Skip to comments.Iraq Massing 4 Divisions on Jordanian Frontier Border
Posted on 04/24/2002 8:46:56 AM PDT by codebreaker
DEKAfile's military sources provide details of the Iraqi troop movements.
The force Iraq started massing some weeks ago contains 3-4 of its 7 crack Republican Guard Divisions, which are stationed in the center of the country opposite the Jordanian frontier. They are fanned out across a 300 sq.km stretch of land, bounded by four bases:H-3 Main, H-3 Southwest, and H-3 Northwest-350 km. west of Baghdad-and the big al Baghdadi ground and air base west of town of Rutbah.
The Iraqi high command reckons the first American strike, carried out under the cover of bombing and missile barrage, will try and capture this area and take over the four bases-much in the way a main US base was set up in Kandahar, Afhganistan. From there the US forces will threaten the capital Baghdad.
The Iraqi response will be to divide their strength into two contingents. One leg by Saddam Hussein's son Qusay, will fall back towards Baghdad; the other will push into Jordan and sieze its eastern region, ready for an eventual move into the capital Amman. The Israeli troop concentration the Saudis are referring to-whose presence Israeli spokesmen deny-is poised to defend Jordan against this very Iraqi assault.
By his pincer movement, Saddam hopes to crush the American force, trapping it in a isolated pocket, vulnerable to a blitz of missiles carrying chemical and biological agents. Simultaneously, Iraqi missile barrages will be aimed at Israel and US military targets in the Jewish state, as well as American military facilities in the Gulf, Kuwait and Qatar.Iraq is also set to counter alternative US tatics. This week, Baghdad deployed heavy reinforcements of anti-air missile batteries in the southern and northern no-fly zones patrolled by US and British allied planes. This move was a preventative measure against a possible US attempt to sieze Iraq's northern and southern oilfields. The batteries are aimed not only against bombers but also large scale helicopter squadrons flying US and British Marines in from Kuwait, Oman or Turkey.
Qusay?? The critter that has to disarm to see his old man?
I think they want to be first in line to surrender. ;)
Saddam's emnity towards Israel is well known. Capturing Jordan gives him a border with Israel and a base from which to attack. He will try to portray himself as the savior of the Palestinians, and by extension, the entire Arab world.
So... while I agree with the sigh and wish there was a way to avoid all this, I think we, as a nation, have to be prepared to protect our interests and our friends in the region, which happen to include both Jordan and Israel.
By his pincer movement, Saddam hopes to crush the American force, trapping it in a isolated pocket, vulnerable to a blitz of missiles carrying chemical and biological agents.
And I hope to take Anna Kournikova on a romantic cruise.
Perhaps Debka will cover that story when it doesnt happen!
A figment of Debka's overactive imagination.
Stay Safe !
Ooops. I just fell out of my chair.
It's more like Republican Guard Divisions on crack.
Anyway, I thought it was funny. (That and DEBKA.)
The problem with this analysis, is the IDF will attack Iraq the very moment they invade Jordan for 2 reasons: 1. Jordan & Israel have signed a peace deal; Israel will defend Jordan. 2. the IDF will, rightfully, consider such a move as an invasion of Israel itself.
Ask General Yellow Hair about this tactic.
Oh? That line's already been used?
How about,... Get ready for THE LINE OF DEATH!
Uh, that one too?
Let's try,... Get ready for THE GRANDADDY OF ALL DEFEATS!
Yes. That one fits!
That's why they always loose: they simply miscalculate the length of Qusay's legs.
FROM DEBKA INTELLIGENCE FILES
Iraq's war move in Jordan
Troops secretly infiltrate in preparation for attack on Israel
July 27, 2001
© 2001 WorldNetDaily.com
Iraqi President Saddam Hussein has secretly dispatched troops across the frontier in Jordan in preparation for an attack on Israel, according to the intelligence sources of DEBKA-Net-Weekly.
