Posted on 12/25/2019 6:10:09 AM PST by rktman
‘If a Hillary or a Michelle O enters the race, Trump can kiss the black vote goodbye.’
this is probably true, because the dems have learned the lesson from 2016, when blacks took the election off after the Obama years...Hilary lost PA and MI because typical black turnout in Philly and Detroit (and the attendant fraud) was not interested...but Hilary will not run, and neither will Mrs. O...
Whoa. Taking 20% of the black vote could relegate the dems to permanent minority status.
Good thing they’re too busy with Romper Room Impeachment to notice the mass plantation exodus.
——then Negros would get together and solve our own problems.——
They got together in Baltimore and destroyed it. They got together in Chicago and Philadelphia and are destroying those cities
From 8% to 20%...that is a HUGE shift and more than sufficient to eviscerate the Democrats.
The race hustlers want blacks to stay in a bad place and be dependent on govt programs. And that is really sick.
Conservatives want everyone to be freed from the Matrix
Good thing this won’t be a close (s)election. :-) Merry Christmas.
Suburban White Women didn't sour on TRUMP
These IDIOT Women just like DIVIDED Government so they say they will all come back to TRUMP in 2020! Phew!!!!!!
‘12 to 15% of the black vote going GOP is fatal to the Dems’
you’re failing to recognize that the electorate of 2016 will not be the same one for 2020; a meager increase in black male vote will not offset an increased overall black turnout, which is likely a given in 2020...also, a large cohort of Trump support, elderly whites, have seen its ranks thinned by death in that four year window... additionally, we will have an entire new bloc of people in the 18-21 year-olds who could not vote in 2016, who will more motivated by propaganda than its 2016 counterpart...
20% of Hillary’s votes were from black voters. If President Trump can draw 20% of the black vote instead of just 8%, that is almost the margin of his 2016 popular vote loss. If Trump can pull 30% support from black voters, that would put him outside the margin of fraud even for democrats and union thugs.
Thanks (NOT) to vegas, NV will probably not be turning around anytime soon. The numbers in LV pretty much make the rest of the state moot. Toss in Washoe county (Reno/Truckee Meadows) and it’s leftward trend and it’s toast time. As in burnt toast.
You’re mistaken. Without the black vote there would barely be any Democrats in office. That’s their margin of victory. If Trump picks up 4% more black vote, and if other blacks just don’t vote,that can be his margin of victory in several states. It can also bury other Democrats on the ballot.
All valid points but not the only points.
Blacks didn’t turn out for Hillary like they did for Obama. After Obama didn’t live up to their expectations, I’m not convinced they’d turn out at the same level for Mikey.
Yep. To coin a phrase, "we should have picked our own cotton."
You are so right. He'll barely top 20% of the vote period!
Oh...wait...that was exactly the great genius Nate Silver's prediction in the last election, when no one knew Donald Trump as anything but a loudmouth talk-show host.
But I'm sure you know best.
‘That’s not true at all. That number tips states like Pennsylvania and Michigan very quickly.’
you are neglecting the fact that black turnout in the urban areas of PA and MI was significantly less in 2016; should overall black turnout increase, the loss in the male sector will be offset by the increase in the females...and that assumes that the white trump cohort that went for Trump in 2016 remains as cohesive, a large assumption...
Actually Blacks did turnout for Hillary, it was the Latino turnout that killed Hillary!
‘Yep. To coin a phrase, “we should have picked our own cotton.”
it’s an axiomatic truth...the easy acceptance of slavery has left this country with social ills which will never go away...this is evidenced by the bald-faced demonization of whites which is championed by the media...
20% may be ambitious, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s in double digits.
It’s a process; it doesn’t happen all at once. I liken it to air leaking out of a tire. It’s slow, almost unnoticeable, at first, but as it goes along, it gains momentum and starts moving faster, until one day, the tire is flat and nobody quite knows how it happened.
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