Posted on 07/17/2023 8:11:33 AM PDT by Timber Rattler
Ding ding ding!
Someone is paying attention.
And now you have ultra-Russians (Wagner Group) in fairly large numbers Putin originally believed that the fall of Kiev would lead to the total fall of Ukraine.
Come on man... Wagner is resting in Belarus on vacay. Vlad gave them some R&R just north of KEEEEEEEEEEVe as a reward for the “mutiny.”
Those crazy Wagners, what’s a little mutiny now and then?
“Boy Howdy! That was the strangest ending to a mutiny or rebellion or revolution I have ever seen. No one in the stockade. No gallows. Not even the “leader” being frog marched in front of the cameras.
Russia ain’t acting very Russian these days. Or something.”
I think Putin is playing chess and figured out how to get the Wagner army into Belarus without the West going apeshit.
Once he heard the CIA was communicating with Yevgeny Prigozhin about a mutiny, Putin decided to go with the mutiny thing. The West fell for it and let Russia reposition the Wagner army without a whimper.
That will get the 50,000 Wagner army into Belarus to recondition and posed to start a new front 150 miles from Kiev.
Slavic areas of old (like...Kiev) “invited” various Viking groups to help as mercenaries. Next stop...rulers.
Time will tell whether the Wagners are there to open the northern front against Ukraine, to force Belarus to jump into the war, take over Belarus completely, or all of the above. But tiger by the tail it is — nothing like having gangs of heavily armed mutinous mercenaries camping out back.
For attacking Ukraine from Belarus.
Time will tell whether the Wagners are there to open the northern front against Ukraine,
—
The only passable route into northern Ukraine is though Poland - they Wagners are no threat to Ukraine. Russia however ...
There will be 3 camps in total - the other two will be near the borders of adjoining NATO countries ... according to the Plan.
What are you basing this upon?
Though these roads might be poor and defended, multiple decent-sized roads appear to extend through southern Belarus to end at Kviv. Helicopters, aircraft, missiles, and long range artillery can be deployed against Ukraine without even leaving Belarus. Putin certainly wanted Lukashenko to invade Ukraine — I’m going to go nuts and assume that he knew it was feasable.
The roads are heavily mined, the bridges blown - the rest of the border is dense forest and swamp. Not to mention the 81,000 UA well dug-in troops.
Air craft will be shot down, terrine is impassible to vehicles of any sort.
They could shell, but what’s the point? Just an annoyance; they cannot take any territory, and they are out numbered.
Not mention their artillery cannot reach across the border, even if they had LR artillery to use or shells to fire.
AP=Always Propaganda
hope the Wagners are back in the action soon
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