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CDC: SARS 'the beginning of a problem'
UPI ^ | 4/7/2003 6:13 PM | Steve Mitchell, UPI Medical Correspondent

Posted on 04/07/2003 6:40:44 PM PDT by DannyTN

WASHINGTON, April 7 (UPI) -- Federal health officials Monday testified before a Senate committee that severe acute respiratory syndrome could be further spread in the United States and said they are working rapidly to develop treatments against it, as the number of SARS cases continued to mount worldwide.

Since it first surfaced in China in November, the new pneumonia-like illness known as SARS has spread quickly around the globe, infecting more than 2,600 people and killing 98. The United States Monday increased its number of cases to 148 but no deaths have been reported in the country.

"This is the beginning of a problem," Dr. Julie Gerberding, director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, said as she testified before the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee.

"We may see further spread of the disease in this country," Gerberding added.

This is in part because of so-called "superspreaders," or people who appear to be especially contagious after contracting the illness and could infect several other people, she said.

The future course of SARS is uncertain, Gerberding said. It could turn out to be a seasonal illness similar to West Nile virus or there could be a leveling off after the initial cases of infection.

"We don't know where this is going to go," she said.

Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases -- a component of the National Institutes of Health -- agreed the future of the disease was unpredictable.

"For that reason, we have to take this very, very seriously," Fauci said.

His agency already has begun initial work on developing vaccines and other treatments against SARS, which is believed to be caused by a new form of coronavirus. Known members of this family of viruses cause conditions such as the common cold and generally mild respiratory illnesses.

Researchers plan to have finished sequencing the entire genome of the new virus by this weekend, Gerberding said. That could aid attempts at finding drugs effective against it.

They also are developing diagnostic tests that will detect the presence of the virus and help identify those who have contracted it.

So far, no currently available medications have shown much promise for treating the disease. Some reports have indicated the antiviral drug ribavirin might be beneficial, Gerberding said, adding, "Increasingly, we are a little pessimistic that it's going to be an effective drug."

Officials now have a better picture of how the disease progresses. After exposure, it could take two to 12 days to develop symptoms. At first, people feel tired and have muscle aches, sore throat, fever and a headache, Gerberding explained. Then the fever goes away and is followed by coughing, chest pain and difficulty breathing.

Most people will recover, some might have to be put on mechanical ventilation and a small number -- about 4 percent -- will die.

Those developing early symptoms who have traveled or had close contact with travelers should see a physician, Gerberding advised.

Other steps people can take to protect themselves include avoiding travel to affected areas, particularly Hong Kong, Hanoi, Singapore and China, she said. "Unless you have to go, defer your trip," she said.

Health officials have the greatest concern about China and Hong Kong, said Dr. David Heymann, executive director of communicable diseases for the World Health Organization.

Hong Kong continues to report the most new cases, and in China the number of infected continues to increase in the Guangdong province -- where SARS is thought to have originated last November -- and there are indications other provinces likewise are affected, he said.

Last week, the Chinese government, which initially resisted help from outside health officials, pledged to be more cooperative. If they had implemented measures last November to control the spread of the disease, Heymann said, "the disease might never have spread."

Although in some of the Asian countries hardest hit by the virus, people now are wearing surgical masks, Gerberding said the precaution probably is unnecessary. The masks might help limit the spread of the disease from an infected person to a close household contact but, "beyond that, we are not recommending masks for anybody at this time," she said.

Commenting on the executive order issued by President Bush last week adding SARS to the list of diseases for which health officials can forcibly quarantine people, Gerberding said, "Right now, we're not quarantining anybody in the United States, and we're not planning to."

She added, "It is a precautionary, a 'just in case' kind of executive order."


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Extended News; Government
KEYWORDS: sars
Beginning of a problem... DUH... This thing has been spreading at a rate of about 10% a day. At that rate we could see 500,000 cases in the next month, world wide.

We now have 148 cases in 30 states. (Up 28% from yesterday) http://www.cdc.gov/od/oc/media/sars.htm

1 posted on 04/07/2003 6:40:44 PM PDT by DannyTN
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To: DannyTN
Reading between the lines, the CDC is pi$$ing their pants. This is Not A Good Thing.

