profs use is wayyyyy to full of hocus-locus for me to fully buy into it, and it fails to take into account the whole voting-with-one’s-ladyparts factor.


46 posted on 02/14/2015 7:47:43 PM PST by MarkRegal05
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Stupid people think economics are immediate response to who is President (like the internet bubble busting , then Bush came into office, people blame Bush). Policies take time to have a positive or negative effect in economics.


47 posted on 02/14/2015 7:58:43 PM PST by Rusty0604
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To: Rides_A_Red_Horse

“In case you missed it I voted for the last two GOP losers. Here’s an idea, let’s keep running candidates that are little different from the democrats.
Better yet, let’s burn the GOP down to the ground and rebuild because what we’ve got now sucks.
By the way I noticed how you collectivists seem to love race bashing white males. You sound positively “progressive!”

You seem to equate deciding to vote for the GOPE $hit Sandwich when that’s all there is left to some kind of capitulation on the part of folks like me. Your “we’ll show em, we’ll just stay home” attitude get’s you nothing but a nanosecond of being able to toot your horn, but nothing else. I have voted Conservative my whole life ( I was very active in the CRA here in California when they were THE conservative organization), but unlike you, when the rest of the GOP picks the other guy, I vote for him because to do otherwise, keeps us with a Commie RAT (can you say 2012 where guys like you stayed home and guaranteed the country 4 more years of Obola). The really funny thing though since I live in California,my vote really doesn’t matter, but maybe where you live it does.
BTW who is this “we” in the commentary about running loosers? Both McLame and Romney, and closer to home Arnold the Awful didn’t get my vote in the primary! GWB was a crap president, but I’d take him back in a heartbeat over Obola!


48 posted on 02/14/2015 8:40:17 PM PST by vette6387
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To: bicyclerepair

“R, D, what does it matter? The sooner this corruption airline crashes the sooner it can be rebuilt.”

I agree with your first sentence completely, but #2 is difficult to envision. You don’t think that if the US were to “crash,” that certain other nations wouldn’t try to pick up the pieces? The trouble here is that we actually need some serious problem(s) to wake up the morons who presently inhabit this country. I shudder to think that we have to endure another 911 before we wake up!


49 posted on 02/14/2015 8:44:19 PM PST by vette6387
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To: vette6387

No. I’m sick of being dragged along by mouth breathing idiots such as yourself who are eagerly running forward to be the Charlie Brown to the GOPe’s Lucy.

You morons keep charging on, hoping that football will be there.

I will never vote for Jeb nor Cristy.

You idiots keep promoting losers. When you don’t overtly promote them you say “That’s not my choice but I’ll vote for Charles Manson if he’s the GOP Candidate!”

Go lick windows you idjit!


50 posted on 02/14/2015 8:45:04 PM PST by Rides_A_Red_Horse (Why do you need a fire extinguisher when you can call the fire department?)
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To: Rides_A_Red_Horse

“Go lick windows you idjit!”

Well, now isn’t that special! I guess the humidity in your double wide is high and it’s affected your intellect. Guess you’d better get to the kitchen and fry something before heading out to the outhouse for some perusing of the Sears Catalog!


51 posted on 02/14/2015 8:50:54 PM PST by vette6387
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Heard something interesting about Hillary on the radio this afternoon that I didn’t know before - after graduating from Yale Law she had wanted to stay in Washington to practice with some big law firm, but she flunked the DC bar exam - primarily why she ended up back in Arkansas as first lady - not exactly the smartest woman in the world......


52 posted on 02/14/2015 8:54:26 PM PST by Intolerant in NJ
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To: vette6387

Crawl back to your RINO masters troll. They sure love performing fellacio on their friends across the aisle.

You must have gotten all giddy and dewy when McConnel and Cornyn smeared McDaniel in Mississippi.

We all know you will plea conservative credentials while screeching “but we gotta support the candidate!”

I’ll never vote for Jeb Bush. I bet you are breathlessly hoping for his candidacy! Be honest, you’ll vote for Jeb Bush if he’s the candidate.


53 posted on 02/14/2015 9:03:55 PM PST by Rides_A_Red_Horse (Why do you need a fire extinguisher when you can call the fire department?)
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To: vette6387

Well, now isn’t that special! I guess the humidity in your double wide is high and it’s affected your intellect.


And please repeat your hateful rantings against “white male voters” progressive feminist douche bag.


54 posted on 02/14/2015 9:05:10 PM PST by Rides_A_Red_Horse (Why do you need a fire extinguisher when you can call the fire department?)
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To: Tenacious 1
Over half the nation is dependent on big government for some portion of their livelihoods. The GOP can't win another election.

How can you even think something like that after the historic Republican landslide of 2014? Are you really so beat down that you can't even compute with reality any longer?

Time was, a comment like that would have drawn the zot around here.

55 posted on 02/14/2015 9:13:48 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: Rides_A_Red_Horse

“I’ll never vote for Jeb Bush. “

That makes two of us, douche bag!


56 posted on 02/14/2015 9:31:59 PM PST by vette6387
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To: vette6387

Give it up, he’s way off his meds.


57 posted on 02/14/2015 9:49:05 PM PST by txhurl
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To: txhurl

“Give it up, he’s way off his meds.”

Yeah, you’re so very right! Shouldn’t have responded the first time! Thanks!


58 posted on 02/14/2015 10:18:01 PM PST by vette6387
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
In 2012, for example, most strategists think Obama won because he ran one of the best presidential campaigns in American history while Mitt Romney ran one of the worst.
Seriously? These 'strategists' all must be his friends. From what I saw, it was bob the builder's motto, paid fainters and a whole 'lotta voter fraud.
59 posted on 02/14/2015 11:20:15 PM PST by Trillian
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Notice that the Cult of Personality cannot even fathom a candidate other than Hillary. I doubt she will win their nomination... and it will take some real work by the GOP to find someone who will lose to the grilled cheese sandwich that the Dems do eventually nominate (Biden? Kerry?)


60 posted on 02/14/2015 11:34:04 PM PST by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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