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Harvard researchers: Social distancing during COVID-19 may have to be turned on and off like a spigot
zdnet ^ | March 25, 2020 | Tiernan Ray

Posted on 03/26/2020 12:10:32 AM PDT by aquila48

For those wondering how long they'll have to be in quarantine because of the COVID-19 respiratory disease, the question for those in the US may not be how long, but how many times.

Work posted on the medRxive pre-print server Tuesday by a group of researchers at Harvard's T.H. Chan School of Public Health in Boston suggests that multiple targeted periods of "social distancing" of various kinds will likely be necessary for the US before any vaccine is found for the disease.

There's a tension in fighting COVID-19: So-called herd immunity needs to be built up, which requires that the disease be allowed to spread to some extent, for without exposure, that immunity will never be built. But the disease must not spread so much that it overwhelms the US's medical resources.

In "Social distancing strategies for curbing the COVID-19 epidemic," authors Stephen Iissler, Christine Tedijanto, Marc Lipsitch, and Yonatan Grad of the Chan School write that "a single period of social distancing will not be sufficient."

Paradoxically, going into an intense quarantine with nothing to follow it can actually be counter-productive.

Without repeated intervals of distancing, "there was a resurgence of infection when the simulated social distancing measures were lifted" in the model scenarios they ran.

The authors found that a resurgence could happen even after especially arduous periods of distancing, such as a 20-week period of social distancing. "The social distancing is so effective that virtually no population immunity is built."

(Excerpt) Read more at zdnet.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events
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To: FreedomPoster

There is a strong case to be made. Trump sure looks furious. And these Rat journalists aren’t helping.


21 posted on 03/26/2020 3:54:01 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: cherry

Spain had a women’s march of 2 million people in Madrid—encouraged by the political leadership—on March 8—and then ordered all schools closed for the CV on March 9!

You can’t make up this stuff.


22 posted on 03/26/2020 4:06:04 AM PDT by cgbg (BOLO--escaped SNF resident--Joe Biden)
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To: aquila48

Hong Kong is putting wrist bands on people returning from overseas. This video shows the reactions of locals to a teenager breaking her quarantine

https://youtu.be/ySmAZ8s2t1k


23 posted on 03/26/2020 4:24:34 AM PDT by Fai Mao (There is no justice until The PIAPS is legally executed)
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To: aquila48

Oh bla bla bla...and what about next year?


24 posted on 03/26/2020 5:01:18 AM PDT by TalBlack
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To: aquila48
Horowitz: WHEN did coronavirus begin in the US? And why it matters
25 posted on 03/26/2020 5:05:18 AM PDT by mewzilla (Break out the mustard seeds.)
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To: aquila48

Nothing coming out of Harvard is believable. They can turn off and on their endowment fund which has something like 58 billion dollars in it whenever they want. They have chosen to lay off lots of people when they could definitely afford to pay them.


26 posted on 03/26/2020 5:12:55 AM PDT by CincyRichieRich (Be still, and know that I am God...Psalm 46:10)
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To: aquila48

Typical Liberal inability to commit to ANY plan or idea, and ... the inability to take responsibility for a decision and then, stay with it. For them, everything is situational.

The word is irresolute.. and immature. Liberals desperately need to GROw UP!!


27 posted on 03/26/2020 5:15:37 AM PDT by SMARTY ("Nobility is defined by the demands it makes on us - by obligations, not by rights".)
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To: aquila48

Yep


28 posted on 03/26/2020 5:54:48 AM PDT by sickoflibs (Elect tough guy Joe Biden : Joe wrote the bill that banned the AR-14s)
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To: PubliusMM

Wholeheartedly agree. And old hothead down below is marveling at how quickly and readily Catholic prelates worldwide eliminated the Holy Sacrifice of the Mass from the lives of the faithful. No talk of restoring same anytime soon either. And only a few bishops are even taking about the abiding need to do that. Astonishing.


29 posted on 03/26/2020 7:36:05 AM PDT by one guy in new jersey
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To: cherry

“so now we really are like mice in a maze....opening one shute for us while closing another so we can find our food”

Yep. Control. Communists do that.


30 posted on 03/26/2020 7:41:10 AM PDT by CodeToad (Arm Up! They Have!)
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To: wastoute

Won’t deaths “with” a coincident novel coronavirus infection be recast as deaths “from” same to pump up the panic factor? It is said that this is happening in Italy.


31 posted on 03/26/2020 7:43:43 AM PDT by one guy in new jersey
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To: aquila48

Harvard is a legend in their own mind.


32 posted on 03/26/2020 8:21:25 AM PDT by Sequoyah101 (We are governed by the consent of the governed and we are fools for allowing it.)
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To: aquila48

In other words, hot zones should be quarantined


33 posted on 03/26/2020 8:48:57 AM PDT by Cooter (Radicals always try to force crises because in a crisis, everyone must choose sides. - J. Goldberg)
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To: FreedomPoster
I see an opportunity for advanced infrared cameras to pick out people showing fever signs in a crowd. This is eminently do-able.

FLIR isn't cheap but it would be easy enough to automate.

A great trick (and a little 1984 style creepy) would be to marry a camera with facial recognition software to the FLIR camera and have the FLIR pick out the people with a fever and have the camera system with facial recognition identify the person with the fever.

Then the system could call the person’s cellphone and notify them that they are sick.

34 posted on 03/26/2020 2:56:00 PM PDT by Pontiac (The welfare state must fail because it is contrary to human nature and diminishes the human spirit)
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