? Numbers in India???
>>? Numbers in India???<<
India doesn’t have near as many cases as would be expected, especially considering its location near China. That could be because they use hydroxychloroquine to ward off malaria.
An interesting metric to apply to a country is the number of tests they run to get a confirmed case. The typical affected country finds a case for every ten or so tests they run. (Examples down below)
India has run about 190,000 tests and only has just under 10,000 confirmed cases, so they are finding a case for every 19 tests they run, and since testing is light in India overall, you would think the most suspect cases would be being tested.
Iceland, on the other hand, is testing like crazy (10% of the population now) and also gets a confirmed case for every 20 tests they run, possibly indicating that they are now wasting money testing so many people. (It might make more sense for them to now save the money for antibody testing on the entire population later.)
Here are the approximate number of tests run to get one confirmed case in:
U.S - 5
Spain - 3.6
Italy - 6.4
France - 2.5
UK - 4
Netherlands - 4.5
Switzerland - 7.5
Canada - 17 (Interesting, given that their testing has been average)
Portugal - 10
Austria - 10
Israel - 10
Sweden - 5
Australia - 57 (Interesting, since testing is only a bit above the average. Climate?)
Summing up (tentatively): If the number of tests run is between a half percent and 1.5 percent of the population, finding a low number of cases per test could indicate that the virus isn’t spreading very fast in that country due to some protective factor.
Those could range from climate (too warm for the virus?), prophylactic use of malaria drugs (India?), effective social distancing, effective tracking and quarantining, or other factors.