Posted on 11/22/2017 11:21:19 AM PST by ThinkingBuddha
A new Raycom News Network Senate Election poll conducted by Strategy Research finds the race in a statistical tie nearly two weeks after allegations of sexual misconduct against Republican Roy Moore rocked the campaign.
The exclusive poll of 3,000 likely Alabama voters finds if the election were held today, Moore would receive 47% of the vote to Democrat Doug Jones with 45%. Five percent of the respondents remain undecided with 3% indicating plans to Write-In a candidate.
(Excerpt) Read more at wbrc.com ...
Not good. Tie or a slight Republican majority always goes to the Democrat.
POLL: Do you believe the sexual misconduct allegations against Senate nominee Roy Moore?
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3606895/posts
If Moore loses (and I don’t think he will) it’s 100% on McConnell’s hit squad who jumped on (orchestrated?) the hit against Moore. A lynch mob is never justified. I’m mocking Franken but it’s up to his constituents to toss him out for anything less than a criminal conviction. People voted for him knowing he was a vulgar clown. Why would they think he would change after being given a position of power?
Roy Moore will be elected Senator from the state of Alabama & he will be seated as such.
He’d better start spending that 1 million bucks he got on some slick campaign ads.
In Alabama, I'd expect voter enthusiasm to be on Moore's side. Moore supporters are outraged against the allegations against him.
Moore wins easily.
Relax, the election is three weeks away. A life time in elections.
This poll is indicated at R-58% D-34%, which seems reasonable. The 2016 election result was Trump 62.1%, Clinton 34.4%. If anything, this poll might be oversampling independents.
Anyway, a 47%-45% result with a 2% MOE results in an 87.5% probability of the leader actually winning.
-PJ
I don’t see a link to the internals of the poll. Is there one?
I want you to think about this.
This may mean something negative to Moore, or it may reveal a poll that was gamed up front, to make it look like he was slipping now.
I don’t trust these low polls, because others are showing Moore ten points ahead.
We’ll know soon enough, but I think Moore will win by at least 6 points, and possibly 10.
If this were a McConnell hit it would have occurred before the primary so as to knock Moore out of the race. Strange would have an easy win. This is a Dem hit, which is why it was pulled off AFTER Moore won and AFTER it was too late to take him off the ballot.
Hopefully Trump’s remarks about Moore will bring Republicans back, as we cannot give this to the Dems.
Once the people realize that Doug Jones is a gun-grabbing tax raiser who never met an abortion he didn’t like, no way he wins in Alabama.
Just watched this. Pretty long and you have to get through some local commercials, but well worth listening to. This is the Roy Moore that I have followed and know (not personally, but have met him a few times).
https://alabamacablenetwork.com/index.php/watch-acn-live
Except for Trump. And we don't know yet if this poll oversampled Democrats.
Ten points up, six points up, statistical tie, all in the course of two days?
Unfortunately. He doesn’t care what you think, or anyone else. He only cares what the donors think.
That one showing Moore six points up used a 60R-39D turnout model, similar to the margin of victory for Trump last year. Do we really think that'll be replicated this time around?
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