Posted on 05/31/2016 8:19:11 AM PDT by usafa92
it is absolutely beyond any reasonable and rational comprehension how any good law abiding American would want this cold blooded criminal as the next president of the US. Good law abiding American, the operative words.
And this is NOT likely voters, just registered voters.
Registered voters so he’s probably ahead.
I don’t know if it’s that much of a long shot. Crispy Creme is a Republican so we may be seeing a paradigm shift in NJ based on party affiliation, not necessarily conservatism.
I’m not saying Trump isn’t conservative but rather, it depends how well liked Crispy is in NJ. The bridge scandal doesn’t seem to have hurt him much but I don’t know I don’t live there.
Gov Creme has done some good there, taking on the teachers union. So maybe that has resonated positively with the populace. If so, his endorsement of Trump may reasonably put Trump over the edge.
As others pointed out if Trump is competitive in NJ, this race is already over. We will have to see how NJ (and NY) shape up closer to Nov.
As of April 1st, there are 5.8 million registered Democrats in NY. There are 2.7 million registered Republicans. Even if he got 100% of the Republican and 100% of the independent vote (500k or so) he’d fall far far short of winning NY state.
Well prior to 1992, NJ always went Republican. 76, 80, 84, 88 NJ went Republican. Maybe NJ will go Republican again when they have a real choice to vote for.
http://www.270towin.com/states/New_Jersey
The latest polling puts Christies approval rating at 26% in the state. That's a few points lower than Senator Menendez, who has been accused of child rape and is currently under indictment for federal corruption charges.
“Another 11% volunteer that they will vote for a third party or independent candidate”
I wonder if this is Bernie or Mittens supporters.
Not to be dismissed is the fact the media and Republican bosses went all out to destroy Trump (including the talk radio heavy hitters), while at the same time running interference for Hillary at every turn.
Crispy has done alot of good in NJ. He made the hard choices. However, the Teachers and their families despise him. That is a major block here in NJ. Teachers make big bucks in NJ and don’t want Crispy anywhere near their pensions and benefits. I doubt he will be able to save the pension systems in the long run because the Dems have broken the system through corruption over too many years. Bottom line” Crispy would make a good AG or similar but for VP would harm Trumps chances. Trump has a better chance in NJ than most people think
The ONLY expertise of Hillary is avoiding the truth.
hmmm....guess that’s my new tagline!
A 2 line bumper sticker?
I don't think so. This election is going to break a lot of the normal rules. A "likely voter" model is least likely to be accurate, as Trump will pull in that old "silent majority" like no other candidate before...even Reagan. People who have long quit voting in disgust with the parties offerings will turn out in droves.
We’re still not in a true head-to-head race at this time - these polls don’t hold a lot of water.
Wow only 4% and it’s registered voters. Trump can win these states and Hillary is an awful candidate.
This is absolutely true. The Silent Majority will be heard this time around.
I think the likely model for this election will be the “Andrew Jackson” election. Trump is probably more like Jackson than any other candidate.
Hate to say it but New Jersey dems love criminals because most of them are criminals themselves. Frank Lobiondo (R) is my congressmen down here in South Jersey but he voted on the side of the fags and queers along with his Rat friends. No vote for him next week! The liar said he would only stay for 2 terms when first elected....that also makes him a liar. This is just a corrupt state. I’d leave buy my family is here so I’m stuck.
NJ has not gone GOP since 1988.
If Hillary has only a tenuous lead there, NY can’t be far behind.
Hillary is supposed to be up by double-digits in a safe Blue State and she’s barely treading water.
All the usual caveats: polls this far out are useless, all polls except the last one are propaganda, registered voters vs. likely voters, polls are skewed, etc.
All that said, one thing to watch as we get closer to November is not just the spread between the candidates (such as Hillary leads by 4 in this poll), but how far is Hillary from 50% and/or how far is the Hillary/Trump share of the vote from 100%? In this poll, Hillary and Trump have only 72% of the vote between them. In 1980, even the polls that showed Carter slightly ahead or the race very close weren’t necessarily wrong, because they also showed a TON of undecideds, pretty much up until the final weekend. If the polls continue to show lots of undecideds into October this year, I think that is one more data point that Hillary is in serious trouble (assuming she is still in the race, of course).
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