--Boris

2 posted on 04/07/2003 6:46:18 PM PDT by boris (Education is always painful; pain is always educational)
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To: DannyTN
Yikes.
3 posted on 04/07/2003 6:51:27 PM PDT by BenLurkin (Remember the 507th!)
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To: boris
the death rate in Canada is 10% while in other countries it is 3.5%.

UK newswires claim that the medical masks are not preventing the spread of this disease.

Prime Minister Jean Chretien is urging Canadians to remain calm over SARS, the deadly virus that has killed 9 people in Ontario.

4 posted on 04/07/2003 6:55:46 PM PDT by wiseone
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To: DannyTN
I read a story that doctors in Hong Kong and China believe that a combination of ribavirin and steroids can increase chances for survival.
5 posted on 04/07/2003 6:55:53 PM PDT by TBall
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To: DannyTN
Best summed up by the immortal words ... Oh Sh!t.
6 posted on 04/07/2003 6:58:05 PM PDT by CathyRyan
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To: DannyTN
The only way to contain this,short of a cure,is to stop all travel and that will never happen.

The flu epidemic of 1917 killed many millions worldwide and this could be the beginning of something awful. The flu spread around the world and this was before air travel existed,imagine what could happen now.

Very frightening!
7 posted on 04/07/2003 6:58:09 PM PDT by Mears
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To: DannyTN
"They also are developing diagnostic tests that will detect the presence of the virus and help identify those who have contracted it." I read an artical last week that said a test had ready been developed and it was just a matter of producing it.
8 posted on 04/07/2003 6:59:29 PM PDT by TBall
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To: TBall
"doctors in Hong Kong and China believe that a combination of ribavirin and steroids can increase chances for survival. "

Intuitively that makes sense...the steroids would decrease inflamation making it easier to breathe... I don't know how ribavirin works other than it's anti-viral.

I would think that other things that are effective against the common cold would help. Zinc logenzes and chicken soup.

9 posted on 04/07/2003 7:05:16 PM PDT by DannyTN (Note left on my door by a pack of neighborhood dogs.)
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To: DannyTN
I'm not a doctor, nor do I play one on Freerepublic, but my gut instinct tells me that this is NOT going to be a big problem in the U.S., with the exception of the elderly and the infirm (like any other viral infection).

10 posted on 04/07/2003 7:32:27 PM PDT by Jeff Chandler ( ;)
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To: CathyRyan; Mother Abigail; Dog Gone; Petronski; per loin; riri; flutters; InShanghai
Are zinc lozenges of any use in avoiding infection?
11 posted on 04/07/2003 7:45:43 PM PDT by aristeides
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To: DannyTN
At that rate we could see 500,000 cases in the next month, world wide

If that's the case, I might recommend-cashing in the 401K, liquidating other investments--heading to CostCo, stocking up, paying the bills for the next year, placing a do not disturb sign on the door and chilling for the foreseeable future.

12 posted on 04/07/2003 7:50:03 PM PDT by riri
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To: boris
Reading between the lines,

I see too many "mays" in this text - this is more akin to WAG (Wild *ssed Guessing) than anything else (like panic) ...

13 posted on 04/07/2003 7:50:34 PM PDT by _Jim ( // NASA has a better safety record than NASCAR \\)
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To: Mears
I agree, this stuff has been on and off the radar for weeks.

Something fishy here.

The old, young, and infirm, as has been stated are most at risk.

But what I wanna know is the demo's of who has died from this.

Captain Trips bump.
14 posted on 04/07/2003 9:21:07 PM PDT by Stopislamnow (Because tomorrow we'll all be dead and won't be able to)
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To: DannyTN
That mystery virus that hit Madagascar last summer also had a fatality rate of 4%. After the end of Aug., when 22,000 people had become infected, WHO went in there and suddenly there was no more reporting about it. I looked for weeks afterwards for new information but it had been wiped off the radar. (tinfoil hat off)
15 posted on 04/08/2003 2:16:42 AM PDT by DBtoo
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