Posted on 07/25/2003 1:34:44 AM PDT by Elle Bee
Edited on 04/22/2004 11:49:30 PM PDT by Jim Robinson. [history]
The recall of Gov. Gray Davis is heading for a fall election. "It'll be covered like a mini-presidential race," says GOP consultant Joe Shumate -- and watched like a thriller movie. Part of the reason will be Arnold Schwarzenegger, who, his campaign advisers believe, will be running -- or starring, to put it in Hollywood idiom, in a political sequel to his "Total Recall."
(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...
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July 25, 2003 |
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Governor Moonbeam
California Governor Gray Davis will now officially face a recall vote, but he's still in denial about the reason. The Democrat is blaming a "hostile takeover by the right" and "partisan mischief." Introspection is not his strong suit. The world is supposed to believe that the 1.4 million voters -- 500,000 more than required -- who signed petitions were all manipulated by a few rowdy Republicans. And that his 26% approval rating has nothing to do with the energy crisis he helped create or the $12 billion surplus of five years ago that he's turned into today's $38 billion deficit. Voters also aren't supposed to care that in last year's campaign Mr. Davis misled them about both the magnitude of the state's fiscal problems and how he planned to raise taxes. This is the same sort of buck-passing that got the Governor here in the first place. Far from a "coup," the recall is entirely constitutional, put in place in 1911 to remove "dishonest, incapable or unsatisfactory" public servants. Mr. Davis has earned this honor. The election itself, slated for October 7, is bound to be messy. Voters will decide if Mr. Davis should go, and if so who should replace him. Potential candidates are still sorting themselves out, and the threshold for qualification is low. Which means a small number of voters could ultimately elect the next state governor. So be it. The fate of Gray Davis is a powerful lesson for unresponsive political elites in both parties.
Updated July 25, 2003 |
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The fate of Gray Davis is a powerful lesson for unresponsive political elites in both parties.
... but I doubt they will notice
.
I think that's too shallow a read on the proposal
I believe it is keyed to revenue increase ... it's not an entitlement with a life of it's own
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Do people think because he kills lots of people in his movies that he'll make a good conservative?
Anyone have any facts they can share on this man's thoughts on conservative policies? So far all I've seen convinces me that he's not the choice people need in CA.
I'll reread the above posts, but from what LITTLE I've heard, Arnold is NOT the man for the job.
But I finally decided to sign a recall petition because Arnold said some terrific funny things chiding Democrats. A spoonful of sugar to make the medicine go down. As long as we are going to suffer through this correction of our course, we might as well be entertained and have someone open the eyes of voters to the failings of Democrats and the good points of Republicans.
Arnold is a Republican. He is not a conservative as defined by Jim Robinson. But he can be a bridge to a more informed electorate, and a better run State.
I hope he is going to run.
One advantage to Arnold running (and I am trying to think of this dispassionately, as I am not a Californian) is that his election would give Republicans time to get their act together out there. If he can pull some Hispanics into the party and browbeat the Assembly into a reasonable budget, it would help the state's Republicans get a toe-hold and develop a wider base.
No, he isn't conservative, but the issues in which he is NOT conservative are also issues in which he has zero influence, since they are all addressed by federal legislation or court decisions.
Plus, he would get media coverage and he wouldn't have to get name recognition.
Actually, for some, yes. Ever wonder why more Hollyweird types refuse to run for office ? They can't afford the loss of income which would seriously crimp their style. If Ah-nold doesn't run (and we're getting conflicting info), one reason he'd decline is over the salary issue. He may have millions in the bank, but most of these people need to have those millions keep coming. Win office and that stops.
"One advantage to Arnold running (and I am trying to think of this dispassionately, as I am not a Californian) is that his election would give Republicans time to get their act together out there. If he can pull some Hispanics into the party and browbeat the Assembly into a reasonable budget, it would help the state's Republicans get a toe-hold and develop a wider base."