Iraq military units have been infiltrating neighboring Jordan for the past 10 days, according to the report. Their mission, say DEBKA sources, is to reach the Israeli border, cross the Jordan River and move into the main Palestinian cities of the West Bank Ramallah, Jenin, Nablus and Bethlehem and fight alongside the Palestinians.
The invading units are highly trained and well-equipped commandos able to operate and survive in the field for long periods when cut off from their headquarters and sources of supply, the report says. They are still reportedly in the Jordanian desert.
The incursion was detected by Israeli reconnaissance planes and the Ofek 3 and 5 spy satellites.
Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon immediately dispatched high-ranking Israeli army intelligence officers to Amman to show King Abdullah of Jordan the evidence of the Iraqi penetration to his kingdom.
The king at once proclaimed a supreme state of alert in all Jordanian army units. Israel poured troops into the Jordan Valley region, deploying them along the Jordan River and Jordanian frontier to block off the West Bank to Iraqi penetration.
According to DEBKA-Net-Weeklys military sources, the Iraqi forces first entry point in Jordan was Wadi El Murbah in the central zone of its eastern border with Iraq. From there, they moved to Wadi Athner. A second penetration area was Wadi Hawran in southwest Iraq, not far from the points where the Iraqi, Saudi and Jordanian frontiers meet. The Iraqi forces advanced through the wadi, bypassing Jabal Unayzah in Iraq and coming out inside Jordanian territory near the town of Ruwayshid.
DEBKA's sources in Amman and Jerusalem report that both Israel and Jordan view the Iraqi military operation as an act of war against them. While maintaining official silence, certainly on the Iraqi invasion of Jordan, both countries consider themselves in a state of war with Iraq.
Jordan did attempt in the first days of the incursion to encircle the Iraqi intruders and capture them. But some days of intensive effort with airborne support showed the Jordanian Special Forces that they are no match for 1,000 to 1,500 crack Iraqi commandos. Jordanian fighter planes sent into action were met by dozens of Iraqi fighters, put up over the penetration regions, from Al-Baghdadi, the main Iraqi air base in the central region, south of the town of Arrutba. When SA-6 surface-to-air missile batteries at two recently reopened Iraqi air bases, H3 in the northwest and H3 in the northeast, lit up their radar and locked on to the elderly Jordanian aircraft, lacking electronic counter-measures, they turned tail without snapping a single reconnaissance photo.
The Jordanian monarch then reportedly made his first approach to the U.S. and Israel for help. Israeli reconnaissance aircraft, under the umbrella of Israeli fighter planes, flew into Jordanian airspace. Whenever they appeared, Iraqi planes bugged out and Iraqi missile battery operators turned off their radar. Jordan also sent desert reconnaissance patrols and intelligence units into Iraq to bring back information on supply lines and reinforcements.
What they found sounded even louder alarm bells in Amman: The elite Hummarabi division of the Republican Guard, equipped with T-72 tanks, was now in position between the Jordanian border and the two H bases. They also learned that the Iraqi army had sent at least four armored infantry brigades into the area.
Equally troubling, at the beginning of the week, the Iraqi force already in Jordan was sighted moving west, several groups having reached the sand dunes and wadis known as Abu Haffrah, about 80 kilometers (50 miles) inside Jordanian territory.
King Abdullah decided to take command of the Jordanian forces still chasing the Iraqis intruders.
DEBKA-Net-Weeklys military sources report that the longer the king, a career officer before he ascended the throne, spent out in the field in eastern Jordan, the more anxious he became. He realized that overcoming the Iraqi force already inside the kingdom would not end his worries. There was still the next stage of Saddams plan to face up to, as indicated in the latest intelligence reports on his desk. Iraq had a second wave of troops poised ready to cross into Jordan. Furthermore, Saddam Hussein had secretly appointed his eldest son, Qusay, supreme commander of what the Iraqi president was now describing as the Iraqi-Jordanian-Israeli front.
At a military ceremony attended by top Iraqi generals, Saddam, the reports said, had sworn to spare neither effort nor money to provide Qusay with any reinforcements he might request.
