Posted on 09/04/2003 10:02:40 PM PDT by FreepForever
Informed diplomatic sources said China’s authority is feeling increasingly “uneasy” towards the North Korean nuclear deadlock, as tension mounts. Beijing had secretly made military arrangement according to the N Korean crisis. 150,000 PLA Armies were sent to the Sino-Korean border to substitute the local Military Police (WuJing Budui) stationing there, in preparation for any possible American attack on N Korea.
This military maneuver on the Sino-Korean border was quietly made when the six-party talk was still taking place in Beijing. A total of three Field Army Groups (total 150,000 men) are now being deployed. According to PLA organization, one Field Army Group (YeZhan JunTuan) is equivalent to 50,000 men, consisting of 3 infantry divisions, 1 heavy-armor division and 1 artillery division.
Although the Military Police is also under the PLA, replacing the border forces with those with combat capability has more implications than strengthening the border control. This is not only to prevent a sudden flood of N Korean refugees. The more important task is: a contingency plan for a possible American attack on N Korea.
Once the Korean Peninsula situation lost control and the nuclear crisis cannot be solved through peaceful means, an Iraq war style massive air attack followed by ground troops advance is expected. The PLA forces at the border can avoid chaos and quickly seal the border.
After Hu Jintao took office, China’s policy toward N Korea has experienced major change. According to the report, even if an American attack on N Korea becomes a reality, China’s forces will abstain from joining the war. To prevent the possibility of war, China is working hard for a peaceful solution and tried not to posture herself as an opposition of America.
China and North Korea have signed a “Sino-Korean Joint-Security Pact” -- military aid must be provided when either side is under the military attack from a foreign force. To prevent getting involved in an American-Korean conflict, China is now reviewing the alteration of the terms of this treaty and has entered the deliberation stage.
China has got to convey a message to Kim Jong-Il: Do not expect China to continue with the “Resist U.S. Aggression and Aid Korea (kangmei yuanchao)” policy from 1950-53. Today’s reality is: if a peaceful solution fails, Beijing will not send troops to N Korea to assist their fighting. Instead, they will send troops to close the border. They hope that this change of posture can tell Kim to stay in line with the Big Brother (China) and try to solve the stalemate with America with an earnest attitude.
Photo Caption: Hu Jintao is disgusted with Jiang Zemin’s Korean policy.
The Red Chinese are saying that, if North Korea will not throw off Stalinism, it will be Red China, and not Russia, that will settle North Korean matters that may spread beyond the borders to the west, north and northeast.
"I am given to understand" that Russia, Japan, and South Korea are all lined up to continue many modernization projects regarding North Korea's infrastructure.
In a way, the noise coming from North Korea, is a cover-up --- the higher-ups protesting through communist channels, about the threat to communism; but the "axis" of Stalinism isn't interested.
The North Korean masters know that they are miserable landlords and time is now short. They are going to be replaced. They are trying, through "solidarity" to buy some time.
Their difficulty is that they are not generous, enterprising souls, and there's no place for them in North Korea's future. Though they like to think that with time, they can change.
Well, time is running out.
That is why they played the nuclear card.
Too late; does not matter; they have no future.
Their choices are now, go quietly or don't go quietly.
If loudly, then Red China has asserted certain of its military options.
Interestingly enough, a similar game is being played out in Zimbabwe. Mubage has been informed by the winds, the birds, the land, sea, and air, if you will, that he should just go away, too.
Unlike Saddam, Mugabe has no place to hide. He's a marked man; and easily so.
Of course, and as usual, IMHO.
The "commies" have watched the news and gotten the gist of, He who has cheap labor, wins.
As predicted, they will play the game of monopoly for labor, as the Arabs have for oil.
Terrorism, in all flavors.
Frankly, the countries that are safe are the ones supplying the requests for cheap labor and the ones paying for the goods that are produced.
Therein is the lesson on survival.
If we let too much of our own breadwinning capacity get away, we become a threat because our labor becomes cheap as we go broke.
The only piece of the puzzle missing is the U.S. "nuclear umbrella" over Japan. I'm not sure of the condition that old shield these days.
Have the Japanese people become convinced of their need for maintaining their own nuclear weapons and the means to deliver them?
A new owner bought the plant in town that makes specialty papers (cigarette and bible). The first thing he did was tell the union that everyone would have to take a 10% pay cut if the plant was to stay in business.
Now these workers - many of whom had worked there for over twenty years - were making roughly twice the going rate around here. But they went out on strike rather than take the cut.
After a year of "negotiations", the plant shut down and 1000 people are out of work permanently. What kind of job can you get when you've operated the same machine for twenty years and don't know anything else? Not one making $20 per hour in North Carolina, that's for sure.
The young ones have moved on to other states, and the old ones have gone on the dole.
But me, I'm lowering my expectations gracefully. I'm learning to love living on a fraction of what I was earning twenty years ago. It's good training for the Social Security years...
As I recall they did shut down the oil line to Kim for a short period to remind him who was calling the shots.
What I don't understand, is why the PRC doesn't shut it down and bring him to his knees. It seems so simple to me; but then I'm sure not an expert, far from it.
Thank you for posting this article, and for your analysis.
What is gonna really worry them is the thought of a Japanese occupied North Korea. They are quite capable of moving in, securing the country and giving it to the South Koreans to forstall that. After all South Korea is now a major trading partner of the PRC
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