Posted on 03/04/2016 12:36:14 PM PST by Sparticus
The delegate math is becoming increasingly clear: The March 15 Florida and Ohio contests will determine if Donald Trump is the sure-to-be Republican nominee or if there's a contested GOP convention.
And there doesn't appear to be any other possibility, given that the nominee needs to win 1,237 delegates to win a majority....
(Excerpt) Read more at nbcnews.com ...
Lots of pretty charts and graphs ( and assumptions ) to see in the article.
That would be the end of the Republican party, especially if the RNC changes rule forty which states only who won eight States can qualify for election in a brokered convention.
As it stands only Cruz or Trump would get eight States, but if the rules get changed to get another candidate in the Republican party is OVER.
If Trump is not the nominee the election is over, which is what the elites want.
Cruz’s EV total is about 80 behind Trump.
Agree.
Difficult to predict what the aftermath would look like.
Probably gives Dems lifetime (at least my lifetime) control of Congress and SCOTUS.
FL and OH will determine if CA matters...
And you can't make it add up to 270.
Cruz’s EV total is about 80 behind Trump.
Cruz got almost half his EV total from his home state. Sorry, that’s not going to continue
What’s EV?? Electoral votes??? Are you guys confusing electoral votes in the general election, with delegates elected to the Republican convention??
[Are you guys confusing electoral votes in the general election, with delegates elected to the Republican convention??]
The elected delegates determine who wins a state.
I think the GOPee is going to do a brokered convention no matter how many delegates Trump wins.
I would go one step farther and say that if the GOPe tries anything to steal the nomination then the GOP must die. Totally, utterly, completely. Enough of the Obama knee pad wearers. May they all die and go to hell.
I can’t see it getting to this. Here’s the deal. The pubs and dems can choose who they allow to run under their banner. It’s their club.
However once they allow a candidate to run and the candidate starts to win they can’t change the rules. If trump was so bad they should have never allowed him to run under the party banner in the first place. I say this as a Cruz supporter. If trump wins there is no way in hades these bozo’s will take it away from him. And they know it. Ultimately they will all hail Caesar.
They didn’t mention rule 40.
To get nominated at the convention, you have to win the majority delegates of 8 states. And Trump is the only one likely to do that.
Yeah, I meant delegates. Cruz got 99 delegates from his home state. Trump will do almost the same in New York. They just about cancel out.
the article does not include the fact that Trump could sweep Mo and ILL on the 15th and win almost all the delegates.
NC is proportional.
Rule 40 will be repealed by the delegates ... unless there is a clear winner before the primary and that clear winner opts to keep it.
June 7th winner take all primaries for California and New Jersey combined around 235 delegates.
The thing very well could be decided then.
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