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Louisiana Senate race a dead heat
Associated Press ^ | December 6, 2002 | Associated Press Staff

Posted on 12/06/2002 4:33:45 AM PST by MeekOneGOP


Louisiana Senate race a dead heat

12/06/2002

Associated Press

BATON ROUGE, La. - Heading into Saturday's runoff election, U.S. Sen. Mary Landrieu, D-La., holds a slight edge over Republican challenger Suzanne Haik Terrell, according to a new poll.

But the race is still too close to call, according to the survey taken this week for Louisiana's Gannett newspapers by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research of Columbia, Md.

The poll of 625 registered voters, taken Monday and Tuesday nights, showed Ms. Landrieu favored by 47 percent of those polled and Ms. Terrell favored by 45 percent. Eight percent were undecided. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. That amounts to a dead heat, said pollster Brad Coker, owner of Mason-Dixon.


Online at: http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dallas/tsw/stories/120602dntexlasenate.4ed22.html


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: District of Columbia; US: Louisiana
KEYWORDS: deadheat; louisiana; marylandrieu; senaterace; suzanneterrell

1 posted on 12/06/2002 4:33:45 AM PST by MeekOneGOP
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To: MeeknMing
FYI: Landrieu Holds Rally, nobody shows up


2 posted on 12/06/2002 4:36:29 AM PST by nicmarlo
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To: MeeknMing
Terrell by 55-45...SITYS!!

FReegards...MUD

3 posted on 12/06/2002 4:37:16 AM PST by Mudboy Slim
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To: MeeknMing
I would call this good news. "Registered" voters are not the same as "likely" voters. "Likely" voters seem to always break for "Pubbies".
4 posted on 12/06/2002 4:40:33 AM PST by Chief
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To: Mudboy Slim
Have seen this poll for days......taken prior to the President's visit. Not that the media is trying to present a false picture or anything......
5 posted on 12/06/2002 4:53:30 AM PST by OldFriend
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To: MeeknMing
REGISTERED voters, not LIKELY voters, folks. You get the idea?
6 posted on 12/06/2002 5:26:41 AM PST by Illbay
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To: MeeknMing
A Landrieu loss should motivate the RATS to abandon the clinton/mcauliffe/carville/begalla scorched-earth perpetually-negative hack team.

It won't, but it should.
7 posted on 12/06/2002 5:28:54 AM PST by Oldeconomybuyer
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To: OldFriend
"Not that the media is trying to present a false picture or anything......"

No, the Vast LeftWing Medyuh Whore'd would never do anything like that...(/sarcasm).

FReegards...MUD

8 posted on 12/06/2002 5:43:41 AM PST by Mudboy Slim
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To: MeeknMing
Anybody from Lousyana got a local buzz on this?
9 posted on 12/06/2002 6:16:59 AM PST by Types_with_Fist
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To: Types_with_Fist; Mudboy Slim; nicmarlo
Great title for this post "DEAD HEAT."

I think it shows that Landrieu is still way ahead with the Dead Voters of LA. This election is a "Must Steal Deal" for the Democrats.

I hope the RNC has got its chickensalad detector on "Full," and is ready to start the Mother of ALl Lawsuits.

NO MORE FRAUD

10 posted on 12/06/2002 6:25:54 AM PST by Kenny Bunk
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To: Types_with_Fist
The 47-45 poll is phony. The tracking poll taken after Bush's visit showed Terrell ahead 49-46, with the rest undecided. All the energy here is with Terrell. Ralph Reed is here and the Conservative Evangelicals and Catholics are very energized. Acc. to the Times Picayune this AM, they are using the same GOTV operation that Reed so successfully emplyed in Georgia. The President is on TV every 30 minutes or so saying "For the good of everybody in Louisina Suzie Terrell needs to be the next United States Senator." It's a great ad. I think this race is very much under control.
11 posted on 12/06/2002 6:29:54 AM PST by Brices Crossroads
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To: Types_with_Fist
Here's the slant. Blacks represent 28% of registered voters here in Louisiana. This poll appears to be weighted to reflect a similar turnout. Unfortunately for Ms. Landreau, the highest turnout ever of black voters, represented 26% of the voters and that was when David Duke (x? KKK) ran for Governor.

A decent turnout of blacks this election would be 24-25%. I personally believe that black voter turnout will be around 19%, but about 10% of them will vote 3-4 times in certain areas of New Orleans. (Not trying to be funny here)

I believe if we had one man one vote here in Louisiana, Terrell would win 60% to 40%. However, even with the anticipated voter fraud, Terrell will win 53-47 +/-

By the way, come down here and call my home Lousy to my face. Otherwise, I believe you owe me and my neighbors an apology.
12 posted on 12/06/2002 6:35:12 AM PST by nov7freedomday
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To: Kenny Bunk
I think it shows that Landrieu is still way ahead with the Dead Voters of LA. This election is a "Must Steal Deal" for the Democrats.


