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Russert: Landrieu's chances 50:50 at best; Bush to visit after Turkey Day
CNBC Capitol Report ^ | 11-13-02 | Me

Posted on 11/14/2002 6:16:01 PM PST by GraniteStateConservative

Tim Russert was interviewed on CNBC's Capitol Report tonight. He's scheduled to moderate a debate with Landrieu and Terrell this Sunday. He said that a big reason Daschle folded on the Homeland Security Dept. was to try to help Landrieu. He also announced that Bush will visit Louisiana shortly after Thanksgiving when the WH thinks people in the state will really start to focus on the race. He also gave Landrieu no better than a 50% chance to win the race.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Louisiana
KEYWORDS: marylandrieu; suzieterrell

1 posted on 11/14/2002 6:16:01 PM PST by GraniteStateConservative
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To: GraniteStateConservative
"He also gave Landrieu no better than a 50% chance to win the race. "

I've been a good Republican so far and followed Bush's example and Rush's dictum that we should not gloat.

If Terrell wins, I'll be doing this nasty little tap-dance, singing "n'yah, n'yah," and will be generally insufferable to be around.

Please somebody stop me before I gloat.

Gotta call my sponsor...

2 posted on 11/14/2002 6:20:38 PM PST by billorites
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To: GraniteStateConservative
He also announced that Bush will visit Louisiana shortly after Thanksgiving

Sounds like President Bush will carve her up pretty good.

3 posted on 11/14/2002 6:21:40 PM PST by Paleo Conservative
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To: billorites
We're here for you billorites.....try to hold on.....
4 posted on 11/14/2002 6:23:24 PM PST by anniegetyourgun
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To: GraniteStateConservative
50-50?

There's ony about a 10% chance of that.

5 posted on 11/14/2002 6:26:33 PM PST by Consort
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To: Jimer
50-50?

There's ony about a 10% chance of that.

Sounds about right to me. LOL

6 posted on 11/14/2002 6:28:26 PM PST by NeoCaveman
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To: Sparta; exhaustedmomma; UKCajun
fyi
7 posted on 11/14/2002 6:30:15 PM PST by deport
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To: Jimer
........There's ony about a 10% chance of that.....



That's assuming the dead rise and vote.....
8 posted on 11/14/2002 6:32:22 PM PST by deport
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To: GraniteStateConservative
Two people in a tight race, and you give one of them a 50-50 chance. Really going out on a limb there, Tim....
9 posted on 11/14/2002 6:32:32 PM PST by Lunatic Fringe
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To: deport
That's assuming the dead rise and vote.....

Why do you think the dead are burried above ground in New Orleans?

10 posted on 11/14/2002 6:35:14 PM PST by Paleo Conservative
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To: Lunatic Fringe
I was hoping the President would stay away from this one. He has had a cordial relationship with Senators Breaux and Landrieu and I believe he will look like a spoiler either way.
11 posted on 11/14/2002 6:39:12 PM PST by harrowup
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To: Lunatic Fringe
Re-election rates are much higher than 50-50. Landrieu should be favored at least about 55-45 or 60-40 to win. She isn't though.
12 posted on 11/14/2002 6:39:47 PM PST by GraniteStateConservative
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To: GraniteStateConservative
I hope Russert takes her apart the way he did McBride ...
13 posted on 11/14/2002 6:40:36 PM PST by Deport Billary
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To: harrowup
Yeah, sort of like in Georgia-- where Zell Miller both endorsed and stumped with Cleland and also co-sponsored Bush's tax cut package. That really blew up in our faces. [/sarcasm]

This is a runoff with little reason for high turnout. We are wanting to demoralize the Democrats. That's what Bush does. He doesn't incite Democrats. He makes them feel sorry for themselves because they are leaderless and because he stole "Remember Florida" from them and he stole "he lost the popular vote" from them. Bush will excite Republicans to volunteer and vote.

In NH he kept a much stronger Democrat than Landrieu is from going to D. C. If Bush can punch out our "Independent Party" nominee for U. S. Senate from winning, he can knockout Miss Mary.
14 posted on 11/14/2002 6:50:12 PM PST by GraniteStateConservative
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To: GraniteStateConservative
Just remember that when a major media reporter or commentato says a Democrat has a 50/50 chance he has seen polls that show 55 to 45 loss with a 4 point margin of error.

But the reason daschle folded is pretty obvious. Democrats do not thave the votes to stop the Republicans from bringing it up for consideration. Daschle could have refused to bring it up. That is what Lott thought he would do. But Bush had lined up enough votes to bring it to the floor with out Daschle

Daschle could not stop the vote and he could not stop the passage. That is the reason it will pass. IT had nothing directly to do with popularity. It was that several Democrat Senators were going to vote to hear it and pass it. There was nothing Daschle could do to stop it. So he will not try.