And it's a reasonable conclusion, but it won't work. Why ? Because RINO Governors prove devastating and divisive to the primary and to the base. I just had 8 years of a RINO Governor and his parting gift to us was the loss of a Congressional seat and a brand new 'Rat Governor and a seriously fractured base. No RINO Governor in recent memory anywhere in the U.S. left their party in better shape leaving office then going in, and I can go over that state by state. Since you're in Indiana, and it's been almost 20 years since a Republican was last elected there (and hopefully we'll get in Mitch Daniels), do you think someone with the voting record of Baron Hill or Julia Carson running as a Republican would do much for the state GOP ? Even Frank O'Bannon would be better than Ah-nold.
"No, he isn't conservative, but the issues in which he is NOT conservative are also issues in which he has zero influence, since they are all addressed by federal legislation or court decisions."
Some, meaning he couldn't sign into a law an outright ban on abortion, but as for other issues, he could conceivably worsen the situation on other issues that are clearly wrong-headed and anathema to the party. I submit he is not a fiscal conservative in the least, which, at the moment, is an absolute necessity. We can't just elect an "R" for the sake of an "R", they have to stand for the principles we hold dear, otherwise they just enact the other party's agenda and destroy our integrity.
"Plus, he would get media coverage and he wouldn't have to get name recognition."
We could run a pig for Governor, dress it up real pretty and get tons of media coverage, but no matter how you slice it, it's still a pig. Tom McClintock is the only one who fits the bill.
I think Arnold is smarter than people think...if you will notice in the article it talks about his real estate holdings. Thus, I don't think that money is a prime motivator for him.
As I said, it is just my idle, uninvolved comment.
Indiana needs Mitch Daniels to be governor, and I wish McIntosh would drop out of the race. Instead I see he is going to start running ads now. He is not suitable for the governorship, as I consider him a poor administrator. He ran a poor campaign and had no way to connect to the swing voter.
I am certain he will lose in the primary, but I don't like to see the party go through any divisiveness, especially because the Rat running will no doubt be that poisonous little dweeb Joe Andrew, last seen heading the DNC during the Gore campaign. UGH.
Similar story in Arizona. That said, the short timeframe of this election and Davis's unscrupulous tactics and his machine's political skills have me leaning to Arnold, too.
Since Ah-nuld Schwarzekennedy is liberal across-the-board (including "fiscal" policies), essentially you're saying he wouldn't have influence over ANYTHING.
("I'll be back in another movie as soon as I milk all this free publicity for "T3" by pretending to run for governor.")
Isn't it amazing that all of from states with RINO governors had the same experience? Hell, even the same thing happens internationally (the PRI would be dead in Mexico today if not for the "conservative" President governing to the LEFT of them) Not that Kalifornians will pay attention. We're being "unreasonable" by telling them that RINO governors accomlish nothing. Oh well.
In 1998, our RINO governor pledged he would NOT raise taxes under ANY circumstance, that he believed in keeping a "tight lid" on spending, and "living within our means" ("fiscal conservative", right?) and that he was "personally" pro-life ("except in cases of rape or incest") even though he didn't like talking about it in public and picked an PROUD pro-abortion running mate.
Here's what Gov. George Ryan (R) got us in Illinois during his reign:
*State "fees" (alcahol taxes, driver's licenses) tripled
* Taxpayer funded abortion (he vetoed the bill that would have ended it)
*Lotsa fun new gun laws
*Health insurance coverage for those nice gay "partnerships"
*Taxpayer funded trip to Cuba so George could heap praise on Fidel Castro
* Free goodies for illegal alien drivers (including one who ran over some kids in Wisconsin because he couldn't read road signs in English) * A RAT-legislature gobbling up pork and fawning about how much he had "grown" in office
* All our murderers on death row getting blanket amnesty from our "compassionate Republican" governor * Plenty of nice endorsements for "moderate" Democrats who would beat those evil "hard right" Republicans who DARE critize King George
* A RAT sweep in 2002 thanks to blaming all the higher taxes on "corrupt Republican rule" (nevermind the fact that the 'RAT-controlled legislature passed George's "temporary fee increases" in the first place)
* A laughable 'RAT governor in 2002 ("Roderick Blagojevich, hair-sprayed galore Chicago congresscritter) who wouldn't have been elected dogcatcher, except he got to blame everything on George and run as the candidate of "change" (since then, he's continued everyone one of George's liberal programs)
Electing RINOs is really helpful, isn't it?
So I take it he is not in favor of closing the border? Any ideas of his stance on this?
