Skip to comments.Top Gallup editor: Faulty polling led to inaccurate 2016 data models
Posted on 09/10/2018 2:04:57 PM PDT by SMGFan
Frank Newport, editor-in-chief at the Gallup Poll, on Monday said that data analyst websites, not national polls, were the ones incorrect in their 2016 presidential election predictions.
The national polling was actually one of the more accurate years where they correctly predicted the popular vote, Newport said to Hill.TV's Joe Concha, referring to national polls.
But one of the things that happened was an overreliance on these models where various individuals and various companies put together these scientific-sounding probabilistic models, he continued.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
I lie to every pollster whose ever called.
They’d rather win than be correct.
Garbage In- Garbage Out
They keep pulling off the same stupid tricks they did in 2016.
None of their polls will be anywhere near the actual result.
Thwarted election theft made the cover-story polls look out of sync.
INTENTIONALLY BIASED polling would be a more accurate description. Faulty implies incompetence or an honest mistake. I don’t think that’s the case.
“Not our fault, just the people we keep relying on and employing’s fault.”
Hmmm. Faulty “scientific-sounding probabilistic models”. Those folks either came from, or have a future with the climate change wackos.
faulty polling my ass...
Sounds more like rank amateurs playing with data. How I detest news outlets starting with “One recent poll suggests...” blah blah blah
Accurate regarding national polls.... Who cares? The election win is based on the Electoral College numbers.
Direct swipe at 538.
I love to tell them I'm a black liberal democrat who approves of Trump. There have been a couple times the "professional" pollsters have been so caught off guard they start sputtering or say, "Let me repeat the question" then they would repeat it real slowly like I must have been to stupid to understand what I was being asked.
Finally, "we" figured out this deception.
Waaayyy back in (IIRC) 1988, I received a call from a polling agency (the Field Poll). This was when GHWB was running, and I was eager to take part in a major poll.
The young woman who read the questions and took my responses tried to guide me away from certain answers that she did not like (like voting for George Bush instead of Michael Dukakis.)
And, her attempts at steering my responses were not subtle.
And, the questions seemed framed to guide responses as well (but I have forgotten the precise details of a call 30 years ago.)
(As an aside, nobody should take part in such polls today, as they might be scammers.)
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