In this congress with 50 democrats one independent and 49 Republicans, Daschle could not come up with 40 votes. If DAschle does not have 40 votes in this congress he will not come close to that in the next. Bush will have to peal off either 8 or 9 Democrats in the next congress to get the required 60 votes to invoke cloture. This week proves that Bush has more than that number.This may turn out to be a situation where bush gets everything. But some loud mouth democrats over the next 2 years will scream so loud that the public will think the Democrats are holding things up

The public does not buy attacks. The public buys people who offer solutions. The Democrats hate Bush and attack him. It is very counterproductive.

15 posted on 11/14/2002 6:51:00 PM PST by Common Tator
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To: billorites
The LA race is of supreme importance. Bush and the LA GOP need to pour every resource into it. If the RATS win you can take to the bank that they will say that, "the people of LA got a small taste of GOP control and didnt like it so they rightly elected Landrieu." Figuring out what the left is gonna say is easy. And if Terrell wins, the RATS will really be driven nutz along with the GOP being able to say the opposite of what the dems would say.
16 posted on 11/14/2002 6:55:55 PM PST by Phantom Lord
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To: GraniteStateConservative
Can't believe Rush actually floated the notion that maybe it'd be a good idea to not go hard-charging after this seat so as not to appear as if we're "attacking a woman" or getting "too greedy."

This is a no-brainer. It isn't just a matter of having one more seat in our narrow majority; imagine the orgasms the RATS and the press will have spinning it if we lose!

"See, the American people are having some buyer's remorse! GOP's losing momentum and they haven't even taken control yet! This is a conservative, Bush state and he couldn't even pull off this race? What mandate?"

To say nothing of how it would embolden RATS to resume their obstructionism (and it's inevitable, trust me) even sooner. You get the picture.

17 posted on 11/14/2002 6:56:40 PM PST by winin2000
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To: billorites
I'm going to say it again...peopl want to be on the side of the winners...The Republican will win.
18 posted on 11/14/2002 6:58:04 PM PST by Hildy
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To: Paleo Conservative

So that Marie Laveau can work her
voodoo spells much easier...

19 posted on 11/14/2002 6:58:38 PM PST by deport
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To: Hildy
I'm going to say it again...peopl want to be on the side of the winners...

So, did you vote for Clinton in 1992 just because he was going to win?

20 posted on 11/14/2002 7:01:13 PM PST by Paleo Conservative
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To: deport
I wish the best to the GOP and wish they would do something in SD, too
21 posted on 11/14/2002 7:04:34 PM PST by The Wizard
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To: winin2000
Can't believe Rush actually floated the notion that maybe it'd be a good idea to not go hard-charging after this seat so as not to appear as if we're "attacking a woman" or getting "too greedy."

Limbaugh said that?

That's silly. Terrell is a woman as well. How could this be seen as "picking on the girl?"

Not that the media wouldn't try

22 posted on 11/14/2002 7:07:58 PM PST by THX 1138
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To: The Wizard
South Dakota senario ..
23 posted on 11/14/2002 7:09:32 PM PST by deport
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To: Paleo Conservative
I didn't know Clinton was going to win in 1992. My point is that the Reps won by such a sweep, and the press on the Dems has been so bad since, that those somewhat on the fence will vote Rep. Just my opinion.
24 posted on 11/14/2002 7:12:05 PM PST by Hildy
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To: Common Tator
The dems are stunned right now but don't expect that to last. The extreme libs are taking over, Pelosi et al. All sorts of thing are going to happen now (with the press in tow) homelessness will skyrocket, old people will be dying from lack of care and every piece of economic news that is bad will be greatly highlighted. The dems have perfected this approach since the '50's and will now exploit it for all it's worth.
25 posted on 11/14/2002 7:13:40 PM PST by TheHound
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To: Phantom Lord
The LA race is of supreme importance.

The GOP is just one Coverdell or one Carnahan/Wellstone (God forbid) away from even steven. Having Terrell in there is good insurance.

26 posted on 11/14/2002 7:30:25 PM PST by randita
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To: billorites
If Terrell wins, I'll be doing this nasty little tap-dance, singing "n'yah, n'yah," and will be generally insufferable to be around.

You made my day with that quip, man!

27 posted on 11/14/2002 7:40:43 PM PST by montag813
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To: Phantom Lord
Problem is though, the LA GOP is too busy fighting amongst themselves.
28 posted on 11/14/2002 7:41:49 PM PST by Sparta
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To: deport
Why do you think the dead are burried above ground in New Orleans?


So the dead dems can get to the pols easier of course.
29 posted on 11/14/2002 8:13:46 PM PST by Zansman
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To: All
There was a similar election for US Senator in Georgia in 1992. Neither Paul Coverdale nor Wyche Fowler obtained 50% in the general election, and Fowler was an incumbent Senator that year. In the runoff, Coverdale won. (The Georgia Dems immediately repealed that law after Coverdale's victory). Therefore, if turnout in this runoff is normal, Terrell stands a good chance of winning this seat.

All of you Louisiana Republicans ask like-minded friends, on election day, to vote for Terrell. Every vote will count. It was pouring down rain on Nov 5th in Georgia, so take an umbrella with you, just in case. There is no excuse not to vote for Terrell. We need every GOP vote we can get in DC!!!

30 posted on 11/14/2002 8:15:50 PM PST by Malcolm
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