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The midterms were a disaster for Democrats' 2020 Senate hopes
The Week ^ | Nov 7 2018 | The Week

Posted on 11/07/2018 10:56:33 AM PST by rintintin

There are a lot of reasons for Democrats to be cheery on Wednesday, but the outcome of the midterm Senate races is not one of them. With three key races (Arizona, Florida, and Montana) still too close to call, and the Mississippi race going to a runoff, Democrats are looking at a potential 45-55 make-up in Republicans' favor in 2019. "It's not the only important takeaway, but one important takeaway from last night is that it's going to be basically impossible for Democrats to have a governing coalition if they beat Trump in 2020," explained Vox's Dylan Matthews.

The math could look like this: In 2020, Democrats would need to hold all of their current Senate seats — including Alabama — plus flip six held by Republicans, including in all likelihood Arizona and Georgia, as well as places like Iowa, Colorado, Maine, and North Carolina.

(Excerpt) Read more at theweek.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2018election; 2018midterms; 2020demprimary; 2020election; election2018; election2020
Even though this article was written before Democrat Tester was declared the winner in MT, I think the logic still holds
1 posted on 11/07/2018 10:56:33 AM PST by rintintin
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To: rintintin

I think this was all about 2020 - and Trump is really well set-up after last night. When he wins in 2020 he will sweep large numbers of house seats, with a 60 vote Senate majority well within reach. And the comparisons of success over the last two years over the next two will make it even easier to win in 2020 - talk about a set-up for victory!


2 posted on 11/07/2018 11:21:43 AM PST by impactplayer
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To: impactplayer

One of the ironies of yesterday’s results is that I believe Trump has a much better chance of getting re-elected in 2020 with the Democrats in control of the House. It gives the GOP a ready-made excuse NOT to pass any legislation they never wanted to pass in the first place, and it gives Trump a great punching bag in that doddering old dingbat Pelosi.


3 posted on 11/07/2018 11:27:53 AM PST by Alberta's Child ("The Russians escaped while we weren't watching them ... like Russians will.")
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To: rintintin

I want to see every vacant Judicial seat (District and everything) filled by 2020 - that’s our #1 priority.


4 posted on 11/07/2018 11:30:10 AM PST by 11th_VA ("When passions are most inflamed, fairness is most in jeopardy." - Susan Collins)
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To: impactplayer

Are you saying Trump is playing the long game?

The best thing for Trump is for the Democrats try to pull on him what they did to Kavenaugh.

And for added bonus, there are Democrats that DO NOT want Pelosi to get the gavel. The infighting might be fun to watch.

Senate is safe so bring on those Federal Judges and while you are at it somebody do a pulse check on Ginsburg, hold a mirror under her nose.


5 posted on 11/07/2018 11:31:14 AM PST by TheShaz
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To: Alberta's Child

Here’s my one concern about 2020 coming out of last night. The three surprise states Trump won in 2016 (PA, WI and MI) all had statewide elections on the ballot and Republicans lost all including healthy margins in PA and MI. So they reverted to form as D states. The question for 2020 will be whether Trump can keep that coalition going in these states.


6 posted on 11/07/2018 11:35:14 AM PST by usafa92 (Donald J. Trump, 45th President of the United States)
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To: rintintin

Yes, we should end up with 54. Once again, the ‘purists’ allowed a runoff to happen in a deep Red State by splitting their votes.


7 posted on 11/07/2018 11:36:59 AM PST by fortheDeclaration
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To: rintintin

We will definitely win back the Ala. seat.


8 posted on 11/07/2018 11:37:40 AM PST by fortheDeclaration
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To: fortheDeclaration

Purists had nothing to do with it.

There was no primary.


9 posted on 11/07/2018 11:40:26 AM PST by Black Agnes
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To: rintintin
The difference between the House and the Senate is that, for the most part, senators enjoy the red vote outside the blue city centers.

To be able to take the Senate the demoncraps are going to have to take over flyover.

That is reason number one why we need the Wall.

