Skip to comments.From Trump to McDaniel: Is Ted Cruz Running a Brilliant Stealth Campaign?
Posted on 08/17/2015 8:22:22 AM PDT by VinL
Sen. Ted Cruz was overshadowed during much of the first GOP debate, but he finished strong. And this might turn out to be a microcosm of his larger campaign plan.
True, Donald Trump is sucking up everyones oxygen. And, yes, logic would dictate that because he occupies the same populist space as Cruz Trump would take a disproportionate number of votes from the Texas conservative. But, instead, Cruz is polling well in third place, behind Trump and Ben Carson, according to a new Fox News poll.
And if Trump gets out of the race (for now, thats a big if ), its possible that Cruz could inherit at least some of Trumps supporters.
To be sure, its not clear that Trump could simply transfer his supporters (or their excitement) to someone else, even if he wanted to make an official endorsement. But who stands to gain more from a Trump exodus than Cruz (which, of course, explains why he has refused to criticize The Donald)?
Like the shake and bake move in Talladega Nights, Trumps existence means he catches most of the resistance, giving Cruz something of a free pass. The hope for Cruz is that he can eventually slingshot across the finish line if and when Trump gets out of the way.
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But thats not the only interesting thing Cruz has going on. Cruz recently told the Koch network donor summit that he views the SEC primary as a firewall (many Southern states will hold Republican primaries on March 1). While this, in itself, is an interesting strategy, even more interesting to me was that Cruz enlisted Mississippi state Sen. Chris McDaniel to help his campaign.
From a national branding perspective, McDaniel is a disaster one of the last people a conservative hoping to win a presidential General Election would enlist as a surrogate. But for Cruzs more immediate purposes, this is incredibly smart. Remember, McDaniel came within a whisker of winning his 2014 mid-term race against incumbent Sen. That Cochran, and very likely would have won, had it been a closed primary.
But Cruzs embrace of McDaniel also reminds me of something. In his book Hardball, Chris Matthews recalls how a one-term Georgia governor named Jimmy Carter was able to build a national network capable of winning the 1976 presidential nomination.
It started with the 1974 mid-terms. On the night of the 1974 elections, when the DNC chairman was calling the winners on election night, Matthews writes, the governor was calling the losers.
As Matthews notes, the winners had no need for Carter. They were going to get attention from Ted Kennedy and Hubert Humphrey. It was the underdogs, [Carter aide] Jody Powell told me, who needed Carter just as he would need them, writes Matthews.
And so, it makes sense for McDaniel to hitch his wagon to Ted Cruzs star. And it makes sense for Cruz, too. In the words of Tom Petty, Even the losers get lucky sometimes.
Trump? The field will winnow, Cruz and Trump will confront each other in debate. Only then, will we ultimately learn who is best to champion our cause.
May the true conservative win.
Trump has made a point of talking openly about the Mexican invasion, something Cruz was attempted to finesse. Cruz has previously come of for a large increase in H1-B visas, which Trump opposes.
There is a difference between "proposition conservatives" and what used to be called "paleo-cons". Cruz is much more the former, and Trump the latter. The last paleo-con to make a dent in our politics was Pat Buchanan. Ted Cruz is not at all like him, Trump is.
Cruz reminds me more of Goldwater, who seemed to favor a very pure interpretation of the Constitution. Mark Levin is another author I admire I would put in that category.
All bets are off coming out of turn 4 on the last lap.
Trump has the media megaphone.
Cruz has the grassroots fox horn.
When Trump solidifies 30+% and Cruz 15+%, Rove-Bush are taken out.
I was thinking that Trump is the blocking fullback, and Cruz sprints to daylight through the hole Trump opens.
If it comes down to them as the final two, I don’t expect to see them attack each other. They may have already cut their deal. But, politics and the quest for power make people do strange things, and all bets could be off as you say.
Ben Carson is a really nice guy, has some good ideas, is a brilliant doctor and would make a splendid Surgeon General I’m sure. Not Presidential material.
He must have some gentleman’s agreement with Trump that if he becomes the nominee Trump won’t run third-party. Otherwise this would be a very dangerous game.
