Posted on 11/07/2016 6:43:11 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
Hmmm. Weird
Upon more research. Some University there.
This was ALWAYS going to be the case! The fact that pundits and pollsters and others have been claiming otherwise all cycle has been a lie created in their own minds!
Trump is going to blow the doors of of Romney’s numbers nationally... by far. Not only that, but democrats are going to learn to their dismay, that many of those D voters who showed up to vote, are going to go Trump... Hillary won’t have anywhere near 90% support among Dems when the dust clears.... especially in certain parts of the country.
The pundits and the media have been engaging in the willful suspension of disbelief all cycle, to turn a Hillary phrase. Tomorrow afternoon/early evening, at the latest, the reality will start to be sinking in as their exit polling makes it obvious that all their reporting and spin and bias and cheating and lying was for naught.
Now there is little doubt on election night they will try to delay calling states for Trump that they know he has won for as long as possible, in order to pray that they can make it up out west.. but the votes aren’t there.
This isn’t a squeaker election folks, no matter how much they want to try to spin it as one and want beyond all logic to believe it is one. Trump will run the board, and they just won’t want to admit it... in fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if you saw some liberal pundit wind up pulling their own Rove arguing with a call when it does finally come down.
They have to keep up that narrative that they are on the offensive all the way to the end.
The fact they are in MI at all, shows you they are playing defense.
Your assumption is that all of the ‘D’s are voting for Hillary, and that doesn’t seem to be the case.
http://latinousa.org/2016/11/07/trump-almost-23-final-new-latino-voice-pre-election-tracking-poll/
Says Trump Latino support about same as Romney’s was.
Considering the source, that seems VERY good.
About 30% of Hispanic voters are registered REPs. If Trump can get most of them plus a slice of Hispanic Indys, then he will be in the ballpark of Romney. Subtract some AA from turnout. Florida is still winnable.
Denver Post article: http://www.denverpost.com/2016/11/07/are-more-colorado-voters-than-usual-holding-onto-their-ballots-until-election-day-some-clerks-think-so/
Maybe many of the people holding onto their ballots are REPs who want to turn them in on election day in person.
Ballots already returned will be counted before polls close. Expect a huge release of tallies pretty quickly on TV when polls close. Maybe 2/3 of the total vote.
McDonalds prediction based on early vote:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CwtZaVnXcAA8KEV.jpg
REPs are up in AZ based on early vote.
He concedes Ohio and NC. Iowa, Florida and PA for the win.
Ok we will take it.
McDonalds analysis for his map is a good read.
Do you know what election they missed?
What does he say about FL?
Tossup. And gives NC to Trump.
For 2 weeks he was saying NC and FL looking good for Clinton. On Election Eve says NC to Trump and Florida too close to call.
Denver Post pollster Ciruli expects turnout of 2.8 million. As of this evening, we are at about 2 million. Slight GOP ballot edge of 13,000.
Spinster extraordinaire. I tweeted him early on about NC and spinning his numbers.
Are you able to find that cannibalization statistic on FL early voting. I know i saw one a couple days ago and looked good. But I figured with large Dem days on Sat and Sun they have cannibalized more of their voters. I can’t find that info today. A little curious.
I think it was 20% of REPs, 21% Is and 22% of DEMs “cannibalized” from election day voting.
Swap the 20 and 22.
“22% of early Republican voters voted Election Day in 2012 in Florida. 20% of Dems. 21% of independents https://t.co/hXHz9tTSmx—; Marc Caputo (@MarcACaputo) November 5, 2016”
Yeah that was before the huge Dem Saturday and Sunday. I was trying to find that info tonite but am unable to.
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