10 posted on 11/07/2018 11:42:18 AM PST by Slyfox (Not my circus, not my monkeys)
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To: usafa92

Trump didn’t win those states as a Ryan Republican. Unfortunately, he governed as a Ryan Republican. Tax cuts for wealthy, no infrastructure, no wall. This claim of “promises delivered” wasn’t true, his populist promises weren’t delivered. He’s got to change that if he wants to win the rust belt again in 2020


11 posted on 11/07/2018 11:44:19 AM PST by rintintin
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To: usafa92

McConnell made a decision NOT to contest Senate sears in PA, Mi, and WI. If we had then it would have limited our losses in the house and subiurbs. McConnell did not care about the house. In fact, he loves divided govt as it gives him an excuse not to move on legislation. He only has to deal with judicial and administrative appts while agreeing to continuing resolutions.

Paul Ryan’s cowardice was an albatross around house candidates and we had 40 retirements. Without those two events we could have held the House


12 posted on 11/07/2018 11:45:48 AM PST by georgiarat (The most expensive thing in the world is a cheap Army and Navy. - Carl Vinson)
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To: rintintin

Troll! Troll!

Fake post drivel


13 posted on 11/07/2018 11:46:41 AM PST by bert ((KE. N.P. N.C. +12) Invade Honduras. Provide a military government)
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To: usafa92

I wouldn’t be too concerned about that just yet. All three of those states had been reliable Democrat states in presidential elections, but they’ve been supporting many GOP candidates in statewide races over the years. The other thing to remember here is that Trump won in 2016 with the support of a LOT of Democrat voters in those states.


14 posted on 11/07/2018 11:51:41 AM PST by Alberta's Child ("The Russians escaped while we weren't watching them ... like Russians will.")
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To: usafa92
In places like Pa. and Michigan a lot people will vote Dem by default unless the R's give them a reason not to. POTUS gave them a reason not to in 2016. In 2018, noone did. It would appear that GOP management did their usual job of trying a standardized 30 year old playbook and getting the expected results, this time adding the expenditure of resources on running "I'm Congressman McCarthy and I'm going to build a wall" radio ads that were three time zones away from McCarthy's district. That didn't didn't get the job done and hereditary Democrats went back to their default option.

Now that a lot of RINO's are being purged from Congress, it wouldn't hurt to start purging GOP management down to the state and county levels. RINO's can be replaced with deplorables, and the first to go need to be people that put self-interest ahead of the country's interests.

Its a shame, Barletta could have won if he'd had competent backing.

15 posted on 11/07/2018 11:57:27 AM PST by Hamiltonian
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To: rintintin

His main promises to the Rust Belt were to revive factory and mining jobs, increase wages and the economy, to keep us out of the globalist TPP, and revise NAFTA to be fairer to the US. He did all of those against all odds.

Your comment sounds like a Dem propaganda ad. You mean tax cuts for those wealthy job creators that has caused a boom in jobs, stunning economic growth, and an increase in wages, especially for the poorest workers as the official stats prove?

And how can Trump be blamed for the wall, when he’s done all he can with that so far in the face of Congressional opposition? At least sections are going up in the highest traffic areas of the border. He has done more to stop and deport illegals than any president since Eisenhower, even with his hands tied, which is why the “press” goes nuts against him with his every move on the subject. You must have missed the thousands of troops he sent to help secure the border.


16 posted on 11/07/2018 4:07:23 PM PST by FenwickBabbitt
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To: FenwickBabbitt

Trump promised to RAISE taxes on wealthy hedge fund managers. Instead, the Ryan Bill cutvtheir taxes — while increasing the taxes on middle class people in high tax states like NY and Calif


17 posted on 11/07/2018 5:41:36 PM PST by rintintin
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To: Black Agnes

And you knew who the favorite GOP candidate was and could have put her over the top with 50% of the vote. Instead you have to go to a runoff. Hopefully, in the runoff, there will be problem holding the seat.


18 posted on 11/08/2018 7:55:36 AM PST by fortheDeclaration
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To: fortheDeclaration

“Hopefully, in the runoff, there will be problem holding the seat.”

Freudian slip?


19 posted on 11/08/2018 8:00:11 AM PST by Black Agnes
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To: Black Agnes

No, I hope we hold the seat.


20 posted on 11/08/2018 3:10:07 PM PST by fortheDeclaration
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