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Vegas Oddsmaker Predicts GOP Upset
Townhall.com ^ | November 5, 2018 | Wayne Allyn Root

Posted on 11/05/2018 2:26:44 PM PST by Kaslin

This is my final column before the midterm election. So, this former Vegas oddsmaker turned national political commentator has a few predictions and common sense observations to make.

Back in 2016 I predicted a Trump victory when no one else did. Every poll showed Trump would lose by a wide margin. Nate Silver of the NY Times predicted Hillary’s chances of winning at 92%. These pollsters make their living by polling actual human beings. I don’t. So how did I know?

Simple. First, size matters. You could see it in the rallies. Trump would attract eight hour lines and 10,000 or more attendees at wild, intense rallies all over America. I should know. I was opening speaker for six Trump campaign events here in Las Vegas.

Meanwhile Hillary was attracting 100 to 200 attendees at a rally here in Vegas. I could fit Hillary’s rallies in my living room. The same story held true across America. That was my first reason for realizing Trump was going to pull a huge upset that few saw coming.

Part Duex was also simple. Trump was “the whisper candidate.” Everywhere I went, people whispered in my ear, “I’m with you. I’m for Trump.” They wouldn’t tell pollsters. They wouldn't put up yard signs. No bumper stickers on their car. No mention of their support of Trump around the office watercooler. But they whispered to me. The pollsters never had a chance.

Don’t look now, but it’s all happening again. Nate Silver says Democrats have a 80%+ chance of winning the House. Cook Report says Democrats will win the House by 40 seats. All the experts say it’s over- Democrats will win. I'll go out on a limb and disagree again.

I see Florida Democrat Governor candidate Andrew Gillum holding a rally with Bernie Sanders and the whole place is empty.

Barack Obama could not fill a high school gym in Milwaukee.

I witnessed firsthand Joe Biden and Obama at separate events here in Las Vegas playing to small crowds.

Meanwhile I was opening speaker for President Trump’s event in Las Vegas last month- with 10,000 waiting in line for hours in a place where no one cares much about politics. This is a phenomenon.

Does that sound like the GOP is losing 40 seats? Dream on delusional Democrats.

Then there’s “the whispers.” Nothing has changed. Trump has fulfilled almost all of his campaign promises. He is the only politician in history who did exactly what he promised. And those same voters are whispering to me again- they love Trump now, more than ever.

Then there’s common sense. The Trump economy is BOOMING.

The latest results are out- 250,000 more jobs last month, far above what was expected. The lowest unemployment in half a century. The number of Americans employed is the highest EVER. Almost 500,000 new manufacturing jobs under Trump. The kind Obama claimed would never happen again. 1000 new manufacturing jobs a day last month- the best results since the 1990's.

And most importantly, wages grew by a remarkable 3.1%- the most in a decade. Who in their right mind would vote against THAT?

That could be why Trump’s approval rating among blacks is now 40%. If only white liberals weren’t blind, deaf and really dumb.

Most importantly, Trump has brilliantly kept the emotional issue of illegal immigration front and center. He wants to block the caravan, end birthright citizenship and make it much harder for illegal aliens to claim asylum. The polls are out- 65% of likely voters in swing districts across the USA agree with Trump. The middle class will come out in record numbers for Trump. Bet on it.

In the 2014 midterm election in Texas 1.7 million voted early. This year early voting in Texas numbered over 4.3 million. With a booming economy and an illegal alien invasion in the headlines, you think they’re coming out for Democrats?

No way Jose.

I'll go out on a limb again. I'll put my gut instincts up against every poll and pollster and political "expert." All of them...all of them...say the House is lost. But they don't have a clue what's happening. I predict they're all wrong again. The Silent Majority is whispering again- and they love Trump. They support Trump. They will reward Trump.

I'll go out on a limb again to predict another upset for the GOP on Tuesday. We will expand our Senate majority by 3 to 6 seats. It will be very close but, the GOP will hold the House. America stays bright red- again

Democrats will be in shock and mourning. The pollsters got it all wrong again.

And Wednesday morning will be the busiest day for psychiatrists and psychologists in the history of America.

#REDSTORM


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial
KEYWORDS: gop; midtermelection; midterms2018
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1 posted on 11/05/2018 2:26:44 PM PST by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

That Vegas Oddsmaker is probably somebody who got regular pay-offs from Harry Reid.