Qusay is said to have set up his headquarters at al-Bagdad air force base, to the rear of the Iraqi forces deployed between the H bases and the Jordanian border.
Jordanian intelligence also reported a large concentration of Iraqi forces on the main roads leading from Iraq to Damascus and from Iraq to the Golan Heights.
The Jordanian king was forced to realize that he was not dealing merely with a small-scale invasion of mobile Iraqi forces, but with preparations by his eastern neighbor for war on a regional scale, far beyond the scope of the Jordanian army on its own.
What the intelligence reports omitted to mention was whether Saddam Husseins move had been coordinated with either or both Palestinian Authority Chairman Yasser Arafat and Syrian President Bashar Assad.
DEBKA-Weekly-Net sources in Jerusalem and Washington report that at the beginning of the week, King Abdullah put his overseas connections to the test. He asked President Bush for American intervention against the Iraqi threat. He also turned to Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon to invoke the secret Israeli-Jordanian defense pact signed by the late King Hussein and Yitzhak Rabin that obliges Israel to act against military or terrorist elements endangering the existence of the Kingdom of Jordan or the Hashemite throne.
Several of DEBKA-Net-Weeklys sources report that Israel has taken initial steps in fulfillment of its pact with Jordan. Those steps have reportedly met with some resistance in Washington. When consulted, the Bush administration indicated that however small, Israels moves must be kept utterly secret so as not to upset U.S. plans for Iraq.
The coming weekend will be crucial in this regard, according to the report. The Jordanian-Iraqi clashes, if they continue, could be the first military step on the road to a Middle East war without the world even noticing.
DEBKA must have read yesterday's story about Saudi Arabia massing 8 Brigades on the Jordanian Border and felt that someone was "out-fabricating" them.
Qusay should be careful. Only bad things can happen when you spread your legs that far.
At least identify it in the header as a Debka story.
Perhaps you should hire a world renowned poilitcal strategist to help facilitate that endeavor.
Yes, it is suicide, but it also protects their mobile scud units from American Special Forces grounds troops. In the Gulf War America used ground troops to track down and "paint" mobile scuds so our planes could then bomb them. Apparently, it's too difficult to track the mobile scuds via satelite so the USA must use ground troops to track them down. The massive numbers of Iraqi ground troops will make it difficult for our Special Forces to get to the mobile scuds.
No, my sarcasm apparently wasn't obvious enough. The Iraqi "invasion" of Jordan last summer never happened. Just like the Chinese troops sent to fight alongside the Taliban never happened.
Debka makes this crap up.
Given the source, DEBKA, fanstasy may be the adjective you are searching for.
But, considering the sage advice that even a blind squirrel sometimes finds a nut...
"Fanstasy" is still the word to use. The Iraqis would be pitting strength against strength. Sun-tzu teaches us to pit strength against weakness. The simple truth is that even with a "home field advantage", the Iraqi military is incapable of withstanding an American onslaught. They tried that against Bush the Elder and got pummelled. The Al Qaeda and the Taliban tried it against Bush the Younger to the same result. Saddam can move his forces where ever he pleases; no military option will help him. Sun-tzu teaches us to defeat an enemy who's already been defeated before the battle even starts. You beat an enemy by depriving him of allies, cutting him off from resources, sowing dissension within his ranks, etc.. In these areas, the US has already beaten Iraq. They are isolated and ill suited to the type of campaign necessary to defeating the Americans. Defense in depth from positions within Jordan and Saudi Arabia might have worked, but Saddam's in no position to mount such a campaign. He's beaten before a single shot's been fired. His only option is to sue for peace. But if this report is accurate, then he's setting himself up for another drubbing.
I hope they learned not to run their engines and have figured out how to stop infra red energy from their sun heated tanks from lighting them up as targets.
Personally, I think that if Saddams really believes that we are planning to invade his country no matter what he does, he will strike soon, even if doing so is completely futile, becasue he has nothing to lose and because the US is only going to get more prepared in the coming months.