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FRED BARNES-today said: Latest Gallup Poll was 47-48% Democrat and Democrat leaning sample
Brit Hume Special Report | September 23,2003 | Fred Barnes

Posted on 09/23/2003 7:35:57 PM PDT by Lady In Blue

I heard Fred Barnes say today on Special Report during the panel discussion that the latest Gallup Poll was done on a weekend and that the sample was 47-48%! I read a day or so ago that it was a weekend poll but I hadn't heard that the sample{Democrat)was that large. Can anybody add to what Fred said or from another source about this poll? Thanks.


TOPICS: Front Page News; Government; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: poll
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1 posted on 09/23/2003 7:35:58 PM PDT by Lady In Blue
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To: Lady In Blue
http://www.andrewsullivan.com/


Sullivan picked up on that as well.

"BY THE WAY: Do most national polls have 48 percent Democrats, like the CNN/USA Today poll? It seems pretty loaded in that direction to me. Where are all the Independents?"
2 posted on 09/23/2003 7:37:24 PM PDT by Pikamax
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To: Lady In Blue
Telephone polls are worthless. Only people who participate are lonely and/or bored.
3 posted on 09/23/2003 7:37:41 PM PDT by garbanzo (Free people will set the course of history)
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To: Pikamax
GO FRED! ALWAYS GOOD NEWS!
4 posted on 09/23/2003 7:38:01 PM PDT by republicanwizard
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To: Lady In Blue
You may wish to look at:
http://www.pollingreport.com/cong2004.htm

Michael M. Bates: My Side of the Swamp

5 posted on 09/23/2003 7:38:55 PM PDT by mikeb704
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To: Lady In Blue
I heard him say that on the show, as well. He said something about the fact that those types of polls are done on weekends when more Dems are home...etc.
6 posted on 09/23/2003 7:39:31 PM PDT by MasonGal
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To: Pikamax
Thanks,Pikamax! I'll check out your link.
7 posted on 09/23/2003 7:39:40 PM PDT by Lady In Blue
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To: garbanzo
With caller ID, the telephone poll sampling is getting worse by the day. If I don't know someone, I don't answer!
8 posted on 09/23/2003 7:39:48 PM PDT by PhiKapMom (Alpha Omnicron Pi Mom too! -- Visit http://www.georgewbush.com!)
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To: garbanzo
"Telephone polls are worthless. Only people who participate are lonely and/or bored."

And yet that's how polling is done nowadays.

9 posted on 09/23/2003 7:40:33 PM PDT by cookcounty
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To: PhiKapMom
If I don't know someone, I don't answer!

A typically conservative attitude. No wonder these polls are so screwy. I don't talk to pollsters either.

10 posted on 09/23/2003 7:42:09 PM PDT by Pearls Before Swine (South-south-west, south, south-east, east....)
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To: PhiKapMom
With caller ID, the telephone poll sampling is getting worse by the day. If I don't know someone, I don't answer!

Well, that explains why I thought you are never home.

11 posted on 09/23/2003 7:42:09 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: garbanzo
You could be right, all I know is that I've never been polled. I guess I'm not the only one. I've never heard of anybody that I know that's ever been polled either.
12 posted on 09/23/2003 7:43:38 PM PDT by Lady In Blue
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To: PhiKapMom
I've had this weird thought buzzing around my head for days, I don't think we really have all these Democratic presidential candidates out there. It bothers me that they are rarely critical of each other, and spend damned near their entire time beating on Bush.

These guys are actually assassins, chipping away at Bush, and trying to figure out whether the president could be beaten or not, and weakening him as much as possible in the meantime.

I don't think we've seen the real Democratic candidate yet.
13 posted on 09/23/2003 7:45:35 PM PDT by Luis Gonzalez ("As a nation of freemen, we must live through all time, or die by suicide." - Abraham Lincoln)
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To: Lady In Blue
Be thou of stout heart, there are many shoes to drop between now and November 2004.
14 posted on 09/23/2003 7:46:22 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (Por La Raza Mierda.)
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To: mikeb704
Thanks for the info.
15 posted on 09/23/2003 7:46:40 PM PDT by Lady In Blue
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To: Lady In Blue
"Howard, Isn't Fred Barnes a liar, part of the Washington Ideologues, The Hardliners; The War-Hawks, The Neocons? - HAH!"
16 posted on 09/23/2003 7:46:58 PM PDT by Pubbie ("Last time I checked, he doesn't have a vote" - Tom DeLay on Ari Fleischer's demand for Tax-Rebates)
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To: Lady In Blue
Its WAAAAAY too early to get worked up over these polls. There is tons of news that will happen between now and November '04 - and the final news cycle that happens within 72 hours of the election will have a huge impact.