2 posted on 11/05/2018 2:32:12 PM PST by Slyfox (Not my circus, not my monkeys)
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To: Kaslin

Red Storm Rising!..........................


3 posted on 11/05/2018 2:32:28 PM PST by Red Badger (FNo-platform us all you want. Ban us all you want. Smear us all you want. You canÂ’t stop an idea...)
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To: Kaslin

Amen to that.


4 posted on 11/05/2018 2:32:32 PM PST by conservativepoet
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To: Red Badger

Red Storm Rising!
__________

I like that.


5 posted on 11/05/2018 2:33:10 PM PST by conservativepoet
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To: Kaslin

When you factor #Walkaway, BLEXIT, and low EV dem numbers, a resulting aggregate 3-6% reduction in dem votes could be the difference in winning or loosing in MANY races tomorrow.


6 posted on 11/05/2018 2:33:10 PM PST by TMA62 (Al Sharpton - The North Korea of race relations)
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To: Kaslin

So be it!


7 posted on 11/05/2018 2:34:41 PM PST by Fungi
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To: Kaslin
I've already got 62,000 sponges surrounding my house, in preparation for the Blue Wave...of tears. Otherwise, the only blue wave will be:


8 posted on 11/05/2018 2:35:13 PM PST by Ancesthntr ("The right to buy weapons is the right to be free." A. E. van Vogt, The Weapons Shops of Isher)
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To: Kaslin

“Meanwhile I was opening speaker for President Trump’s event in Las Vegas last month- with 10,000 waiting in line for hours in a place where no one cares much about politics. This is a phenomenon.

Does that sound like the GOP is losing 40 seats? Dream on delusional Democrats. “

Lol, finally someone talking some sense.

Pubbies win bigtime.

Should be a hoot watching CNN tomorrow night!


9 posted on 11/05/2018 2:36:26 PM PST by JPJones (More tariffs, less income tax.)
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To: Kaslin
Upset? The Trump Train is rolling! Do not get in its way (oops, too late for Dems...)

JOBS NOT MOBS!

10 posted on 11/05/2018 2:37:26 PM PST by jeffc (The U.S. media are our enemy)
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To: Kaslin

But the democrats already have all of the votes they need, printed signed delivered to the precincts of their choice.


11 posted on 11/05/2018 2:43:23 PM PST by dirtymac
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To: Kaslin

Ignore good or bad predictions, just be sure to get out and VOTE!!!


12 posted on 11/05/2018 2:44:20 PM PST by Innovative
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Did you see this odds maker in 2016 who said he's never been wrong telling us Romney in a LANDSLIDE? LOL
13 posted on 11/05/2018 2:45:11 PM PST by KavMan
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To: KavMan
I mean 2012
14 posted on 11/05/2018 2:46:02 PM PST by KavMan
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To: Kaslin

From his mouth to God’s ears


15 posted on 11/05/2018 2:48:32 PM PST by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: TMA62

I think Walkaway is gonna surprise a lot of folks. The commie media assumes when ALL Democrats votes they are voting straight Democrat, nope..there are thousands of former Democrats who are voting straight Republican, including my aunt and uncle here in LA, they have NEVER voted Republican in their lifetime but they will be voting straight Republican tomorrow


16 posted on 11/05/2018 2:51:58 PM PST by Sarah Barracuda
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To: KavMan

The difference is that Romney was not attracting large lines of fans to see him speak. I held my noise and voted for the Mormon only because he wasn’t Obama. Romney was a terrible candidate. A RINO’s RINO. I wonder what Ann Coulter thinks of him now? He is the new McCain and will be a thorn in our buts for a long time.


17 posted on 11/05/2018 2:52:05 PM PST by Flavious_Maximus
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To: Kaslin

If the polls fail again then they will be totally discredited. Which would be great!


18 posted on 11/05/2018 2:54:24 PM PST by Jack Black
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To: Innovative
AMEN!! And take EVERYONE YOU CAN!! AND if your dog or cat are registered too ...TAKE'M!!! 😁
19 posted on 11/05/2018 2:55:38 PM PST by RoseofTexas
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To: Kaslin

Oddsmakers don’t make predictions. They spread the betting to make sure they always win.


20 posted on 11/05/2018 2:56:21 PM PST by discostu (Every gun makes its own tune.)
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