Arnold's sense of humor and propensity for playing mind games were well displayed in Pumpin' Iron
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"Arnold wins."
California and the GOP loses.
I think more of the leftist 'Rat types ought to run, that way they get a taste of the medicine they give out.
"I think Arnold is smarter than people think...if you will notice in the article it talks about his real estate holdings. Thus, I don't think that money is a prime motivator for him."
It depends on one's definition of smart. Just because he has real estate ownings doesn't change the fact he's still a down-the-line liberal. I'm sure his Kennedy family in-laws own tons of real estate.
"Indiana needs Mitch Daniels to be governor, and I wish McIntosh would drop out of the race. Instead I see he is going to start running ads now. He is not suitable for the governorship, as I consider him a poor administrator. He ran a poor campaign and had no way to connect to the swing voter."
I agree that McIntosh should probably drop out. Daniels might either offer him or Murray Clark (Clark was the one I switched to, I believe after you mentioned him to me many months ago) the number #2 slot. McIntosh I think is still a good guy, but he had a tough race in '00 as it was. At the time, no one could come up with a truly compelling reason to toss O'Bannon (though it's clear they could now if he was eligible for a 3rd term).
"I am certain he will lose in the primary, but I don't like to see the party go through any divisiveness, especially because the Rat running will no doubt be that poisonous little dweeb Joe Andrew, last seen heading the DNC during the Gore campaign. UGH."
My one concern about Daniels initially was that he was too much an "inside-the-beltway" type of guy (since I believe he has never held office before). One big thing, as with our shared neighbor, Kentucky, is the one-party fatigue has set in. Since no Republican would've been elected in 20 years in IN, the people probably think it's time for a change. Unless Daniels proves a totally inept campaigner, I think he'll do OK against Andrew.
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| "Consider that a divorce." |
That leaves Daniels, McIntosh, the mayor of Petersburg, and someone else who is a "conservative activist." There was another state senator running, but he also dropped out and threw his support to Daniels.
I believe that the mayor of Petersburg will be offered the lt. gov. spot (which would help in southern Indiana) and Daniels will win.
McIntosh is a very nice man, and is a true conservative. He needs to be in legislative-type work, for which he is more suitable. I wonder why he isn't running for the Senate?
That's too bad he won't.
"That leaves Daniels, McIntosh, the mayor of Petersburg, and someone else who is a "conservative activist." There was another state senator running, but he also dropped out and threw his support to Daniels. I believe that the mayor of Petersburg will be offered the lt. gov. spot (which would help in southern Indiana) and Daniels will win."
Is Petersburg in Baron Hill's district ? If it is, perhaps the guy is a future candidate for his seat. Hill is way too liberal for that seat.
"McIntosh is a very nice man, and is a true conservative. He needs to be in legislative-type work, for which he is more suitable. I wonder why he isn't running for the Senate?"
You're right, he should. I think this assumption that Bayh is some unbeatable juggernaut may be misplaced. Indiana is still a Republican state, if only we'd learn to act like winners.
"I just had a horrible thought. If Andrew is nominated, do you think Gore will campaign for him? The horror, the horror!"
Pray for it. If that guy so badly wants to lose, he should not only bring in my idiot ex-Senator, but both Clintons as well. So should Mr. Bayh.
Bayh won't want any of them in the state, and Andrew will. Much entertainment should ensue.
I wasn't for this recall up until it seemed inevitable. I thought it was better that Davis take the heat when the chickens came home to roost, which they haven't yet as we don't have a budget yet.
I'm not a "conservative", I'm an American, and currently a Republican. I also know the insanity of my state, and don't intend to waste my vote on a nonstarter. Simon, and conservatives, had their chance in 2002, and you all blew it. I hope the smiling manikin doesn't try to screw it up again by running again, but then he isn't that inclined to look at the big picture.
You can't separate any of those three. As soon as the GOP rejects Conservatism, it dies. It's that simple. I'd be more than happy to give you examples of that.
"I also know the insanity of my state, and don't intend to waste my vote on a nonstarter."
Well, then I'm happy to hear you won't be voting for Ah-nold or Zsa Zsa.
"Simon, and conservatives, had their chance in 2002, and you all blew it."