When Trump solidifies 30+% and Cruz 15+%, Rove-Bush are taken out.
O, happy day!
Fundamentals of chess...
My theory stands.
Cruz is not a glory grabber but has done more good for Americans as Texas Solicitor General than the entirety of congress has done in a decade.
The Medellín v. Texas supreme court win was a win for the victims of illegal alien crimes and state and national sovereignty. My state has sanctions against Iran based on that precedent.
“Cruz and Trump are not occupying the same “populist niche”.”
Cruz and Trump are very different but they are both occupying the same populist niche ... at this time.
Cruz is running the smartest campaign he can given the circumstances. If Trump does get out he will likely inherit either an endorsement from Trump and/or his voters and if Trump wins the nomination Cruz may get the number two spot on the ticket. Win win.
Ted Cruz is 44 years old. In eight years he will be a young 50. Fifty is still young for a Presidential candidate. It is almost two decades younger than any Democrat running or thinking of running NOW.
Cruz could serve two terms in a Trump presidency and two terms as President and still retire before sixty. Look for that to be the strategy in the long run. Cruz is highly influential in the conservative ranks and deservedly so. He is however, considered far too conservative to be President by a large percentage of moderate Republican and Democrats. Trump can win Moderates. He needs to shore up Conservatives.
Cruz or Carson as VP would lock up the Conservatives into Trump that he would need in order to complete a sweep of the General.
Conservatives would be happy to show up and vote for Trump if he has Cruz or Carson as a VP.
I want Cruz to be the nominee. Trump however, has all the momentum and he only lacks strong Conservative appeal due to his previous stances and donation history. He will get lots of cross over with his immigration stance and his strong Pro American flag waiving. Most Blue Collar Democrats STILL believe in America and are patriotic. They are not all Liberal blame America bed wetters
Made me dizzy, CC. -:) But, you’re right.
We are seeing history made and a movement election coming. It’s all riding on the sheer force of Donald Trump. Wildfire.
Without Trump, it will be one more election where we lose and the Establishment of both parties, and the international bag men, all coalesce and agree to seat Jeb Bush.
I don’t know what Trump is going to do with Cruz when he wins the nomination, but I think Cruz could do nothing with Donald Trump. Trump works for no one.
I see no reason presently why Trump doesn’t sweep to the nomination and actually win the General Election. Only Trump takes out Trump.
Cruz is playing chess....but I’m wondering if now Trump has changed the game to checkers.....
The notion that he will need the device of stealth and trickery is absurd. Give him a microphone, five minutes and a glass of cool water then stand back. Cruz will blow the people away with the wisdom and genius God imparted to him. Love Donald but God has a plan for turning this land back to Himself. My money and prayers are on Cruz. Reminds me to answer Cruz's last request with another contribution.
Sen. Ted Cruz was overshadowed during much of the first GOP debate, but he finished strong... in third place, behind Trump and Ben Carson, according to a new Fox News poll... who stands to gain more from a Trump exodus than Cruz (which, of course, explains why he has refused to criticize The Donald)? ...But that's not the only interesting thing... Cruz recently told the Koch network donor summit that he views "the SEC primary as a firewall" (many Southern states will hold Republican primaries on March 1). While this, in itself, is an interesting strategy, even more interesting to me was that Cruz enlisted Mississippi state Sen. Chris McDaniel to help his campaign... McDaniel came within a whisker of winning his 2014 mid-term race against incumbent Sen. That Cochran, and very likely would have won, had it been a closed primary. But Cruz's embrace of McDaniel also reminds me of something. In his book Hardball, Chris Matthews recalls how a one-term Georgia governor named Jimmy Carter... On the night of the 1974 elections, when the DNC chairman was calling the winners on election night, Matthews writes, "the governor was calling the losers." ... "'It was the underdogs,' [Carter aide] Jody Powell told me, 'who needed Carter' -- just as he would need them," writes Matthews.And it's a way to pick up alienated supporters of Rand, who told them to "get over" Cochran's win and his support for Cochran.
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