Skip to comments.Hurricane/Tropical Storm 5 Day forecast: Gulf of Mexico may be heating up
Posted on 09/11/2019 11:32:50 AM PDT by topher
The only good news for the Bahamas is that this may produce a little rain and wind. Next week may tell us more about the system that may enter the Gulf of Mexico.
Nothing would be good.
Mrs. Augie and I are leaving for Pensacola Beach tomorrow morning to attend a wedding.
I’m not over hurricane Michael last year and probably won’t be for a very long time. However, this looks like it may be a heavy rain-maker which we do need.
Orange and Yellow Sharpies... cool :)
So ... is it okay to say that people in Alabama should keep an eye on the orange storm and make preparations?
Here, life in hurricane-alley has its downsides.
We need to amend the track, perhaps a Black sharpie. I just hope on the bottom they write NOAH - Covfefe
Hurricanes are annoying.
Except when they play Florida. 2-0 I believe.
It’s mid-September and there’s one tropical disturbance that’s got a good chance of developing into a Tropical-Storm. How is that “heating up?”
And this one could hit Alabama too. Phooey to the Trump critics.
Also could hit lots of other places. Too soon to predict.
According to the National Weather Service, “A tropical wave located in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean near the Cabo Verde Islands is forecast to move quickly westward during the next several days.”
This is one to watch....my hurricane-savvy ex told me to watch out for storms starting in warm water here and moving west.
Anyone else remember the old song, “Cape Verdean Blues?” We’ll all blow away dancing anyway:
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A large area of showers and thunderstorms was located along a sharp surface trough from near eastern Cuba through the southeastern Bahamas into the southwestern Atlantic. Conditions are forecast to become more favorable for development late this week, and a tropical depression could form near the northwestern Bahamas or South Florida as early as Friday. Further development is possible over the eastern Gulf of Mexico later this weekend. The disturbance will likely produce periods of locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across the Bahamas through Friday, and across Florida during the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
2. A broad low pressure system, associated with a tropical wave, was located about 500 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This disturbance is accompanied by a few thunderstorms showing little organization. The system is forecast to move westward where upper-level winds will become even less favorable for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
3. A tropical wave located in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean near the Cabo Verde Islands is forecast to move quickly westward during the next several days. Environmental conditions may become more favorable for development as the system approaches the Lesser Antilles from late this weekend into early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
‘is it okay to say that people in Alabama should keep an eye on the orange storm and make preparations?’
ha ha ha...
That’s basically the same track they had for Dorian in the original models. But don’t tell the MSM that.
Me too. House is still not done.
Hey look, it’s headed towards Alabama...
The one further away looks more dangerous. It’s right in the alley between South America and Hispanola where it rolls through and turns NNW into Louisiana or Texas with plenty of warm water for fuel.
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