Posted on 08/21/2003 9:10:55 AM PDT by show me state
Edited on 07/12/2004 3:40:35 PM PDT by Jim Robinson. [history]
I have been studying this subject since 1971, so there.
My methods of generation of choice include:
(1) Nuclear power;
(2) Methane clathrates (far term);
(3) The vast deposits of coal and shale oil available in this country;
(4) The even vaster deposits of oil in Canada;
(5) ANWR;
(6) More exploration.
We could reduce our need for energy if ignorant gits with unpronouncable nicks decided to emmigrate to the third world, where their 'energy burden' (and lifespan) is much reduced. I'll buy you a ticket.
"Live light on the land," and scratch for grubs outside your mud hut. Forego the benefits of modern technology, such as PCs, automobiles, medical technology, television and radio, air travel, etc.
I will buy you a one-way ticket to the third-world nation of your choice (first class) if you agree to emigrate there and never return. I am completely serious. Name the country, the date, and the airline. Contact me by freepmail and your ticket will be delivered.
--Boris
Right now, there is no price advantage, but there IS an efficiency advantage. As mass production price advantages kick in and fuel prices continue to rise, breakeven will be reached and passed (a typical automobile is FAR more complex than a microturbine, yet costs much less--why?? Mass production).
Let's face it, most people are lazy. Most don't even change their own spark plugs in the car, would most maintain a power plant?
Microturbines require very little maintenance (the biggest is changing an air filter). Those that can do their own maintenance will do so, the rest will have someone come in and do a service call--just as is necessary with gas central heating systems today. How many people do you know who maintain their own central heating/AC systems??
These are downsides that I would bet bring the reliability of these little power generators down to the same level as a national grid with central power stations with more personal hassle."
Oh, PLEASE. How much unreliabilty is involved with having a propane truck drop by a few times a year and refill the tank (as they do for me now, to maintain my BACKUP GAS HEAT, since here in the Puget Sound area, GRID-SUPPLIED electricity is quite unreliable in winter due to failure of the electrical utilites to properly maintain their transmission lines by trimming the damned trees or putting the lines underground)?? Pipelines are another question--to absolutely assure reliability, they would need complete backup power (100% reliable) for their pumping stations--which is NOT exactly rocket science.
Major pipelines do blowup, pumping stations do blow up. A pipeline outage with everybody making their own electricity from natural gas would be much more serious than the blackout that just occurred. It could be weeks before full service is restored depending on what failed, if there are spares, or if a new installation is required. The cost of installing more high capacity long haul pipelines would cause the cost of natural gas to rise even more than it already has.
With regard to efficiency, I agree that a micro turbine would be more efficient than a coal plant. But cost to produce and deliver the power is the bottom line. The micro turbine would have the advantage of no delivery cost, but fuel will eat your lunch.
And propane or LNG delivery can be interrupted too. If there is no supply at the tank farm, the truck can't deliver it. I agree it could be rare, but then again, major blackouts are rare too.
To sum it up, I'm not against a microturbine, I'd even like to have one myself. But as the answer to our nation's energy cost and relibility, I think it will end up costing more to operate than what we already have and will not be any more reliable on the whole.
You're right, giving people a choice is just awful...Tear down those "hydro" dams starting with the Hoover and replace them with pollution belching coal burners...
As if the power could be separated out and routed to your house...only "clean" power for me!
In other words if say 50% of electricity consumers exercised a choice to use "clean" power it would have no impact?...Or maybe we should not allow "clean" power to be developed or marketed..
Has logic always been a problem for you?
I think we have a machine that can produce perpetual motion!! This is not possible, we might be able to approach 100%, but we can never get there. As a matter of fact, the closer you get to perfection, the more difficult it gets to get the next 1%. The costs and complexity begin to skyrocket. The cost for the received benefit becomes too much. This applies to all energy efficiencies, not just microturbines.
If you include the efficiency of getting the fuel gas from the well head to the pipeline to the microturbine BEFORE you begin making the electricity, Distributed Generation DOES NOT avoid the transmission waste, it merely moves it's location in the chain of events. You really do need to include that in the analysis if you are looking at this as a national energy policy.
As I have said before, it is the cost to the homeowner, business, and economy that counts, NOT the efficiency that matters.Do not believe that natural gas will remain cheap or get cheaper. Pipelines are expensive to install and maintain, and we do not have enough of them. There is also the problem with the dimishing well output going on even though well drilling has increased. We could end up having to import LNG and be held hostage to foreign exporters again. COAL AND NUCLEAR IS THE ANSWER that we have right now, not years down the road. Some of these other exotic fuel sources are also something to be explored, like methane from the ocean floor.
ARRGHHH!!! You just proved yourself to be an nitwit. What we are talking about is capturing the waste heat AS HEAT--NOT ELECTRICITY, by using it for space heating. That can and does capture 100% of the energy in the fuel for human use (at least during the heating season of the year). Now, admittedly, if you want to use PART of that waste heat IN SUMMER to run an air conditioner (desorption type), THEN there IS some wasteage and added complexity--but you STILL capture far more of the fuel energy than the best combined-cycle central power station can possibly do.
Hydro is fine, except that all the useful sources are already fully exploited. And the scam is persuading the logically-challenged that the DW&P can send only "primo" water-derived power right to their house for only 25% more per kW.
"In other words if say 50% of electricity consumers exercised a choice to use "clean" power it would have no impact?...Or maybe we should not allow "clean" power to be developed or marketed.."
Better read up on your Adam Smith. 50% of the consumers are unlikely to be fools...defined as those who make uneconomic and non-optimal decisions regarding commodities--like power--they consume. A small minority--at -3sigma on the bell curve--will line up to pay more for--as I said--nothing at all.
As for logic, I got "A"s in both logic and economics, as well as Engineering. You?
--Boris
I'll avoid the name calling part. But even the waste heat use, either for hot water or air conditioner, is not 100% efficient since there is always a heat loss due to less than perfect insulation, and friction losses in the pipes the fluids are pumped though. The use of a pump to pump the coolant or move the hot water is an efficiency loss by itself. I was only trying to point out that there is nothing that is 100% efficient. I'm not trying to say the process is not efficient.
I got an e-mail from some guy who is promising 101%.
He mentioned that the radio station had just bought a new generator and was willing to sell their old one at a reasonable cost. I think it was a 20,000 watt diesel but could be wrong. Of course this was too big for my use although if I knew I was not going to move back to my home in Florida I might have considered it.
The thing which intrigued me was that although I would have used it only for emergencies, I calculated the cost of producing electricity based on fuel cost alone and it was cheaper than the co-op was charging.
The first thing one must do to boil water is to burn something; if a ready supply of fuel is available he can burn that, boil water and turn something.
If one lives in Arizona, one must kiss the butt of the big boys who have water and fuel.
--Boris
Tesla's AC could be transmitted hundreds of miles; Edison's DC for maybe hundreds of yards.
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