White House Watch: Clinton 43%, Trump 40%, Johnson 8%, Stein 2%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com ^ | Thursday, August 11, 2016 | Rasmussen Reports

[Maelstorm]

Hillary is coming down to earth. I expect state by state polls to start reflecting this shift. This is one of 3 polls where Hillary is leading Trump by low single digits so the trend is real.

[Catmom]

Trump needs to get his s*** together and stop losing voters to Johnson.

[stanne]

Trump is just getting started. She’s been running for, what? Since 1990?

[jimfree]

These are great numbers. Rasmussen was once regarded as the gold standard in polls.

[Hotlanta Mike]

It’s over for Madame Cankles. Not even the mighty mainstream media can push her over the top. The debates will seal the deal for The Donald.

[eekitsagreek]

This looks encouraging. Hillary’s bump is finally fading.

[mrs9x]

If Trump gets 20% of the African-American vote like in this poll, the election is over. Trump wins.

[Maelstorm]

Johnson is actually helping Trump more than hurting. Johnson is an open borders more lib than libertarian.

[CincyRichieRich]

Invalid poll, like all of them.

Did not name number of hang ups.

Tell me, are liberals who by nature are not scared of government sponsored repercussions, more inclined to participate in such polls? Without a doubt the answer is yes.

Those hang ups or even lying to the pollsters is unaccounted for.

Rush seemed the other day to just accept polls as true, and we’re just walking down same path as Romney. I disagree.

We, conservatives, fear the government and repercussions of speaking out more than ever...like over last say, 8 yrs?

Polling will not account for such tendencies.

This, polls are inaccurate.

I’m not an advocate of lying, but am one to hang up and I encourage you to, too.

Oh, what is stopping a pollster from misrepresenting you?

Kinda like us trusting Stephanopoulos to represent our side of an interview after we’ve stopped talking.

[Red Badger]

[Buckeye McFrog]

Throw McMuffin into the mix, and Hillary apparently plans to replicate her husband’s feat of becoming POTUS in a 42% plurality.

[Maelstorm]

I think Rasmussen and automated polls have an edge in this election especially since both candidates have high negatives. I always like to look at the down ticket races to help gage the reality. If the Senate candidate is doing winning its a good gage to suggest a real possibility that Trump really will outperform his poll number in the end. The truth is if Trump merely pushes up his GOP margin to parity with Hillary he’ll win. He also needs to keep his advantage with men in double digits.

[P.O.E.]

Glenn Beck: “I’m probably going to vote for Gary Johnson”

[jimfree]

Yes, I was putting Ras in past tense. 2012 was a bad year for many.

[KC_Conspirator]

Looks like the bleeding has stopped.

[gulf1609]

Did I see this poll used Internet and phone? I don’t know many who ever answer unknown phone calls. Not sure any polling can be correct. Check out this NBC news Internet poll with 70,000 respondents. Interesting what people will vote when they aren’t afraid of being shamed over the phone.

http://redstatewatcher.com/article.asp?id=32845

Be sure and click on the Poll Watcher link in article. DJT over 50% with 70,000 + respondents. HRC at 17%

[Wallace T.]

The one candidate that could siphon votes from Hillary Clinton is Jill Stein, the two-time Green Party Presidential nominee. She is, of course, a leftist, even more socialistic than Bernie Sanders. Her ability to siphon off Sanders' voters could be dangerous to the Democrats in states like Colorado and New Hampshire. Don't count on seeing much of her. The MSM is more likely to even publicize the Constitution Party than the Green Party.

Johnson and Weld, the Libertarian candidates for President and Vice President are not libertarian in the Murray Rothbard-Ron Paul sense. They are basically fiscally responsible, low tax liberals with an isolationist streak. As such, they appeal to RINOs and could hurt Trump in the precincts Kasich and Rubio carried. They will receive a level of publicity that no third party candidate since Ross Perot received.

[DrPretorius]

Rasmussen aggregates a bunch of bullshiite polls to come up with a bullshiite average. All of these push-polls are pure, unadulterated bullshiite at bottom and at the top.

[Blue Jays]

Excellent analysis, CincyRichieRich.
The vast, vast, vast number of pollsters work for leftist organizations.

Why would a conservative person allow their phone number (landline or cellular) to then become affiliated with their voting preference, approximate home location, approximate age, gender, education level, and household income?

There is a gigantic swell of decent, law-abiding, hardworking people who are tired of others not carrying their share of the load. That same group is weary of loudmouth shrieking leftists calling them names, ridiculing them, threatening their employment, vandalizing their property, and even physically attacking them.

That HUGE number of Americans quietly go about their daily lives and will walk barefoot over broken glass to eagerly cast their vote for Donald Trump. Hillary Clinton voters will fail to vote even if a new Pokemon Go monster interrupts them on their way to the polls on Election Day.

[TakebackGOP]

Gary Johnson is not going to get 8%. Ralph Nader got less than 3% in 2000, and he was more popular than Johnson. Pat Buchanan didn’t get half of one percent of the vote in 2000.