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Democrats hold 7 point advantage ahead of midterms as Trump's base comes back home: NBC-WSJ poll
CNBC ^ | 11/03/2018 | John Harwood

Posted on 11/04/2018 10:58:21 AM PST by SeekAndFind

President Donald Trump's late campaign blitz targeting immigrants has rallied the Republican base of white working-class voters, helping to curb the Democratic advantage heading into Tuesday's midterm elections for Congress.

The election-eve NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows Democrats leading by seven percentage points, 50 percent to 43 percent, among likely voters. That's down from a nine-percentage point lead last month.

That slightly narrowing reflects rising interest in the election from the foundation of Trump's support: White men, especially older, less educated, less affluent ones in small towns and rural areas. Most noteworthy for a mid-term election, the 2018 campaign has seized the attention of voters at presidential-campaign levels — and Trump has helped Republicans wipe out the advantage Democrats held earlier in the campaign.

"There has been some method to his madness," said Republican pollster Bill McInturff, who conducts the NBC/WSJ survey with his Democratic counterpart Peter Hart. "The base is coming home."

The results presage the possibility of a split verdict on Tuesday. With many battleground House races taking place in more affluent suburbs, the unusual Trump-era advantage Democrats continue to maintain among college-educated whites — especially women — represent a strong sign for their prospects of gaining or exceeding the 23-seat gain they need to recapture the majority.

But in the less-populated, more conservative states that will decide control of the Senate, the late campaign trend brightens Republican prospects. Needing a two-seat gain to recapture a majority, Democrats must defend incumbents in states such as Missouri, Indiana and North Dakota where the Trump base looms larger.

"Republicans have clearly made progress," McInturff said. One key indicator: the Democratic edge among independent voters has dipped to nine percentage points from 14 percent last month, reflecting fresh uncertainty among less-affluent white men.

(Excerpt) Read more at cnbc.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2018election; 2020election; anotherpoll; cnbc; cookedthebooks; democrats; dnctalkingpoint; dnctalkingpoints; election2018; election2020; fakenews; fakepolls; incometaxes; johnharwood; mediawingofthednc; midterms; nbcwsj; partisanmediashills; poll; presstitutes; romneyrinos; smearmachine; taxcutsandjobsact; taxreform; tcja; zogbyism
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The telephone poll of 1,000 voters, conducted Nov. 1-3, carries a margin for error of 3.1 percentage points. Among the 774 voters deemed most likely to cast ballots, the error margin in 3.5 percentage points.
1 posted on 11/04/2018 10:58:21 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Ping


2 posted on 11/04/2018 10:59:27 AM PST by Morpheus2009
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To: SeekAndFind

My comment: seeya on Tuesday, Commies.

This is what they said in 2016.


3 posted on 11/04/2018 10:59:38 AM PST by Regulator
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To: SeekAndFind

Ah, sooo..!

Months ago the GOP was hopelessly behind, yet now, lo and behold, “they’re making progress”....

WHAT A SURPRISE.

I wonder how much their tune will change between now and tomorrow afternoon..?


4 posted on 11/04/2018 10:59:46 AM PST by gaijin
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To: SeekAndFind

I don’t believe the headline for 1 second.


5 posted on 11/04/2018 10:59:51 AM PST by semaj (We are the People)
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To: SeekAndFind

CNBC BS


6 posted on 11/04/2018 11:00:22 AM PST by Doogle (( USAF.68-73....8th TFW Ubon Thailand....never store a threat you should have eliminated)))
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To: SeekAndFind

Well, I guess I won’t bother to go out and VOTE on Tuesday. Thanks for saving me a trip.

*SNORT*


7 posted on 11/04/2018 11:00:41 AM PST by Diana in Wisconsin ( "Why can't you be more like Lloyd Braun?")
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To: SeekAndFind

Be prepared to see shocked and bewildered MSM newsreaders and pundits just like we saw two years ago!


8 posted on 11/04/2018 11:01:41 AM PST by dowcaet
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To: SeekAndFind

By how much did they oversample demorrhoids?


9 posted on 11/04/2018 11:01:54 AM PST by 43north (Its hard to stop a man when he knows he's right and he keeps coming.)
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To: semaj
"I don’t believe the headline for 1 second."

More gaslighting than flaring Natural Gas in North Dakota going on here....

10 posted on 11/04/2018 11:01:57 AM PST by taildragger ("Do you hear the people Singing? Singing the Songs of Angry Men!")
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To: SeekAndFind
White men, especially older, less educated, less affluent ones...

Yep. Highly educated, affluent, young people like me never vote Republican... Then we'd be stupid, highly educated, affluent, young people! Right, PMSNBC?
11 posted on 11/04/2018 11:02:39 AM PST by golux
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To: SeekAndFind

Fake poll - NBC/WSJ is the worst of them.


12 posted on 11/04/2018 11:02:48 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: SeekAndFind

Ignore all polls and VOTE!


13 posted on 11/04/2018 11:03:56 AM PST by EdnaMode
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To: SeekAndFind

Total Bull Sh!t poll.

14 posted on 11/04/2018 11:04:12 AM PST by onyx (JOIN 300 CLUB BY DONATING $34 MONTHLY! TRUMP'S WAY IS THE WINNING WAY!)
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To: semaj

“I don’t believe the headline for 1 second.”
________________________________________________

Me neither. In 2016, it was “Hillary has a 95% chance of winning” the day before the election.

In 1980, the Reagan / Carter race was “Too Close to Call”
according to the lame stream media on the eve of the election.

I lived in California then, and the race was called for Reagan on election day at 3:00 PM Pacific time.


15 posted on 11/04/2018 11:04:17 AM PST by july4thfreedomfoundation (Hey liberals! Trump in 2020. Because, 'eff you!)
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To: Regulator

I want to see a repeat of distraught and inconsolable Leftist weeping as the results come in. Hear stories about colleges cancelling classes and offering grief counseling. We can post them side by side with those from 2016.

The Left is not really what’s wrong with this country, that’s people being unrepentant and even hostile to the Lord, but subordinate to that the Left is a distant second for what’s wrong with this country.


16 posted on 11/04/2018 11:06:16 AM PST by Rurudyne (Standup Philosopher)
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To: SeekAndFind

CNBS


17 posted on 11/04/2018 11:06:21 AM PST by antidemoncrat
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To: SeekAndFind

Now, see...they have lied to us and to the world for 2 years... (and more).. they expect us to believe them?
I don’t... never will believe the media ever again.

I got calls to do a poll... I don’t do them... I don’t answer them. The trust in the media/polls is gone! There is no way in h33l that the majority of the people in mid America would vote for the dems... to saddle our country with the evil they would do to us all.. and give up what Trump has accomplished for us.. Just no way!

The media... the poll takers... they are part of the dem party... and this is free political ads for them. Unless they show the soul is not sold out... there is no trust in them.


18 posted on 11/04/2018 11:09:16 AM PST by frnewsjunkie
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To: SeekAndFind

What are the numbers for registered voters? Those are the serious ones.


19 posted on 11/04/2018 11:10:03 AM PST by ConservativeMind (Trump: Befuddling Democrats, Republicans, and the Media for the benefit of the US and all mankind.)
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To: golux

They lie like a rented mule.

Democrats have a 7 point lead. Weally? Hillary had a bare edge in the popular vote in 2016.

Democrat blowout? That would be fiction.


20 posted on 11/04/2018 11:10:14 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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