If the numbers remain static and don't improve beyond the first 20,000, you'd be right. But if those 20K first set the example for twenty thousand, fifty thousand, a hundred thousand more, it's not only very possible, but likely that there'll be at least some successful results from the migration of the Porcupines.
I seem to recall that during the Clinton-Bush I election, some 20% of the voters were sufficiently disgusted with the choice between Tweedledum and Tweedledumber that one in five of them voted for a third choice instead.
In 24 months, the FSP picked up the initial 5000 pledged members required to hold the vote selecting the state in which the experiment is to continue; that's a full year ahead of the projected schedule when the planners expected the numbers to be sufficient to be held; sur-prise, sur-prise!
If that snowballing support and attention continues to increase as it has over those last 24 months, look for that pioneering 20,000 to be on board in another 24 months or so, though again, that's well ahead of the planned schedule. But it is not unknown for a popular movement to pick up momentum and support, growing exponentially as the word gets out. And it is indeed getting out.
If so, the first 20,000 will not at all be the cap of the FSP total effective numbers, but just the beginning, and successes in the goal state will likely attract even more supporters. We shall see.
But the growth curve over the last 24 months cannot be ignored. And if it continues? Well, take a look, and figure your own projection from the past results. The numbers show no sign of flattening on the graph....
-archy-/-