Keep believing that, because you're wrong. You want to make this a referendum on conservative ideals being a loser, and you'll lose. It's RINO liberalism that is the clear loser, and a string of candidates throughout the '90s from John Seymour to Bruce McPherson in the last election that makes that perfectly clear. Simon lost because #1 he ran a piss-poor fall campaign, and #2 because he was sabotaged by RINOs (Gerry Parsky, Brooks Firestone, and Gerry Parsky, and did I mention Gerry Parsky ?), the hard-left CA media and the Davis minions. Even if he had run a spectacular campaign, as long as we have the Parsky creeps preferring Davis (and, yes, he DID prefer Davis rather than allow a REAL Republican win, and we've got cretins like that in almost every state, but most of them are rightly shown the door rather than given the keys to the house), it's still going to be nearly impossible to overcome in a general election. I'm not supporting Simon this time around, since I believe Tom McClintock to be the far superior candidate. McClintock, running an unapologetic conservative campaign, did better than ANY other Republican candidate last November, and he deserves a clear shot at the top job. Why ? Because he's been fighting to keep that sinking perverted mess known as California from becoming that much more so. If it wasn't for people like him, your taxes, your "fees" and your freedom would evaporate faster than spilled water in Death Valley. I suggest before you take to bashing conservatives as "losers" that you remember what they stand for and contrast that with what the RINOs want. RINOs do everything the Democrat party wants, they just do it with a phony "R" after their names. I've had enough of them to last a lifetime.
"If Arnold runs" "Arnold wins." California and the GOP loses.Are we going to have one of these silly arguments again? Look, it's simple: I and a lot of very conservative Republicans favor Arnold, notwithstanding his selection of liberal stances, because we believe that he can win AND that a more conservative candidate, like McClintock, cannot. If we believed McClintock could win if vigorously supported, we'd vigorously support him. If you stop insinuating that we are traitors, then we'll try to stop insinuating that you are throwing the baby out with the bathwater.
Well, it looks like we are. I would think that on a "Conservative" forum, some would "get it" by now.
"Look, it's simple: I and a lot of very conservative Republicans favor Arnold, notwithstanding his selection of liberal stances, because we believe that he can win AND that a more conservative candidate, like McClintock, cannot."
Then I submit that you and that "lot of very conservative Republicans" are neither conservative nor particularly Republican. What part of "Ah-nold's winning brings us NOTHING" do you guys continue to fail to comprehend ? Bill Clinton himself could probably win the Governorship of California, as he did handily carry the state twice. Since we're so "desperate" to win with a letter of the alphabet more pleasing-sounding to the ears, regardless of ANY principles, why don't we convince him to run as a Republican ? You'll get EXACTLY the same in the end.
"If we believed McClintock could win if vigorously supported, we'd vigorously support him."
And I, and others on here have told you guys repeatedly why the man is qualified to run, what his principles are, about his outstanding (in the face of being overwhelmingly outspent) run last November on unapologetic "Conservative" principles, and you keep clinging to this misguided (and repeatedly proven-wrong) claim that only a RINO can win California. With all due respect, sir, if that was the case, then show me all of those RINOs we've run over the past 11 years occupying the Senate seats, the statewide offices, and on and on. You'll note there are exactly none.
"If you stop insinuating that we are traitors, then we'll try to stop insinuating that you are throwing the baby out with the bathwater."
We'll stop with our "insinuations" when you stop with this advocating of non-Republican candidates that do nothing for conservatism, do nothing for the party, and do nothing for the state with which they get elected from. RINOs will always be a cancer on the party, and until they decide to either get with the program and learn what it means to be a real Republican instead of undermining it and seeking to enact the 'Rat party agenda or doing us all a favor and switching to the 'Rats, these "silly arguments" will continue for the forseeable future.
I'll add this, BTW, if you are so desperate to run Ah-nold, then have him run (as his good buddy Ventura did in Minnesota) as an Independent. That way when he proves as inept and destructive as every other liberal Governor, assuming he is elected, he doesn't take the Republican Party down with him. At least Ventura didn't try to be disingenuous and run as a Republican, since if he had, we'd have a 'Rat Governor there, a few more 'Rat Congressmen, a 'Rat legislature, and Sen. Wally Mondale today. Unless you consider that a positive...
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