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The Forecast:Democrats are still favored to win the House. But it's far from a sure thing.
CNN ^ | November 4, 2018 | Analysis by Harry Enten, CNN

Posted on 11/04/2018 5:05:16 PM PST by mdittmar

GOP could still keep House majority 04:28

(CNN)House forecast: Democrats will win 226 seats (and the House majority) while Republicans will win just 209 seats. A Democratic win of 203 seats and 262 seats is within the margin of error.

Senate forecast: Republicans will hold 52 seats (and maintain control of the Senate) next Congress while Democrats will hold just 48. Anything between Republicans holding 48 seats and 56 seats is within the margin of error.
The final weekend of the long 2018 campaign is coming to a close.
Sometimes the final weekend brings clarity. This weekend brings no such thing. Instead, Democrats remain modest — though not runaway — favorites to gain House control.

(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2018election; 2020election; bluewaveflushed; clintonnonnews; cnn; dnctalkingpoint; dnctalkingpoints; election2018; election2020; genderdysphoria; globalwarminghoax; harryenten; homosexualagenda; mediawingofthednc; partisanmediashills; presstitutes; smearmachine; zogbyism; zogsmagicsauce
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Well,the blue wave is now a ripple,Get out and VOTE!
1 posted on 11/04/2018 5:05:16 PM PST by mdittmar
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To: mdittmar

“Far from a sure thing” means they’re screwed and they know it, they’re just pretending they aren’t screwed so they can claim THE ELECTION WAS STOLEN again.


2 posted on 11/04/2018 5:10:28 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (Democracy dies when Democrats refuse to accept the result of a democratic election they didn't win.)
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To: mdittmar

Wishful thinking once again mascarading as thoughtful analysis.


3 posted on 11/04/2018 5:11:55 PM PST by gov_bean_ counter (Ruth Bader Ginsburg doctor is a taxidermist.)
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To: mdittmar

Follow the money. Political campaigning is a multi-billion dollar industry.

The Media is a large recipient of those billions of dollars.

The Media has a vested interest in promoting close elections so the political campaign begs donors for more money to spend on Media advertising.

Same thing is true for the pollsters. If the pollsters accurately polled, there would be no interest by the campaigns in conducting new polls if the current poll showed them far in the lead.


4 posted on 11/04/2018 5:12:08 PM PST by Presbyterian Reporter
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To: mdittmar

Senate forecast is based on Dems losing no more than two of six dead-heat races, and nothing from anything that even slightly leans their way in the current polling average.

Their internals must look like the aftermath of Hiroshima.


5 posted on 11/04/2018 5:12:46 PM PST by thoughtomator (Number of arrested coup conspirators to date: 2)
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To: mdittmar

Voted a while ago, absentee.

From what I’ve seen over the past two decades (I was 30 when a friend told me about this board!!) is that early voting numbers, numbers of signs on the lawns, sizes of rallies (obama’s were SO tiny, we were told) and even exit polls mean nothing.

The only thing that counts is the actual vote cast.

We shall see in two days.

The exception regarding rallies was Trump, but you’re talking THREE times the number of people a place can hold showing up.

I will still astonished and shocked and THRILLED that he won.

A fellow NYer as president :)

And not a flaming liberal either.


6 posted on 11/04/2018 5:12:47 PM PST by dp0622 (The Left should know if Trump is kicked out of office, it is WAR!)
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To: mdittmar

“Favored” and “Far from a sure thing” are contradictory.


7 posted on 11/04/2018 5:15:42 PM PST by TMA62 (Al Sharpton - The North Korea of race relations)
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To: mdittmar

CNN is gonna be crying their eyes out like they did in 2016..with a whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaat happenedddddddddddd look on their faces..Yep, it must be those pesky Russians again


8 posted on 11/04/2018 5:15:46 PM PST by Sarah Barracuda
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To: dp0622

Hillary was 98% sure to win per Huff Po election day in 2016.

Polls are now psy ops mechanism to get their rich billionaire donors to write big checks to the Dems.

They also use it to attempt to keep Republicans home.

All b.s.

Only REAL polls matter.

We will pick up 4-6 Senate seats and keep the House.


9 posted on 11/04/2018 5:16:49 PM PST by TigerClaws
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To: mdittmar

CNN? I have a gut feeling this whole blue wave reporting is nothing more than leftist propaganda designed to sway voter opinion by a point or two.

I think they’re terrified of a red wave.


10 posted on 11/04/2018 5:17:33 PM PST by servantboy777
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To: TigerClaws

From your mouth to God’s ears.


11 posted on 11/04/2018 5:18:27 PM PST by dp0622 (The Left should know if Trump is kicked out of office, it is WAR!)
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To: thoughtomator

“Senate forecast is based on Dems losing no more than two of six dead-heat races, and nothing from anything that even slightly leans their way in the current polling average.”

Yup. The fact that their Senate prediction is for only a Repub pickup of one means their House prediction is WAY off biased.


12 posted on 11/04/2018 5:18:50 PM PST by DaxtonBrown
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To: Presbyterian Reporter

>>The Media has a vested interest in promoting close elections so the political campaign begs donors for more money to spend on Media advertising.<<

I believe you are absolutely correct.


13 posted on 11/04/2018 5:20:06 PM PST by servantboy777
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To: thoughtomator

If elections are close, Rats will steal them in the courts.


14 posted on 11/04/2018 5:20:44 PM PST by a fool in paradise (Denounce DUAC - The Democrats Un-American Activists Committee)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
they’re just pretending they aren’t screwed so they can claim THE ELECTION WAS STOLEN again.

Yes, the only question is by whom this time. Blaming the Russians is a bit stale at this point, but I could see them doing it again....and then psychotically calling for war with them. Blaming China is out of the question -- too many close ties, financial and ideological. They'd love to blame Bibi / Israel, but that'd risk alienating some big donors. So I'm going to go with the Dems blaming Trump's "fear-inducing racist rhetoric" for influencing fence-sitting voters.

15 posted on 11/04/2018 5:20:55 PM PST by Mr. Mojo
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To: DaxtonBrown

I still believe true American will not vote for Commies.


16 posted on 11/04/2018 5:22:02 PM PST by depressed in 06 (60 in '18.)
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To: mdittmar

Back peddling


17 posted on 11/04/2018 5:22:26 PM PST by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: servantboy777

Up til now, their lying polls and spin have been about motivating their base, like cheering for your team. But the clock is running down and reality is setting in.


18 posted on 11/04/2018 5:24:29 PM PST by bigbob (Trust Sessions. Trust the Plan.)
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To: mdittmar
if it's not close, they CAN'T STEAL IT! VOTE!!!
19 posted on 11/04/2018 5:25:10 PM PST by Chode ( We’re America, Bitch!)
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To: TigerClaws

>>We will pick up 4-6 Senate seats and keep the House.<<

Ya think the leftist have lost their ever-lovin minds now? Let the above come to fruition and they will go absolutely nuts all the way to 2020.


20 posted on 11/04/2018 5:28:05 PM PST by servantboy777
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