Posted on 07/05/2022 6:44:38 AM PDT by JonPreston
I’m not sure what you mean by #2. There was no #2 in the part listed at the beginning of the post and I did not look at the original article link. Perhaps you mean the second half of the sentence about the RUSI which stated “current Russian advantages and Ukrainian weaknesses are leading to a style of conflict that favours Moscow. Others were responding to this issue, and also, why should one trust an opinion of a probable pro Russian oriented source or follow this as advice?
Ukraine invasion turning into protracted war that Russia will win, experts warn
7/5/2022, 8:46:27 AM · 29 of 81
Owen to All
1) There cannot be a peace agreement. Neither side would believe the other. Ukraine would begin shelling across whatever line is agreed to within a week of signing — that being how long it would be to get artillery and ammo in position from the West.
2) No one knows how many casualties have been suffered by either side. So just stop presuming there is a numerical advantage in that regard for either side.
Russia will nuke China if it came to that. End of discussion.
Two scenarios. #1 - conquest of Ukraine by Russia. #2 - Putin's successor had enough and wants to end the war.
In the meantime, this war will be a lot like Syrian Civil War. Both sides will not be strong enough to seize the initative. It could easily be like this the next 10 years. Stalemate.
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