Skip to comments.Harvard researchers: Social distancing during COVID-19 may have to be turned on and off like a spigot
Posted on 03/26/2020 12:10:32 AM PDT by aquila48
For those wondering how long they'll have to be in quarantine because of the COVID-19 respiratory disease, the question for those in the US may not be how long, but how many times.
Work posted on the medRxive pre-print server Tuesday by a group of researchers at Harvard's T.H. Chan School of Public Health in Boston suggests that multiple targeted periods of "social distancing" of various kinds will likely be necessary for the US before any vaccine is found for the disease.
There's a tension in fighting COVID-19: So-called herd immunity needs to be built up, which requires that the disease be allowed to spread to some extent, for without exposure, that immunity will never be built. But the disease must not spread so much that it overwhelms the US's medical resources.
In "Social distancing strategies for curbing the COVID-19 epidemic," authors Stephen Iissler, Christine Tedijanto, Marc Lipsitch, and Yonatan Grad of the Chan School write that "a single period of social distancing will not be sufficient."
Paradoxically, going into an intense quarantine with nothing to follow it can actually be counter-productive.
Without repeated intervals of distancing, "there was a resurgence of infection when the simulated social distancing measures were lifted" in the model scenarios they ran.
The authors found that a resurgence could happen even after especially arduous periods of distancing, such as a 20-week period of social distancing. "The social distancing is so effective that virtually no population immunity is built."
(Excerpt) Read more at zdnet.com ...
There is a strong case to be made. Trump sure looks furious. And these Rat journalists arent helping.
Spain had a women’s march of 2 million people in Madrid—encouraged by the political leadership—on March 8—and then ordered all schools closed for the CV on March 9!
You can’t make up this stuff.
Hong Kong is putting wrist bands on people returning from overseas. This video shows the reactions of locals to a teenager breaking her quarantine
Oh bla bla bla...and what about next year?
Nothing coming out of Harvard is believable. They can turn off and on their endowment fund which has something like 58 billion dollars in it whenever they want. They have chosen to lay off lots of people when they could definitely afford to pay them.
Typical Liberal inability to commit to ANY plan or idea, and ... the inability to take responsibility for a decision and then, stay with it. For them, everything is situational.
The word is irresolute.. and immature. Liberals desperately need to GROw UP!!
Wholeheartedly agree. And old hothead down below is marveling at how quickly and readily Catholic prelates worldwide eliminated the Holy Sacrifice of the Mass from the lives of the faithful. No talk of restoring same anytime soon either. And only a few bishops are even taking about the abiding need to do that. Astonishing.
“so now we really are like mice in a maze....opening one shute for us while closing another so we can find our food”
Yep. Control. Communists do that.
Won’t deaths “with” a coincident novel coronavirus infection be recast as deaths “from” same to pump up the panic factor? It is said that this is happening in Italy.
Harvard is a legend in their own mind.
In other words, hot zones should be quarantined
FLIR isn't cheap but it would be easy enough to automate.
A great trick (and a little 1984 style creepy) would be to marry a camera with facial recognition software to the FLIR camera and have the FLIR pick out the people with a fever and have the camera system with facial recognition identify the person with the fever.
Then the system could call the persons cellphone and notify them that they are sick.
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