Posted on 02/17/2016 1:31:03 PM PST by catnipman
The other question raised by a Trump victory in South Carolina, though, is why that dynamic would change. In CNN's poll, Trump beats Ted Cruz by a wider margin among evangelical voters than he does among voters overall -- a voting bloc that is supposed to be in Cruz's corner.
(In Iowa, where the majority of Republican voters identified as evangelical, Cruz won evangelicals by 12 points. In South Carolina, Trump leads with them by 20.)
Trump also leads with conservative voters in South Carolina, although by a smaller margin than he leads overall.
If that holds, it's not clear why Trump wouldn't then win most of the other Southern states that make up the March 1 primary, much less most of the other states between now and March 15.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
A shorter analysis of why the GOP nomination will be down to two people by March 15 is here:
http://thehill.com/opinion/dick-morris/267117-dick-morris-a-two-way-race-by-march
By March 15. Trump v Rubio?
Yes, Super Tuesday (SEC).
After than, No.
The plan is after SC only Rubio will be left as a serious candidate to go against Trump. Expect an all-out offensive by the GOPe/”Conservative Media”/Leftist Media(Axis of Evil) against Trump to give Rubio a chance to stop Trump in March.
The battle has just begun.
Trump has this one in the bag. No stopping him after S.C., as they say...It’s Miller Time!!!!
Trump vs Latino Eddie Haskell.
Functionally, assuming the establishment voting bloc coalesces by then, yes, its no more than a 3 man functional race by then, with reality being a 2 man race with a 3rd just tagging along. Most likely at this point to be that third wheel I would guess to be Cruz.
IF the establishment bloc still hasn’t coalesced by the, The path for anyone but Trump to win becomes insanely narrow indeed.
America seems ready for an orange son of a billionaire president. Orange people have suffered long enough. Sons of billionaire’s have been denied upward mobility for too long. Their time has come.
Gingrich won South Carolina.
It’s an open primary. the Democrats will select our nominee.
Or if that fails Rubio ends up being his running mate in November.
No
That would be an odd marriage, based on immigration alone. The wall-warrior and the Gang of Eight rube.
Does it hurt?
When advanced TDS makes you adopt the lies and talking points of a leftist, I mean.
You should ask Trump; he uses leftist talking points all of the time. Oh, that’s different, though, isn’t it?
Rubio. Rubio??? Who's voting for Rubio?
But Democrats have a competitive race of their own. Can Democrats vote in the GOP primary and the Democrat primary, both of them? I see they are on different days.
ROTFL, Dick Morris.
“America seems ready for an orange son of a billionaire president. Orange people have suffered long enough. Sons of billionaire’s have been denied upward mobility for too long. Their time has come.”
I see you’ve taken to emulating the Harvard law school brilliance of Ted Cruz, given your incisive wit, dominating command of the issues, and icily logical arguments as to why your position statements are correct.
My next bumper sticker ...
Orange you glad you voted Trump?
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