Besides, the public hasn't even begun to analyze the platform of whatever the dumbocrat running against Bush has to offer. Relaxxxxxx.
17 posted on 09/23/2003 7:47:28 PM PDT by Diverdogz
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To: MasonGal
Thanks,MasonGal for confirming what I heard him say. It sure made me feel better,especially since I hadn't heard the part about the sample.
18 posted on 09/23/2003 7:47:46 PM PDT by Lady In Blue
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To: Lady In Blue
Weekend polls are bad as all the Republicans are at the golf course,tennis club,summer home ,or on their yachts.... where as the Dems are at home trying to get their relatives to return the $15.00 they stole, so they pay last June's rent...
19 posted on 09/23/2003 7:47:57 PM PDT by woofie
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To: woofie
Polls are worthless. The only polls that matter are the polls on election day (or polls who say whichever candidate I like and support are ahead -- then it is a GOOD POLL to site here and anywhere else).
20 posted on 09/23/2003 7:49:48 PM PDT by jraven
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To: garbanzo
Telephone polls are worthless.

How else can they hold up those wires?

21 posted on 09/23/2003 7:51:03 PM PDT by Jeff Chandler (This tagline has been suspended or banned.)
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To: Luis Gonzalez
That ain't a weird thought. It is a given fact. They are pathetic assassins.
22 posted on 09/23/2003 7:51:21 PM PDT by FreeAtlanta
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To: Luis Gonzalez
I have been wondering the same thing but the date for them to declare is coming fast. They all attack Bush like it is orchestrated by the Clintons. The only one I can see them having trouble controlling is Dean -- so I figure they will tank him.

It is pretty bad when they start really slanting polls against the President. Have a hunch Pres Bush is going to win in a landslide and the RATs are going to pay for all these attacks while we have our military men and women fighting overseas. Never did think that Hillary Clinton was too attuned politically even though she won NY. She is the Republicans best fundraiser when she donates to an opponent of the Republican.

If Hillary decides to run, the money Republicans will take in to fight the Clintons will be enormous.

Next few months should prove very interesting!
23 posted on 09/23/2003 7:51:34 PM PDT by PhiKapMom (Alpha Omnicron Pi Mom too! -- Visit http://www.georgewbush.com!)
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To: Diverdogz
I know you're right,it's just that it was something of a shock for me to see something like that at first. Carl Cameron said this evening that Republicans(White House?)have been saying since April that the President's numbers would go down and that his numbers are within the margin of error.
24 posted on 09/23/2003 7:51:36 PM PDT by Lady In Blue
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To: PhiKapMom
I have caller ID...if it came up "Polling Co." I'd pick up.

Mostly I get "Out of Area" and lately a new "Private Caller". My wife gives me ugly looks when "private caller" would come up! lol

And if I look up their phone number and area code on the Internet and it's not listed in white and yellow pages, I'm leary.

I did get three or four calls in two weeks from some place in Denver, could have been a polling firm as far as I know. If they don't leave a message I don't care either.

25 posted on 09/23/2003 7:52:19 PM PDT by Fledermaus (While Bush doesn't usually please my conservative heart, no DimbulboRat can keep us safe!)
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To: All
For some reason and I've heard it said before that more Democrats are home on weekends and are more likely to answer their phones when they're home.
26 posted on 09/23/2003 7:53:48 PM PDT by Terp (Retired US Navy now living in Philippines were the Moutains meet the Sea in the Land of Smiles)
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To: Mike Darancette
Thanks,Mike! I'll try and remember that when things get a little bumpy!
27 posted on 09/23/2003 7:55:31 PM PDT by Lady In Blue
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To: Pubbie
hehehehehe!
28 posted on 09/23/2003 7:56:17 PM PDT by Lady In Blue
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To: Dog Gone
ROFLOL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
29 posted on 09/23/2003 7:57:05 PM PDT by PhiKapMom (Alpha Omnicron Pi Mom too! -- Visit http://www.georgewbush.com!)
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To: Luis Gonzalez
"These guys are actually assassins,"

No, traitors! This is a time of war and they are aiding our enemy. Republicans are stupid! They don't care about our country.
30 posted on 09/23/2003 7:58:00 PM PDT by olinr
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To: woofie
".... where as the Dems are at home trying to get their relatives to return the $15.00 they stole, so they pay last June's rent..."

Thanks,woofie for the best laugh I've had all day! I needed that!

31 posted on 09/23/2003 7:58:27 PM PDT by Lady In Blue
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To: Lady In Blue
Ahh - so you noticed the eerie Homo-Eroticism in those pics?