13 posted on 12/06/2002 6:50:36 AM PST by MeekOneGOP
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To: Mudboy Slim
Excellent !
14 posted on 12/06/2002 6:52:24 AM PST by MeekOneGOP
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
I suspect you're correct. Notice their first move after the election?.....



15 posted on 12/06/2002 6:56:23 AM PST by MeekOneGOP
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To: Types_with_Fist; nov7freedomday; Brices Crossroads; Kenny Bunk; MeeknMing; ABG(anybody but Gore); ..
"Anybody from Lousyana got a local buzz on this?"

Shirely that is a typo! Otherwise, you owe us an apology.

16 posted on 12/06/2002 7:19:23 AM PST by Search4Truth
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To: Kenny Bunk
NO MORE FRAUD

BTTT

17 posted on 12/06/2002 8:04:40 AM PST by nicmarlo
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To: All
Several days ago, I posted on FR that Ms Terrell will have 54.57% of the vote cast, and since all spoiled and written-in ballots will be discarded, that leaves Ms Landrieu with exactly 45.43%.

This still remains very close to the outcome, and will remain my exact prediction.

I find the 90% confidence interval is that the Terrell vote will be between 53.6% and 55.0% of the vote cast. The 95% confidence interval is between 52.9% and 57.2% of the vote cast, and the 99% CI is between 49.9% and 58.3% of the vote cast.

Due to heroic effort by Dems, we are now looking at a black voter turnout of 21.6% of all votes cast, with whites at 74.8% and Hispanics, Asians and others at 3.6%.

I had earlier predicted that Terrell would carry the Orleans parish by a hairbreadth, but the higher black turnout [to include just 4500 to 8000 outright fraudulent votes, compared with three or four TIMES that in 1996] is now putting Terrell at some 45.2% in that parish: this is still very good for a Republican and may be a record for Senator, Governor, or President for Reps. in that parish.

I also show black voting FOR Terrell to be at a record for any other high visibility race in the last generation-- with some 17% of blacks, more in Orleans, backing the Republican.

This is a roadmap for much more GOP success in the next few elections, and not just in the deep South!

18 posted on 12/06/2002 8:21:02 AM PST by crystalk
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To: MeeknMing
In just about 36-38 hrs this thing will be over..... hopefully.
19 posted on 12/06/2002 8:48:37 AM PST by Darlin'
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To: MeeknMing
Louisiana Senate race a dead heat

NEVER use the word dead around democrats! They only start registering them to vote.
20 posted on 12/06/2002 9:10:54 AM PST by Valin
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To: MeeknMing
Just heard on WWL a black man express his outrage after receiving a fan in the mail with a pic of a slave woman picking cotton and on it written,"Vote Dec 7th so this won't happen again". He hated the juvenile tactic played by the Dems.

Also On Chef Menteur and Alcee Fortier there's a good deal of pro-life and Terrel signs. A good indication since the area is dominated by Vietnamese Catholics. Although in the more black dominated areas there are Landrieu signs.
21 posted on 12/06/2002 9:44:05 AM PST by Bogey78O
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To: Bogey78O
The Dems playing the race card? Gee they must be spreading rumors Terrell is a slave owner who beats her blacks and kills those suspected of fleeing the plantation she owns out in the bayou. This is the kind of dirt expected from the party that ironically keeps blacks chained to the Liberal Plantation through fear. The Dems will stop at nothing to win.
22 posted on 12/06/2002 9:48:40 AM PST by goldstategop
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To: MeeknMing
Can't wait to see the results tomorrow!
23 posted on 12/06/2002 9:51:25 AM PST by TheLion
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To: Bogey78O
KEY INDICATOR! All the poll pundits are callinig this race a dead heat. Then they say over and over that the Blacks need to get out for Landrieu to win. The poll pundits have been off in 2000 elections & the 2002 primary. Needless to say, they were wrong in favor of the Rats. In my humble opinion, they are wrong again and they are trying their best to assist Landrat. I still say Terrell will win with 52%. I will be at the poll at 6:00 before I go to drill.
P.S. I love watching the media coverage when the Rats lose!
If you live in Louisiana, GO VOTE FOR TERRELL!!!!!
24 posted on 12/06/2002 7:29:16 PM PST by bayoublazer
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To: goldstategop; Bogey78O
Images of Election 2000 are returning to me about the NAACP ad that alluded to President Bush and James Byrd, the black man in Jasper, Texas that was dragged to death behind a pickup truck and was decapitated in the process. The ad pretty much inferred that Bush was behind the wheel of the pickup truck.....
25 posted on 12/07/2002 3:22:16 AM PST by MeekOneGOP
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To: nov7freedomday
I don't owe anybody from Lousyana an apology. I was born and raised there.
26 posted on 12/07/2002 7:12:59 AM PST by Types_with_Fist
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