:)
32 posted on 09/23/2003 7:59:38 PM PDT by Pubbie ("Last time I checked, he doesn't have a vote" - Tom DeLay on Ari Fleischer's demand for Tax-Rebates)
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To: Lady In Blue
Really appreciate this thread, explaining those outrageous numbers. Let's hope they scare Republicans into registering early....and often!
33 posted on 09/23/2003 8:00:49 PM PDT by YaYa123 (@ Wake The Dead...Make Them Register too.com)
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To: Fledermaus
"I did get three or four calls in two weeks from some place in Denver,"

Colorado Springs has a lot of "800" national services numbers.
34 posted on 09/23/2003 8:01:58 PM PDT by olinr
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To: Jeff Chandler
LOL!
35 posted on 09/23/2003 8:02:16 PM PDT by jigsaw (Liberals: nature’s proof that maturity is not guaranteed.)
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To: Luis Gonzalez
On futher thought, I wish to modify my last statement. Here is my new statement... They are pathetic, godless, countryless, demoRat party worshiping assassins.... There, that is more appropriate.
36 posted on 09/23/2003 8:02:24 PM PDT by FreeAtlanta
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To: Lady In Blue
I was polled once by CNN-USA Today. It was about 8 years ago, and they asked if I approved of Clinton. I was so excited, I answered way more than she wanted, I'm sure. I made sure my vote was solidly in the NO column.
37 posted on 09/23/2003 8:06:21 PM PDT by Flightdeck
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To: Lady In Blue
Heard Bill Schneider on CNN announce the poll and I thought he needed to change his depends on the spot.
38 posted on 09/23/2003 8:19:21 PM PDT by Semper Paratus
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To: Pubbie

Hey Chrissy, can we snuggle after the show?

Sure, Howard. Let's play hardball.

39 posted on 09/23/2003 8:23:11 PM PDT by Huck
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To: Lady In Blue
I was polled once.

I told the guy to take a flying leap.

40 posted on 09/23/2003 8:29:15 PM PDT by HIDEK6
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To: Jeff Chandler
Re 21: Aaaaaaaaaaaaahhhhhh!!!! LOL!!!
41 posted on 09/23/2003 8:32:04 PM PDT by skr (The liberals are only interested in seeking Weapons for Bush Destruction)
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To: Huck
LOL!
42 posted on 09/23/2003 8:36:41 PM PDT by Pubbie ("Last time I checked, he doesn't have a vote" - Tom DeLay on Ari Fleischer's demand for Tax-Rebates)
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To: Huck
:-}, Good one Huck!
43 posted on 09/23/2003 8:37:36 PM PDT by jwalsh07
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To: Lady In Blue
No offense, but I'm tired of people saying "I've never been polled".

That doesn't mean squat. With over 200 million people in the USA, and the fact that many times only 1,000 people are polled, of course the odds are against you being polled.
44 posted on 09/23/2003 8:40:44 PM PDT by 1stFreedom
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To: garbanzo
Republicans can afford to have a life and refuse to answer unknown phone calls. I bet Reps use more caller-id[s] than the Dims. LMAO.

48% of dems in a poll, now that's something really wild. Even in Cali, dims are just 45% of the total, and god forbid this country is becoming as lefty as cali (no) - mexifornia!
45 posted on 09/23/2003 8:46:28 PM PDT by FRgal4u
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To: 1stFreedom
Results are based on telephone interviews with 1,003 National Adults, aged 18+, conducted September 19-21, 2003. For results based on the total sample of National Adults, one can say with 95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

For results based on the sample of -480-Democrats and Democratic leaners, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±5 percentage points.

For results based on the sample of -423-Democrats and Democratic leaners who are registered to vote, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±5 percentage points.

In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.



46 posted on 09/23/2003 8:47:48 PM PDT by jwalsh07
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To: woofie
Dems: end of the month, so the they're "in" until next month's welfare check arrives.
47 posted on 09/23/2003 9:25:36 PM PDT by pierrem15
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To: Huck
Chris Matthews, "Queer eye for the left guy"
48 posted on 09/23/2003 9:26:49 PM PDT by pierrem15
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To: Fledermaus
I got calls from that place in Denver also, and when I picked up, there was no one there. More than once.
49 posted on 09/23/2003 9:28:55 PM PDT by Tuscaloosa Goldfinch
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To: Lady In Blue
I love how today Wes Clark leads Bush in polling. Of course, a random sampling of 10,000 folks would probably find that 85% have no FRICKING clue as to who Wes Clark is, what he did during his life, what political experience he has, etc...

So, somebody that virtually nobody knows, is going to beat GW? Yeah, right.

50 posted on 09/23/2003 9:29:25 PM PDT by Professional
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